Good Wednesday All...
We're between Toronto and Venice Film Fest announcements...heady stuff this week.
I've re-posted yesterday's Toronto announcement. I've added some more analysis.
TORONTO ANNOUNCES (SOME OF ) ITS LINEUP
The Toronto International Film Festival announced about a fourth of its lineup this morning. The Toronto lineup is always vast, usually over 300 titles in all after they're all announced. As I have noted, the average overlap between Telluride and Toronto is about 70%. Meaning that, in an average year, 70% of the Telluride lineup will go on to play later at Toronto. So as a general rule, most of the films announced this morning are still "in play" as far as Telluride is concerned. Another note is that Toronto's designation of "World Premiere" or North American Premiere" rarely is reflective of whether or not we might find that film at Telluride.
All that being said, here's the lineup of films that Toronto announced yesterday (via IndieWire):
GALAS
American Dreams in China (NAP)
The Art of the Steal (WP)
August: Osage County (WP)
Cold Eyes (NAP)
The Fifth Estate (WP/Opener)
The Grand Seduction (WP)
Kill Your Darlings (IP)
Life of Crime (WP/Closer)
The Love Punch (WP)
The Lunchbox (NAP)
Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom (WP)
Parkland (NAP)
The Railway Man (WP)
The Right Kind of Wrong (WP)
Rush (IP)
Shuddh Desi Romance (CP)
Supermensch: The Legend of Shep Gordon (WP)
SPECIAL PRESENTATIONS:
12 Years a Slave (WP)
All is by my Side (WP)
Attila Marcel (WP)
Bad Words (WP)
Blue is the Warmest Color (NAP)
Burning Bush (NAP)
Can a Song Save Your Life (WP)
Cannibal (WP)
Dallas Buyers Club (WP)
Devil’s Knot (WP)
The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby His and Hers (?)
Dom Hemingway (WP)
Don Jon (CP)
The Double (WP)
Enough Said (WP)
Exit Marrakech (IP)
Felony (WP)
For Those Who Can Tell No Tales (WP)
Gloria (NAP)
Going Away II (WP)
Gravity (NAP)
The Great Beauty (NAP)
Half of a Yellow Sun (WP)
Hateship Loveship (WP)
Ida (WP)
L’intrepido (NAP)
The Invisible Woman (WP)
Joe (NAP)
Labor Day (WP)
Like Father Like Son (NAP)
Man of Tai Chi (NAP)
Mary Queen of Scots (NAP)
Night Moves (NAP)
Omar (NAP)
One Chance (WP)
Only Lovers Left Alive (NAP)
The Past (NAP)
Philomena (NAP)
Pioneer (IP)
Prisoners (WP)
Quay d’Orsay (WP)
Real (NAP)
Starred Up (WP)
Third Person (WP)
Those Happy Years (WP)
Tracks (NAP)
Under the Skin (NAP)
Violette (WP)
Visitors (WP)
Walesa: Man of Hope (NAP)
We Are the Best (NAP)
Le Weekend (WP)
You Are Here (WP)
Young and Beautiful (NAP)
(WP) = World Premiere
(IP) = International Premiere
(NAP) = North American Premiere
(CP) = Canadian Premiere
(?) = No premiere information listed
Notes:
With the exception of "The Fifth Estate" (because its Toronto's opening night film) the rest of these films still have Telluride potential and I'm still NOT going to completely write it off because of the Laura Linney/Telluride connection...but it is very unlikely now.
Films that intrigue me that are on Toronto's list in terms of Telluride potential:
"12 Years a Slave". Listed as a Toronto World Premiere meaning no Venice showing and that actually makes it MORE likely to make the trip to Telluride.
also...
I'm a little surprised to see "August: Osage County" on Toronto's list. I had all but considered it a non-fest film almost all the way...maybe New York. Now, it may have some Telluride life after all.
A few other "Galas" intrigue me: Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom", "The Lunchbox", "Parkland", "The Railway Man" and "Rush". Of these, I still feel that "The Lunchbox" is the best T-ride bet.
Among the "Special Presentations" that still breathe the fumes of Telluride potential:
The aforementioned "12 Years a Slave"
"Attila Marcel"
"Blue is the Warmest Color"
"Burning Bush"
"Dallas Buyers Club"
"Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby"
"Gloria"
"Gravity"
"The Great Beauty"
"The Invisible Woman"
"Labor Day"
"Like Father Like Son"
"Night Moves"
"Only Lovers Left Alive"
"The Past"
"Philomena"
"Prisoners"
"Quay d'Orsay"
"Under the Skin"
"Le Weekend"
"You Are Here"
"Young and Beautiful"
On my "Ten Bets" NOT announced this morning:
"Nebraska", "Life Itself", "Daughter of the Dawn", "The Unknown Known", "The Story of Children and Film", "The Immigrant" and "Aguirre:The Wrath of God".
Also, another quirk...of the "World Premieres" you can expect about 6-7 to actually show up in Telluride first.
Notable Films not in TIFF's announcement:
"Inside Llewyn Davis", "Captain Phillips", "Saving Mr. Banks", "The Wolf of Wall Street", "All is Lost", "The Monuments Men", "The Counselor", "Grace of Monaco", "Diana", "Out of the Furnace""The Zero Theorem", The Immigrant", "The Congress" and "Foxcatcher".
"Llewyn", "All is Lost", "The Immigrant" and "The Congress" all played Cannes and their exclusion today by the TIFF announcement lends some credence to the notion that they could play T-ride.
Some films that may have a greater Telluride chance because of their inclusion today are: "The Lunchbox", "Le Weekend", "Quay d"Orsay", "Attila Marcel" and "Gloria".
Notable films listed by Toronto as "World Premieres" that translates to: "Won't be playing Venice":
"12 Years a Slave", "August: Osage County", "The Fifth Estate", "Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom", "The Railway Man", "Dallas Buyers Club", "The Devil's Knot", "Dom Hemingway", "The Invisible Woman", "Labor Day", "Prisoners", "Le Weekend", and "You Are Here".
Keep in mind that Toronto still has a ton of titles to announce and traditionally anywhere from 1/3 to 1/2 of the crossover titles between Telluride and Toronto come from such categories as Docs, Masters and Contemporary World Cinema.
Here's is complete analysis of Toronto's announcement from
HitFix/InContention:
and IndieWire:
Tomorrow comes the announcement from Venice as to its lineup and that may tell us a little more.
DEADLINE TALKS TORONTO/TELLURIDE
Pete Hammond at Deadline.com posted his Toronto analysis piece yesterday and it includes almost as much about his suspicions about Telluride as it does about Toronto.
Hammond seems pretty confident about "Inside Llewyn Davis", "Nebraska" and "All is Lost". Other films that he suggests have Telluride potential after reading the post-Toronto announcement tea leaves are:
"The Immigrant", "Labor Day" and "12 Years a Slave". If you've been following this space for the past few months you know that I have all of these on my Telluride radar (and I'd be really pumped if they were all to pan out). One film that Hammond also mentions that absolutly has NOT been on my T-ride screen is "The Good Lie" directed Philippe Falardeau and starring Reese Witherspoon and Corey Stoll. Hammond says he's heard "rumblings" about this recently wrapped film.
Check his entire post here:
http://www.deadline.com/2013/07/tiff-what-toronto-film-fest-lineup-signals-for-oscar-race-analysis/
VIEWS OF ZERO
In honor of the expected announcement that Terry Gilliam's "The Zero Theorem" will play at Venice I have attached some pics that emerged last weekend during Comic Con form the film:
The Playlist:
Thompson on Hollywood:
Collider:
I'm still holding onto some hope that "The Zero Theorem" plays in Telluride.
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Follow me on Twitter @Gort2.
More tomorrow...