THE FAC UPDATES BEST PICTURE AND DIRECTOR
The last look by The FAC for these two major categories was three weeks ago (Oct. 13) and, woo-boy, have the fortunes have changed for Ang Lee's Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk. I noted a couple of weeks back as I was updating the screenplay categories that we were beginning to see the results of a less than stellar NYFF reception to the film as the script had dropped from 1st to fifth in the Adapted Screenplay category. As you'll see below, the fall is all but complete for the film that was at one time regarded as a real contender for multiple major awards.
I have used the publicly available Oscar predictions from the following pundits:
Erik Anderson/Awards Watch
Clayton Davis/Awards Circuit
Greg Ellwood/The Playlist-Awards Campaign
Scott Feinberg/The Hollywood Reporter
Joey Magidson/Hollywood News
Nathaniel Rogers/Film Experience
Sasha Stone/Awards Daily
Kristopher Tapley/Variety-InContention
Anne Thompson/Indiewire
TFF #43 films are in Bold. The film's previous position follows its title in parenthesis.
BEST PICTURE
1) La La Land (1)
2) Manchester by the Sea (3)
3) Fences (4)
4) Moonlight (5)
5) Lion (7)
6) Silence (6)
7) Jackie (8)
8) Arrival (9)
9) Loving (10)
10) Sully (11)
11) Hidden Figures (N/R)
12) (TIE) Hell or High Water (N/R), Live By Night (N/R), 20th Century Women (12)
Hot: La La Land, Lion
Stone COLD: Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk
On the Cusp: A Monster Calls
Comment: La La Land couldn't move up any spots because it was previously at #1 but its stranglehold on the top spot has only strengthened on the past three weeks. Billy Lynn's Long Walk has gotten impossibly long regarding major Oscar nominations. It dropped from the #2 spot to a tie for 20th. I'm not sure I recall any more precipitous drop in the years The FAC has been in existence.
This note too: I'm getting the feeling that the biggest challenge to La La Land might well be Garth Davis' Lion. It seems to be picking up a lot of Audience Awards at various regional film fests.
BEST DIRECTOR
1) Damien Chazelle/La La Land (1)
2) Kenneth Lonergan/Manchester by the Sea (3)
3) Barry Jenkins/Moonlight (5)
4) Martin Scorsese/Silence (4)
5) Denzel Washington/Fences (7)
6) Denis Villenueve/Arrival (8)
7) Pablo Larrain/Jackie (6)
8) Garth Davis/Lion (9)
9) Jeff Nichols/Loving (10)
10) Clint Eastwood/Sully (N/R)
Hot: Jenkins, Washington
Not: Lee
On the Cusp: Ben Affleck/Live by Night
Comment: Ang Lee also takes a hit in this category with the BLLHTW swoon.
NOMINATION NEWS
BIFA NOMS THREE TFF #43 FILMS
The British Independent Film Association announced the nominees for their superlatives earlier this week. Obviously the films that received the most attention were British. The leading film was Ken Loach's Palme d'Or winner I, Daniel Blake.
Telluride 2016 films popped up in a big way in the Best International Film category with Moonlight, Manchester by the Sea and Toni Erdmann earning nominations in the category. The other two films nominated were Hunt for the Wilderpeople and Mustang.
Find full coverage of the BIFA nominations here from BIFA itself as well as from Indiewire here.
LA LA LANDS MUSIC NOMS
Justin Hurwitz and his collaborators have been thrice nominated for music in Damien Chazelle's La La Land. Hurwitz was nominated by The Hollywood Music in Media awards for Original Score and two songs from the original musical were nominated for Best Original Song Audition and City of Stars which Hurwitz co-wrote with Benj Pasek and Justin Paul. La La Land led the pack with the three nominations. Additionally, Howard Britell was nominated for Score for Moonlight. Coverage of all of the nominations is here from Variety.
CINEMAEYE NOMS FIRE AT SEA
And in other nomination news, Gianfranco Rosi's Fire at Sea which played Telluride and won the Golden Bear at this year's Berlin Film Fest was nominated for Best feature documentary by CinemaEye. Rosi was also nominated for outstanding documentary direction. The complete coverage of the CinemaEye nominations can be found here from The Wrap.
JEREMY RENNER IN ARRIVAL
Amy Adams has gotten the lion's share of attention for her leading role in Denis Villenueve's Arrival including serious Best Actress Oscar buzz (which may well have gotten a boost last week with the announcement that Viola Davis would be campaigned for a Supporting Actress nomination for Fences). Capably offering solid support for Adams is Jeremy Renner. Renner was profiled recently as the focus of this featurette at Collider.
VIEWS OF MANCHESTER
The Playlist passed along a couple of clips from Kenneth Lonergan's Manchester by the Sea earlier this week including this 38 second clip that introduces one of the best acted scenes from any film this year. At this point, I am all about a nomination for Best Supporting Actress for Michelle Williams and the win. Casey Affleck is tremendous in the scene as well, but Williams...oh my.
Here's the clip via YouTube:
The second clip and story can be found via this link to The Playlist.
That will wrap it for this Thursday. More for your perusal next Monday. Have a good weekend friends.
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