First, apologies for not having posted the Academy member/industry insider Oscar response yet. Been a little busy. I'll get that together in the next few days...I promise.
Today, though, the first look in an organized, semi-researched fashion speculating on what seem the most likely prospects for films that we could see in Colorado on Labor Day weekend.
This first post-Oscar stab at what might play in Telluride is always a fun exercise. Last year, at this time, I correctly speculated about: "The Descendants", "Albert Nobbs", "A Dangerous Method" and "Shame". I also added "We Need to Talk About Kevin" to the possibles list three weeks later. Of course, I missed a lot too.
In my 2010 post-Oscar first stabs I had: "127 Hours'" "Another Year," Biutiful," "Black Swan," and "Never Let Me Go".
So the bottom line is that you'd be able to reasonably expect that five or so of the following films will make their way into the San Juans in early September. (Actually, I am hoping I'm getting better at this and that this year's first attempt is better than the last two). Here we go:
"Rust and Bone" Co-written and directed by Jacques Audiard. Stars Marion Cotillard. Why in T-ride? Audiard was in TFF with "A Prophet" in 2009 and it's being fronted by Sony Pictures Classics.
"Amour" written and directed by Michael Haneke. Stars Isabelle Huppert and Jean-Louis Tintignant. Why Telluride? Haneke has been a Telluride favorite with "Cache" and"The White Ribbon". I expect he'll be back.
"Something in the Air" written and directed by Olivier Assayas. Another Telluride favorite with past appearances including"Carlos" and "Irma Vep". The fest even had "Goodbye First Love" as an entrant last year written and directed by Mia Hansen-Love, Assayas" significant other, that drew Assayas to Telluride for her presentation.
"Beyond the Hills" written and directed by Christian Mungiu. Expect the creator of "4 Months, 3 Weeks and 2 Days" is back with this film and one would expect that it would be a likely consideration for TFF inclusion.
"Song for Marion" written and directed by Paul Andrew Williams. Terrence Stamp and Vanessa Redgrave in a film from The Weinstein Company. One of three Weinstein films that you figure have a reasonable shot at Telluride. TWC probably won't park more than one or two at T-ride. Of the three, my guess is that this is the most likely.
"Hyde Park on Hudson" Bill Murray as FDR. Why should it be in Telluride? Directed by Roger Michell, another frequent Telluride invitee ("Venus" and "Enduring Love") and a starring role for part-time Telluride resident Laura Linney. I'm betting that Ms. Linney will return after missing last year's fest.
"Big House" Co-written and directed by Matteo Garrone. Garrone, after having been a part of the fest with "Gomorrah" and "First Love" could well return with this film.
"The Master" Paul Thomas Anderson's follow up to "There Will Be Blood" is the second of the Weinstein's projects that could be in Telluride. It will certainly be TWC's biggest awards horse (at least as it appears now) and PTA was in Telluride as a part of the Daniel Day-Lewis tribute that included 20 min. of "Blood" in 2007. Those factors make it possible. BUT...see the note about TWC only parking one or two films at TFF ("The King's Speech" in 2010 and "The Artist" and "Butter" in 2011). This won't need any TFF boost to be a big part of the 2012 awards conversation...and I have to admit, it's real wishful thinking in my part. Oh, and one last thing that might suggest it will be in Telluride is that star Philip Seymour Hoffman might return to the place that started him to his Best Actor Oscar for "Capote".
Other possibles: Ang Lee's "Life of Pi", TWC's Bradley Cooper starrer "The Silver Linings Playbook", David Cronenberg's "Cosmopolis" and Walter Salles "On the Road".
Key developments that we can look for over the next few months: Cannes' selections and what magic that SPC, Fox Searchlight and The Weinsteins work over the next few months.
Here are some links to posts/articles that try to shed some light on the likely awards contenders and/or Cannes selections for 2012:
From The Playlist:
From Rope of Silicon:
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