Michael's Telluride Film Blog : Citizen Ashe

Monday, November 8, 2021

MTFB Oscar Predictions Updated: Supporting Acting and New Categories: Score, Song, Costumes / New Trailers; The Power of the Dog and Citizen Ashe / Variety Awards Circuit Podcasts: Dakota Johnson and Jamie Dornan / Interviews: Branagh, Smith and Mills

MTFB OSCAR PREDICITONS UPDATED

Here's your update on the Supporting Acting races. This updates the predictions last posted for these categories on Oct. 25th. TFF #48 performances are indicated in Bold and their previous position in my predictions are indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Caitriona Balfe/Belfast (3)

2) Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog (1)

3) Aunjunue Ellis/King Richard (4)

4) Rutyh Negga/Passing (New)

5) Ann Dowd/Mass (2)

Alternates: Judi Dench/Belfast and Marlee Matlin/CODA

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast (2)

2) Bradley Cooper/Licorice Pizza (1)

3) Jamie Dornan/Belfast (3)

4) Jared Leto/House of Gucci (New)

5) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog (5)

Alternates: Ben Affleck/The Tender Bar and Jason Isaacs/Mass

NEW CATEGORIES FIRST PREDICTIONS

ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Dune

2) The Power of the Dog

3) Spencer

4) The French Dispatch

5) Don't Look Up

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and The Tragedy of Macbeth

ORIGINAL SONG

1) Believe/King Richard

2) No Time to Die/No Time to Die

3) Down to Joy/Belfast

4) So May We Start/Annette

5) Guns Go Bang/The Harder They Fall

Alternates: Colombia Mi Encanto/Encanto, Believe/The Rescue and Every Letter/Cyrano

BEST COSTUME

1) Cruella

2) Dune

3) Spencer

4) Nightmare Alley

5) House of Gucci

Alternates: The French Dispatch and West Side Story

TRAILERS

NEW TRAILER FOR THE POWER OF THE DOG

CITIZEN ASHE

VARIETY'S AWARDS CIRCUIT PODCAST:

DAKOTA JOHNSON/THE LOST DAUGHTER

JAMIE DORNAN/BELFAST

INTERVIEWS: BRANAGH, SMITH, MILLS

I've linked interviews from the past week with some TFF #48 players.

Kenneth Branagh/Belfast from Anne Thompson/Indiewire

Will Smith/King Richard from Alexia Smith/People

Mike Mills/C'mon C'mon from Jack Smart/Backstage

EMAIL: mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2

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MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

Monday, October 11, 2021

MTFB Oscar Take: Supporting Update / Citizen Ashe Has a Home / Deadline Talks to...Everyone

MTAFB'S OSCAR TAKE: SUPPORTING UPDATE

Here's your update on the Supporting Acting races. This updates the predictions last posted for these categories on Sept. 27th. TFF #48 performances are indicated in Bold and their previous position in my predictions are indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog (1)

2) Ann Dowd/Mass (2)

3) Aunjunue Ellis/King Richard (3)

4) Caitriona Balfe/Belfast (4)*

5) Adriana DeBose/West Side Story (New)

Alternates: Judi Dench/Belfast and Ruth Negga/Passing

* Depending on category placement

Personally, I'm pulling for Dunst and Balfe.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Bradley Cooper/Licorice Pizza (1)

2) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast (2)

3) Corey Hawkins/The Tragedy of Macbeth (3)

4) Jason Issacs/Mass (4)

5) Jared Leto/House of Gucci (New)

Alternates: Ben Affleck/The Tender Bar and Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog

I'd urge Academy voters to remember Tony Kotsur in CODA and Kodi Smit-McPhee in The Power of the Dog.

CITIZEN ASHE HAS A HOME

Magnolia has acquired the domestic theatrical distribution rights to the Rex Miller/Sam Pollard documentary about tennis legend Arthur Ashe. The film made its debut at the year's Telluride Film Festival. The film also screened this past weekend at the BFI London Film Festival. The film was produced by HBO Max and CNN Media among others.

More details can be found here from Blackfilm.com.

DEADLINE TALKS TO...EVERYONE

Deadline.com's "Contender" series (London) has begun and is highlighting a number of the films and filmmakers that were a part of the 2021 edition of The SHOW. I have linked a bunch of them here: