MTFB Oscar Take: Winner Prediction Updates for Docs, Animated and International Feature and More / SAG Awards Announced / The Lost Daughter Wins USC Scripter

I have updated Oscar predictions for winners in these six categories today.  TFF #48 Films are Bold.

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1) Summer of Soul

2) Flee

3) Attica

4) Ascension

5) Writing with Fire

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1) Encanto

2) The Mitchells vs. the Machines

3) Flee

4) Luca

5) Raya and the Last Dragon

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

1) Drive My Car

2) The Worst Person in the World

3) The Hand of God

4) Flee

5) Luana: A Yak in the Classroom

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) The Power of the Dog

2) Dune

3) The Tragedy of Macbeth

4) Nightmare Alley

5) West Side Story

BEST EDITING

1) Dune

2) The Power of the Dog

3) King Richard

4) Don't Look Up

5) tick, tick...BOOM

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Dune

2) Nightmare Alley

3) West Side Story

4) The Power of the Dog

5) The Tragedy of Macbeth

A couple of quivers of movement since these categories were last updated on Feb. 17th.  Flee and Luca swap spots in Best Animated Feature as do King Richard and Don't Look Up for Editing.

The current predictions for the other 14 feature categories at the moment are:

BEST PICTURE

1) The Power of the Dog

2) Belfast

3) West Side Story

4) King Richard

5) Dune

6) Licorice Pizza

7) CODA

8) Don't Look Up

9) Drive My Car

10) Nightmare Alley

BEST DIRECTION

1) Jane Campion/The Power of the Dog

2) Kenneth Branagh/Belfast

3) Steven Spielberg/West Side Story

4) Licorice Pizza/Paul Thomas Anderson

5) Ryusuke Hamaguchi/Drive My Car

BEST ACTRESS

1) Nicole Kidman/Being the Ricardos

2) Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye

3) Kristen Stewart/Spencer

4) Olivia Colman/The Lost Daughter

5) Penelope Cruz/Parallel Mothers

BEST ACTOR

1) Will Smith/King Richard

2) Benedict Cumberbatch/The Power of the Dog

3) Andrew Garfield/tick, tick...BOOM

4) Denzel Washington/The Tragedy of Macbeth

5) Javier Bardem/Being the Ricardos

1) BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Ariana DeBose/West Side Story

2) Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog

3) Aujanue Ellis/King Richard

4) Jesse Buckley/The Lost Daughter

5) Judi Dench/Belfast

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog

2) Troy Kotsur/CODA

3) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast

4) Jesse Plemons/The Power of the Dog

5) J.K. Simmons/Being the Ricardos

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Belfast

2) Licorice Pizza

3) Don't Look Up

4) King Richard

5) The Worst Person in the World

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) The Power of the Dog

2) CODA

3) The Lost Daughter

4) Drive My Car

5) Dune

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Dune

2) The Power of the Dog

3) Don't Look Up

4) Encanto

5) Parallel Mothers

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) No Time to Die/No Time to Die

2) Dos Oruguitas/Encanto

3) Be Alive/King Richard

4) Down to Joy/Belfast

5) Somehow You Do/Four Good Days

BEST COSTUMES

1) Cruella

2) Dune

3) Nightmare Alley

4) West Side Story

5) Cyrano

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Dune

2) Spiderman: No Way Home

3) No Time to Die

4) Shang Chi

5) Free Guy

BEST SOUND

1) Dune

2) West Side Story

3) Not Time to Die

4) The Power of the Dog

5) Belfast

BEST MAKEUP/HAIR

1) Dune

2) Cruella

3) The Eyes of Tammy Faye

4) The House of Gucci

5) Coming 2 America

SAG AWARDS ANNOUNCED

Last night was a good night for Sundance breakout CODA and not so great a night for TFF #48 films at the SAG Awards.  CODA won Best Cast and Troy Kotsur won Best Supporting Actor for his role as the deaf father of a hearing child.

TFF #48 films only scored one win and that was an expected victory for Will Smith as Best Actor for King Richard.

Other winners were:

Best Actress: Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye

Best Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose/West Side Story

The wins for Smith and DeBose solidify their status as Oscar frontrunners.  Kotsur's win certainly improves his chances in a Oscar race that seems, or at least seemed, to be close between him and The Power of the Dog's Kodi Smit-McPhee.  And does Chastain's win mean that she's now the person to beat in a crazy and divided Best Actress Oscar field?

The Dog went 0 for 3 last night with Smit-McPhee, Benedict Cumberbatch and Kirsten Dunst all coming up short. Belfast was 0 for 2 with Caitriona Balfe dropping in Supporting Actress and the film missing for Best Cast.  King Richard also missed for Best Cast as well as for Aujanue Ellis as Supporting Actress.  The final miss for TFF #48 performers was Olivia Colman from The Lost Daughter for Best Actress.

Full coverage is linked here from CNN.

THE LOST DAUGHTER WINS THE USC SCRIPTER

The USC Scripter Award is annually presented to the Best Adapted Screenplay in the eyes of the Scripter's awards voters.  Most thought that Jane Campion's The Power of the Dog was the likely winner here but voters opted for a different TFF #48 film honoring Maggie Gyllenhaal and the script for The Lost Daughter.  The USC Scripter Award also recognizes the writer(s) of the original source material being adapted.  That included author Elena Ferrante who wrote the novel that the film is based on.

Dopesick won the award for adapted television writing.

Other screenplays nominated included Passing, Dune and The Tragedy of Macbeth.

Full details are here from Variety.

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MTFB Oscar Update: Supporting Actors and More / Current Predicted Oscar Totals from MTFB / Interviews and Profiles

 MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SUPPORTING ACTORS AND MORE

Oscar nominations are coming soon.  Nominations will be announced in 23 categories on Tuesday Feb. 8th.  MTFB will have its final predictions here on Monday Feb. 7th.  I am also planning a special added post on Feb. 8th after the nominations have been announced.

Here's your update on the Supporting Acting races as well as Score, Song and Costumes.  These predictions were last updated on Jan. 17th.  TFF #48 performances/films are indicated in Bold and their previous position in my predictions are indicated to the right in parentheses.

Check out my current predictions for all 20 feature film categories on MTFB's Oscar Update Page.  

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Ariana DeBose/West Side Story (1)

2) Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog (3)

3) Caitirona Balfe/Belfast (2)

4) Aunjunue Ellis/King Richard (4)

5) Ruth Negga/Passing (5)

Alternates: Cate Blanchett/Nightmare Alley and Anne Dowd/ Mass

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog (1)

2) Troy Kotsur/CODA (2)

3) Bradley Cooper/Licorice Pizza (4)

4) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast (3)

5) Jared Leto/House of Gucci (5)

Alternates: Jamie Dornan/Belfast and Ben Affleck/The Tender Bar

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) The French Dispatch (3)

4) Don't Look Up (4)

5) Encanto (Alt.)

Alternates: Parallel Mothers and Spencer

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) No Time to Die/No Time to Die (1)

2) Be Alive/King Richard (2)

3) Dos Oruguitas/Encanto (3)

4) Just Look Up/Don't Look Up (5)

5) Down to Joy/Belfast (4)

Alternates: Guns Go Bang/The Harder They Fall and Here I Am/Respect

BEST COSTUMES

1) Cruella (1)

2) Dune (2)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) Nightmare Alley (5)

5) House of Gucci (4)

Alternates: Cyrano and Spencer

CURRENT PREDICTED OSCAR TOTALS

Over on MTFB's Oscar Take page, here's the current breakdown of Oscar nomination predictions I have for TFF #48 films as well as totals for the 10 films I am currently predicting will be Best Picture nominees.

Belfast Total-10 and 1 Alternate: Picture, Direction (Branagh), Supporting Actress (Balfe), Supporting Actor (Hinds), Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Sound, Production Design and Song.  Alternate: Supporting Actor (Dornan).

The Power of the Dog- Total 9 and 1 Alternate. Picture, Direction (Campion) , Actor (Cumberbatch), Supporting Actress (Dunst), Supporting Actor (Smit-McPhee), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Score. Alternate:  Sound

King Richard Total-5: Picture, Actor (Smith), Supporting Actress (Ellis), Original Screenplay and Song.  

Flee Total- 3: International Feature, Animated Feature, Documentary Feature

The Lost Daughter Total-2 and 1 Alternate: Actress (Colman), Adapted Screenplay.  Alternate: Best Direction (Gyllenhaal) 

The French Dispatch Total-2: Production Design and Score. 

Spencer Total- 1 and 3 Alternates- Actress (Stewart).  Alternates: Original Score, Costumes and Cinematography

Cyrano Total- 1 and 1 Alternate: Actor (Dinklage).  Alternate: Costumes

A Hero Total- 1 and 1 Alternate: International Feature.  Alternate: Original Screenplay

The Hand of God Total- 1: International Feature

The Rescue Total-1: Documentary Feature

Procession Total-1: Documentary Feature

C'mon C'mon Total- 1 Alternate: Original Screenplay

The Velvet Underground Total -1 Alternate: Documentary Feature

As of this assessment, TFF #48 films are predicted to net 37 nominations with another 10 Alternates in play. An incredible14 TFF #48 films could have at least one Oscar nomination on Feb. 8th.

My other Best Picture predictions and what I expect that they're nominations will be:

Dune-10 nominations: Best Picture, Direction (Villenueve), Cinematography, Editing, Production Design, Score, Costumes, Visual Effects, Sound and Makeup/Hair.  Also possible: Adapted Screenplay

West Side Story- 9 nominations: Best Picture, Direction (Spielberg), Supporting Actress (DeBose), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Production Design, Costumes and Sound.  Also possible: Makeup/Hair

Don't Look Up- 5 nominations: Best Picture, Original Screenplay, Editing, Score, Song.  Also possible Actor (DiCaprio) 

Being the Ricardos- 3 nominations: Best Picture, Actress (Kidman) and Original Screenplay.  Also possible: Actor (Bardem)

CODA- 3 nominations: Best Picture, Supporting Actor (Kotsur) and Adapted Screenplay

tick, tick...BOOM- 2 nominations: Best Picture, Actor (Garfield).  Also possible: Sound

Licorice Pizza- 4 nominations: Best Picture, Direction (Anderson), Supporting Actor (Cooper), Original Screenplay.  Also possible: Actress (Haim) and Editing.

And right now I have House of Gucci the most nominated without getting a Best Picture nomination with 4: Best Actress (Gaga), Supporting Actor (Leto), Costumes and Makeup/Hair.

Last note here: I feel like Nightmare Alley is gaining ground.  I currently have it predicted for 2 nominations (Production Design and Costumes) with a shot at Supporting Actress (Blanchett) and Cinematography.  Since its Writers Guild nomination for Best Adapted Screenplay last week, I'm beginning to think that should it land an Oscar nomination in that category and if Blanchett lands in the five Supporting Actress nominees, Nightmare Alley might sneak into Best Picture and supplant Being the Ricardos or tick, tick...BOOM or even Don't Look Up.

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

Jamie Dornan of Belfast from The Belfast Telegraph

The cast and crew of The Power of the Dog with Variety

Kristen Stewart and Pablo Larrain of Spencer from Variety

The cast and crew of Cyrano from Variety

Director Robert Greene of Procession from The Chicago Daily Herald

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

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MTFB Oscar Update: Screenplays and More / Interviews and Profiles Including Kirsten Dunst

 MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SCREENPLAYS AND MORE

Here are the latest nomination predictions for these five categories.  These were last predicted on Jan. 6th.  TFF #48 films are indicated in Bold.  The film's previous ranking is indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Belfast (1)

2) Licorice Pizza (2)

3) Don't Look Up (3)

4) King Richard (4)

5) Being the Ricardos (5)

Alternates: C'mon C'mon and A Hero

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) The Power of the Dog (10

2) The Lost Daughter (2)

3) CODA (4)

4) West Side Story (3)

5) Drive My Car (5)

Alternates: Dune and The Tragedy of Macbeth

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Dune (1) 

2) Spiderman: No Way Home (2)

3) No Time to Die (4)

4) The Matrix Resurrections (3)

5) Shangchi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Alt.)

Alternates: Godzilla vs. King and Free Guy

BEST SOUND

1) Dune (1)

2) West Side Story (2)

3) No Time to Die (3)

4) Belfast (5)

5) Spiderman: No Way Home (4)

Alternates: tick, tick...BOOM and The Power of the Dog

BEST MAKEUP/HAIR

1) Dune (1)

2) Cruella (2)

3) House of Gucci (3)

4) The Eyes of Tammy Faye (4)

5) Coming 2 America (New)

Alternates: West Side Story and The Suicide Squad

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

For Cyrano:

From Variety 

From Gold Derby

For Flee

From Variety

From Awards Daily

For The Power of the Dog

Kirsten Dunst on The Power of the Dog

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

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MTFB Oscar Take: Supporting Players and More / Interviews and Profiles: Dinklage, Branagh, Farhadi and Others

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: SUPPORTING ACTORS AND MORE

Here's your update on the Supporting Acting races as well as Score, Song and Costumes.  These predictions were last updated on Jan. 3rd.  TFF #48 performances/films are indicated in Bold and their previous position in my predictions are indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Ariana DeBose/West side Story (1)

2) Caitriona Balfe/Belfast (2)

3) Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog (4)

4) Aujunue Ellis/King Richard (3)

5) Ruth Negga/Passing (5)

Alternates: Anne Dowd/Mass, Cate Blanchett/Nightmare Alley and Rita Moreno/West Side Story

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog (1)

2) Troy Kotsur/CODA (3)

3) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast (2)

4) Bradley Cooper/Licorice Pizza (Alt.)

5) Jared Leto/House of Gucci

Alternates: Jamie Dornan/Belfast and Ben Affleck/The Tender Bar

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3)The French Dispatch (4)

4) Don't Look Up (3)

5) Parallel Mothers (Alt.)

Alternates: Spencer and Encanto

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) No Time to Die/No Time to Die (2)

2) Be Alive/King Richard (1)

3) Dos Oruguitas/Encanto (4)

4) Down to Joy/Belfast (Alt.)

5) Just Look Up/Don't Look Up (3)

Alternates: Guns Go Bang/The Harder They Fall and Here I Am/Respect

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1) Cruella (1)

2) Dune (2)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) House of Gucci (4)

5) Nightmare Alley (Alt.)

Alternates: Spencer and The French Dispatch

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

Actor Peter Dinklage on Cyrano from The Playlist

Dinklage and actress Haley Bennett plus more from Cyrano from Variety

Writer/Director Asghar Farhadi on A Hero from The Hollywood Reporter

Writer /Director Kenneth Branagh plus actors: Jude Hill, Caitriona Balfe, Jamie Dornan and Ciaran Hinds 

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

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MTFB Oscar Update: Supporting Acting and More / Interviews and Profiles

 MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SUPPORTING ACTING, SCORE, SONG AND COSTUMES

Here's your update on the Supporting Acting races as well as Score, Song and Costumes.  These predictions were last updated on Dec. 20th.  TFF #48 performances/films are indicated in Bold and their previous position in my predictions are indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST SUPPORTING SCTRESS

1) Ariana DeBose/West Side Story (2)

2) Caitriona Balfe/Belfast (1)

3) Aujunue Ellis/King Richard (4)

4) Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog (3)

5) Ruth Negga/Passing (5)

Alternates: Rita Moreno/West Side Story and Anne Dowd/Mass

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog (2)

2) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast (1)

3) Tony Kotsur/CODA (3)

4) Jamie Dornan/Belfast (4)

5) Jared LKodieto/House of Gucci (5)

Alternates: Bradley Cooper/Licorice Pizza and Ben Affleck/The Tender Bar

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Don't Look Up (3)

4) The French Dispatch (5)

5) Spencer (4)

Alternates: Parallel Mothers and Encanto

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) Be Alive/King Richard (1)

2) No Time to Die/No Time to Die (2)

3) Just Look Up/Don't Look Up (4)

4) Dos Oruguitas/Encanto (5)

5) Guns Go Bang/The Harder They Fall (New)

Alternates: Down to Joy/Belfast and So May We Start/Annette

BEST COSTUMES

1) Cruella (2)

2) Dune (1)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) House of Gucci (New)

5) Spencer (Alt.)

Alternates: The French Dispatch and Nightmare Alley

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

Writer/Director Asghar Farhadi on A Hero from The National Board of Review

Cinematographer Robert Yeoman/The French Dispatch from Next Best Picture

Film Editor Una Ni Dhonghaile/Belfast from Gold Derby

The Crew from Procession from Indiewire

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

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MTFB Oscar Update: Supporting Acting and More / L.A. Film Critics and TFF #48 / Interviews and Profiles: Will Smith, Kenneth Branagh and More

 MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SUPPORTING ACTING, SCORE, SONG AND COSTUMES

Here's your update on the Supporting Acting races as well as Score, Song and Costumes.  These predictions were last updated on Dec. 6th.  TFF #48 performances/films are indicated in Bold and their previous position in my predictions are indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Caitriona Balfe/Belfast (1)

2) Ariana DeBose/West Side Story (Alt.)

3) Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog (2)

4) Aujunue Ellis/King Richard (3)

5) Ruth Negga/Passing (4)

Alternates: Anne Dowd/Mass and Rita Moreno/West Side Story

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast (1)

2) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog (2)

3)Tony Kotsur/CODA (New)

4) Jamie Dornan/Belfast (4)

5) Jared Leto/House of Gucci (5)

Alternates: Ben Affleck/The Tender Bar and Bradley Cooper/Licorice Pizza

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Don't Look Up (5)

4) Spencer (3)

5) The French Dispatch (4)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and Cyrano

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) Be Alive/King Richard (1)

2) No Time to Die/No Time to Die (2)

3) Down to Joy/Belfast (3)

4) Just Look Up/Don't Look Up (5)

5) Dos Oruguitas/Encanto (New)

Alternates: Every Letter/Cyrano and Beyond the Shore/CODA

BEST COSTUMES

1) Dune (1)

2) Cruella (2)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) Cyrano (New)

5) The Tragedy of Macbeth (New)

Alternates: Spencer and The French Dispatch

L.A. FILM CRITICS AND TFF #48

The Los Angeles Film Critics Association held their annual meet-up to name the Best of Film for 2021 on Saturday.  Seven TFF #48 films were named either a winner or runner-up in one of the LAFCA's 16 categories. TFF #48 films performances that were named either the winner or runner-up were:

The Power of the Dog: Winner: Best Direction (Campion), Best Supporting Actor (Smit-McPhee), Best Cinematography.  Runner-up: Best Picture, Best Actor (Cumberbatch), Best Score.

Flee: Winner: Best Animated Film

Petite Maman: Winner: Best Foreign Language Film

Red Rocket: Winner: Best Actor (Rex)

Procession: Runner-up: Best Documentary

King Richard: Runner-up: Best Supporting Actress (Ellis)

Spencer: Runner-up: Best Score

Ryusuke Hamaguchi's Drive My Car was named Best Picture of the Year but The Power of the Dog was the most noted film of the day with its three wins and three runners-up.

The complete list of LAFCA winners and runners-up is linked here from Indiewire.

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

Writer/Director Sean Baker/Red Rocket/Gold Derby

Writer/Director Kenneth Branagh/Belfast/Deadline

Writer/Director Asghar Farhadi/A Hero/Gold Derby

Actor Will Smith/King Richard/Variety

Actor Dakota Johnson/The Lost Daughter/Awards Watch

 

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

MTFB Oscar Update: Supporting Acting, Score, Song, Costumes / Interviews, Profiles and Podcasts

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SUPPOTING ACTING, SCORE, SONG, COSTUMES

Here's your update on the Supporting Acting races as well as Score, Song and Costumes.  These predictions were last updated on Nov. 22nd.  TFF #48 performances/films are indicated in Bold and their previous position in my predictions are indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Caitriona Balfe/Belfast (1)

2) Kristen Dunst/The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Aujunue Ellis/King Richard (3)

4) Ruth Negga/Passing (4)

5) Anne Dowd/Mass (Alt.)

Alternates: Judi Dench/Belfast and Adriana DeBose/West Side Story.  Note: Look out for up and comer Rita Moreno from West Side Story

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast (1)

2) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog (5)

3) J. K. SImmons/Being the Ricardos (3)

4) Jamie Dornan/Belfast (4)

5) Jared Leto/House of Gucci (Alt.)

Alternates: Jon Bernthal/King Richard and Ben Affleck/The Tender Bar

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Spencer (3)

4) The French Dispatch (4)

5) Don't Look Up (5)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and The Tragedy of Macbeth

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) Be Alive/King Richard (1)

2) Not Time to Die/No Time to Die (2)

3) Down to Joy/Belfast (3)

4) Guns Go Bang/The Harder They Fall (4)

5) Just Look Up/Don't Look Up (New)

Alternates:  So May We Start/Annette and Columbia Mi Encanto/Encanto

BEST COSTUME

1) Dune (2)

2) Cruella (1)

3) West Side Story (Alt.)

4) Spencer (3)

5) Nightmare Alley (4)

Alternates: Being the Ricardos and The French Dispatch

INTERVIEWS, PROFILES AND PODCASTS

SPENCER

Indiewire

Deadline

ENCOUNTER

Variety

THE CARD COUNTER

Deadline

THE LOST DAUGHTER

Deadline

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

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MTFB Oscar Predicitons Update: Supporting Acting, Score, Song and Costumes / Marcel Has a Home / Interviews, Profiles and Podcasts

MTFB OSCAR PREDICTION UPDATE

Here's your update on the Supporting Acting races as well as Score, Song and Costumes.  These predictions were last updated on Nov. 8th.  TFF #48 performances/films are indicated in Bold and their previous position in my predictions are indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS 

1) Caitriona Balfe/Belfast (1)

2  Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Aujunue Ellis/King Richard (3)

4) Ruth Negga/Passing (4)

5) Judi Dench/Belfast (Alt.)

Alternates: Ann Dowd/Mass and Marlee Matlin/CODA

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast (1)

2) Bradley Cooper/Licorice Pizza (2)

3) J.K. Simmons/Being the Ricardos (New)

4) Jamie Dornan/Belfast (3)

5) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog (5)

Alternates: Jared Leto/House of Gucci and Ben Affleck/The Tender Bar

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Spencer (3)

4) The French Dispatch (4)

5) Don't Look Up (5)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and The Tragedy of Macbeth

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) Be Alive/King Richard (1)

2) No Time to Die/No Time to Die (2)

3) Down to Joy/Belfast (3)

4) Guns Go Bang/The Harder They Fall (5)

5) Every Letter/Cyrano (Alt.)

Alternates: So May We Start/Annette and Columbia Mi Encanto/Encanto

BEST COSTUMES

1) Cruella (1)

2) Dune (2)

3) Spencer (3)

4) Nightmare Alley (4)

5) House of Gucci (5)

Alternates: West Side Story and The French Dispatch

MARCEL HAS A HOME

News that I've been waiting for arrived this past week with the announcement that A24 had acquired North American distribution rights to Dean Fleischer-Camp's Marcel the Shell with Shoes On.  The film debuted at Telluride and topped my industry insiders and professionals poll that I do each year.

No word as yet what the release plans will be and if their is any agreement about an Oscar qualifying run but I, for one, hope there is.

Here a slew of links for the acquisition details:

Variety

The Hollywood Reporter

Screen Daily

Deadline

Vulture

The Wrap

Collider 

Nylon

INTERVIEWS PROFILES AND PODCASTS

C'MON C'MON

The Playlist

The Los Angeles Times

Entertainment Weekly

The Film Stage

Indiewire

Vulture

BELFAST

Black TV and Film

The Hollywood Reporter

SPENCER

Variety

Yahoo

THE HAND OF GOD

Deadline

THE VELVET UNDERGROUND

Gold Derby

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

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MTFB Oscar Predictions Updated: Supporting Acting and New Categories: Score, Song, Costumes / New Trailers; The Power of the Dog and Citizen Ashe / Variety Awards Circuit Podcasts: Dakota Johnson and Jamie Dornan / Interviews: Branagh, Smith and Mills

 MTFB OSCAR PREDICITONS UPDATED

Here's your update on the Supporting Acting races.  This updates the predictions last posted for these categories on Oct. 25th.  TFF #48 performances are indicated in Bold and their previous position in my predictions are indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Caitriona Balfe/Belfast (3)

2) Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog (1)

3) Aunjunue Ellis/King Richard (4)

4) Rutyh Negga/Passing (New)

5) Ann Dowd/Mass (2)

Alternates: Judi Dench/Belfast and Marlee Matlin/CODA

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast (2)

2) Bradley Cooper/Licorice Pizza (1)

3) Jamie Dornan/Belfast (3)

4) Jared Leto/House of Gucci (New)

5) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog (5)

Alternates: Ben Affleck/The Tender Bar and Jason Isaacs/Mass

NEW CATEGORIES FIRST PREDICTIONS

ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Dune

2) The Power of the Dog

3) Spencer

4) The French Dispatch

5) Don't Look Up

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and The Tragedy of Macbeth

ORIGINAL SONG

1) Believe/King Richard

2) No Time to Die/No Time to Die

3) Down to Joy/Belfast

4) So May We Start/Annette

5) Guns Go Bang/The Harder They Fall

Alternates: Colombia Mi Encanto/Encanto, Believe/The Rescue and Every Letter/Cyrano

BEST COSTUME

1) Cruella

2) Dune

3) Spencer

4) Nightmare Alley

5) House of Gucci

Alternates: The French Dispatch and West Side Story

TRAILERS

NEW TRAILER FOR THE POWER OF THE DOG

CITIZEN ASHE

VARIETY'S AWARDS CIRCUIT PODCAST:

DAKOTA JOHNSON/THE LOST DAUGHTER

JAMIE DORNAN/BELFAST

INTERVIEWS: BRANAGH, SMITH, MILLS

I've linked interviews from the past week with some TFF #48 players.

Kenneth Branagh/Belfast from Anne Thompson/Indiewire

Will Smith/King Richard from Alexia Smith/People

Mike Mills/C'mon C'mon from Jack Smart/Backstage

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays