MTFB OSCAR PREDICTIONS: SCREENPLAYS
Today I am concluding my first wave of Oscar predictions for this year with the focus on the Screenplay categories. All contenders from TFF #52 films are listed in Bold.
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1) Sinners
2) Sentimental Value
3) Marty Supreme
4) Jay Kelly
5) It Was Just an Accident
Others: A House of Dynamite, The Secret Agent and Weapons.
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1) One Battle After Another
2) Hamnet
3) Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
4) Bugonia
5) Train Dreams
Others: No Other Choice, Frankenstein and Song Sung Blue.
Currently, if all of MTFB's current predictions came true in the Big Eight categories, 10 TFF #52 films would receive 21 nominations with another 12 nominations possible. Here's that breakdown by film:
Sentimental Value (6): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Reinsve), Supporting Actress (Fanning), Supporting Actress (Lilleaas), Original Screenplay.
Hamnet (5): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Buckley), Supporting Actor (Mescal) and Adapted Screenplay.
Jay Kelley (3): Best Picture, Supporting Actor (Sandler) and Original Screenplay. Three other possibilities: Direction, Actor (Clooney), Supporting Actor (Crudup).
It Was Just an Accident (3): Best Picture, Direction, Original Screenplay.
The Secret Agent (2): Best Picture, Best Actor (Moura). Two other possibilities: Best Picture and Original Screenplay.
Bugonia (1): Adapted Screenplay. Two other possibilities: Best Picture and Actor (Plemons)
Springsteen: Deliver me from Nowhere (1): Best Actor (White). Two other possibilities: Best Picture and Supporting Actor (Strong).
Other films with Oscar possibilities:
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You: Best Actress (Byrne).
Blue Moon: Best Actor (Hawke).
Frankenstein: Adapted Screenplay.
I'll start the first round of updating predictions with next Monday's post.
TFF #52 HAS 24 GOTHAM AWARDS NOMINATIONS
Here's how Gotham Awards nominations went for TFF #52 films. The big surprise was that If I Had Legs I'd Kick You had the biggest footprint among all 13 TFF #52 films to get a nomination. TFF #52 films had a combines 24 nominations:
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You (4): Best Feature, Direction, Outstanding Lead Performance (Byrne), Original Screenplay.
It was Just an Accident (3): Best International Feature, Direction, Original Screenplay.
Hamnet (2): Best Feature, Outstanding Lead Performance (Buckley).
Sentimental Value (2): Outstanding Supporting Performance (Lilleaas), Outstanding Supporting Performance (Skarsgard).
The Mastermind (2): Best Direction, Outstanding Lead Performance (O'Connor).
Blue Moon (2): Outstanding Lead Performance (Hawke), Outstanding Supporting Performance (Scott).
The Secret Agent (2): Outstanding Lead Performance (Moura), Original Screenplay.
Pillion (2): Outstanding Supporting Performance (Skarsgard), Adapted Screenplay.
Bugonia (1): Best Feature
Nouvelle Vague (1): Best International Feature.
Frankenstein (1): Outstanding Supporting Performance (Elordi).
Jay Kelly (1): Outstanding Supporting Performance (Sandler).
Urchin (1): Breakthrough Direction.
NEW TRAILER FOR SENTIMENTAL VALUE
VISITATIONS: BUGONIA AND BALLAD OF A SMALL PLAYER
Bugonia: Writer Will Tracy on Bugonia from Awards Radar:
https://awardsradar.com/2025/10/29/interview-writer-will-tracy-chats-about-working-with-yorgos-lanthimos-and-adapting-bugonia/
Battle of a Small Player:
Colin Farrell and Fila Chen for Ballad of a Small Player from Next Best Picture:
YouTube link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4f4b0HAG9Q&t=2s
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