MTFB'S Final Oscar Nomination Predictions / Tight Spots / Final Oscar Nomination Predictions from the Experts

MTFB'S FINAL OSCAR NOMINATION PREDICTIONS

Here they be.  

My final Oscar nomination predictions for the 94th Academy Awards.  Over the last six years my success rate has been 78.5%.  Should that hold tomorrow, I'll land somewhere around 94 out of the 120 nominees that will be announced.  Additionally, the film/performer that I have listed as the first alternate in each category will be a nominee in about 30% of the cases where I miss at least one nominee in a category.  All that said, BAFTA nominations last week seemed weird and I expect some more weird tomorrow morning.

As always, TFF #48 films/performers are in Bold.

I'll have nominees up sometime fairly soon after the announcements and likely a comment or two.

BEST PICTURE 

1) Belfast

2) The Power of the Dog

3) Dune

4) Licorice Pizza

5) West Side Story

6) Don't Look Up

7) CODA

8) King Richard

9) Being the Ricardos

10) tick, tick...BOOM

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and Drive My Car

BEST DIRECTION

1) Jane Campion/The Power of the Dog

2) Kenneth Branagh/Belfast

3) Denis Villenueve/Dune

4) Paul Thomas Anderson/Licorice Pizza

5) Steven Spielberg/West Side Story

Alternates: Ryusuke Hamaguchi/Drive My Car and Adam McKay/Don't Look Up

BEST ACTRESS

1) Nicole Kidman/Being the Ricardos

2) Lady Gaga/House of Gucci

3) Olivia Colman/The Lost Daughter

4) Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye

5) Jennifer Hudson/Respect

Alternates: Kristen Stewart/Spencer and Alana Haim/Licorice Pizza 

BEST ACTOR 

1) Will Smith/King Richard

2) Benedict Cumberbatch/The Power of the Dog

3) Andrew Garfield/tick, tick...BOOM

4) Denzel Washington/The Tragedy of Macbeth

5) Leonardo DiCaprio/Don't Look Up

Alternates: Javier Bardem/Being the Ricardos and Peter Dinklage/Cyrano

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS 

1) Ariana DeBose/West Side Story

2) Caitriona Balfe/Belfast

3) Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog

4) Aunjanue Ellis/King Richard

5) Cate Blanchett/Nightmare Alley

Alternates: Ruth Negga/Passing and Anne Dowd/Mass

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog

2) Troy Kotsur/CODA

3) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast

4) Bradley Cooper/Licorice Pizza

5) Jared Leto/House of Gucci

Alternates: Ben Affleck/The Tender Bar and Jamie Dornan/Belfast

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY 

1) Belfast 

2) Licorice Pizza 

3) Don't Look Up 

4) King Richard 

5) Being the Ricardos 

Alternates: Parallel Mothers and The French Dispatch

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY 

1) The Power of the Dog 

2) The Lost Daughter

3) West Side Story

4) CODA 

5) Drive My Car 

Alternates: Dune and The Tragedy of Macbeth

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE 

1) Drive My Car/Japan 

2) The Worst Person in the World/Norway 

3) The Hand of God/Italy 

4) A Hero/Iran 

5) Flee/Denmark 

Alternates: Compartment #6/Finland and I'm Your Man/Germany

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE 

1) Encanto 

2) The Mitchells vs. the Machines 

3) Flee 

4) Luca 

5) Raya and the Last Dragon 

Alternates: Belle and Sing 2

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1) Flee

2) Summer of Soul

3) The Rescue

4) Ascension

5) Procession

Alternates: Attica and The First Wave 

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) Dune

2) The Power of the Dog

3) The Tragedy of Macbeth

4) Belfast

5) Nightmare Alley

Alternates: West Side Story and No Time to Die 

BEST EDITING

1) Dune

2) Belfast

3) The Power of the Dog

4) Don't Look Up

5) Licorice Pizza

Alternates: No Time to Die and West Side Story 

         

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN 

1) Dune 

2) Nightmare Alley 

3) West Side Story

4) Belfast 

5) The French Dispatch 

Alternates: The Tragedy of Macbeth and Cruella

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE 

1) Dune 

2) The Power of the Dog 

3) The French Dispatch 

4) Don't Look Up

5) Encanto 

Alternates: Parallel Mothers and Spencer

BEST ORIGINAL SONG 

1) No Time to Die/No Time to Die 

2) Be Alive/King Richard 

3) Dos Oruguitas/Encanto 

4) Just Look Up/Don't Look Up

5) Down to Joy/Belfast 

Alternates: Guns Go Bang/The Harder They Fall and Here I Am/Respect

BEST COSTUMES 

1) Cruella

2) Dune 

3) West Side Story 

4) Nightmare Alley 

5) House of Gucci 

Alternates: Cyrano and Spencer

VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Dune 

2) Spiderman: No Way Home 

3) The Matrix Resurrections 

4) No Time to Die 

5) Shang Chi and The Legend of the Ten Rings 

Alternates: Godzilla vs. King Kong and Free Guy

SOUND

1) Dune 

2) West Side Story

3) No Time to Die 

4) Spiderman: No Way Home 

5) The Power of the Dog 

Alternates: The Matrix Resurrections and Belfast

MAKEUP/HAIR

1) Dune 

2) Cruella 

3) House of Gucci 

4) The Eyes of Tammy Faye 

5) Coming 2 America  

Alternates: No Time to Die and West Side Story

DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1) The Queen of Basketball

2) Terror Contagion

3) When We Were Bullies

4) Days of Rage

5) Coded: The Hidden Loves of J.C. Leyendecker

Alternates: Camp Confidential: America's Secret Nazis and Three Songs for Benazir

ANIMATED SHORT

1) Us Again

2) Robin Robin

3) Namoo

4) Bestia

5) The Windshield Wiper

Alternates: The Musician and Step into the River

LIVE ACTION SHORT

1) The Long Goodbye

2) When the Sun Sets

3) Censor of Dreams

4) Frimas

5) Please Hold

Alternates: Ala Kachuu: Take and Run and Under the Heavens

THOUGHTS:

I have Dune and The Power of the Dog both getting 10 nominations  followed by:

Belfast-9

West Side Story-7

Don't Look Up-6

Licorice Pizza and King Richard -5

Nightmare Alley and House of Gucci-4

CODA, Being the Ricardos, No Time to Die, Encanto and Flee-3

tick, tick...BOOM, Drive My Car, The Lost Daughter, The Tragedy of Macbeth, The Eyes of Tammy Faye, The French Dispatch, Cruella and Spiderman: No Way Home-2

All other films making the list with a single nomination.

Nightmare Alley and House of Gucci are predicted to have the most nominations without a Best Picture nomination.  However, if Blanchett does land in Supporting Actress and Nightmare picks up a not necessarily out-of-the question Adapted Screenplay nomination...who knows?  I'm rooting for that to happen.

Eleven TFF #48 films should earn at least one nomination and the TFF #48 total predicted nominations stands at 36.

TIGHT SPOTS:

Best Picture: Ay Ay AY!  Seems to me that eight or maybe even nine spots are likely decided but that last couple...yeesh.  Included in the scrum: Being the Ricardos, Nightmare Alley, tick, tick...BOOM, No Time to Die, Drive My Car, The Lost Daughter, House of Gucci, The Tragedy of Macbeth and maybe even Spiderman: No Way Home-though that bubble has lost some air over the last week or so.

Director: Campion, Branagh, PTA and Villenueve look good.  Speilberg and Hamaguchi are slugging it out for the fifth spot.

Actress: Kidman, Gaga and Colman seem solid.  Then it's ugly tight between Chastain, Hudson, Stewart (who fell so far so fast), Haim and Cruz.

Actor: Smith, Cumberbatch, Garfield and Washington are in good shape.  Last spot is a tug-of-war between DiCaprio, Bardem and Dinklage.

Supporting Actress: It already seems like DeBose has the statue in hand.  Dunst and Balfe seem safe for a nom.  Ellis, Blanchett and Negga are bunched tightly.

Supporting Actor: Smit-McPhee and Kotsur are good to go.  Hinds should have been a lock but missing the BAFTA nom last week makes him vulnerable.  Cooper has come on strong of late.  Last spot probably goes to Leto but there are strong challenges from Affleck, Dornan and a surging Plemons.

Original Screenplay: The top five here seem to be in good shape.

Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog and The Lost Daughter seem locked than it gets brutal with CODA, Drive My Car, West Side Story, Dune, The Tragedy of Macbeth and Nightmare Alley all battling to get one of the last three spots.

FINAL OSCAR NOMINATION PREDICITONS FROM THE EXPERTS:

Clayton Davis/Variety

Scott Feinberg/The Hollywood Reporter

Anne Thonpson/Indiewire

Sasha Stone/Awards Daily

Andrew Carden/The Awards Connection

Vanity Fair

Joey Magidson/Awards Radar

Matt Neglia/Next Best Picture 

Erik Anderson/Awards Watch

Kyle Buchanan/The New York Times

Nathaniel Rogers/The Film Experience

Mark Johnson/Good as Gold

Gregory Ellwood/The Playlist

Gold Derby

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MTFB Oscar Update: Screenplays and More / BAFTA Nominations Announced

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SCREENPLAYS AND MORE

Here are the latest nomination predictions for these five categories.  These were last predicted on Jan. 20th.  TFF #48 films are indicated in Bold.  The film's previous ranking is indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Belfast (1)

2) Licorice Pizza (2)

3) Don't Look Up (3)

4) King Richard (4)

5) Being the Ricardos (5)

Alternates: Parallel Mothers and The French Dispatch

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) The Power of the Dog (1)

2) The Lost Daughter (2)

3) West Side Story (4)

4) CODA (3)

5) Drive My Car (5)

Alternates: Dune and The Tragedy of Macbeth

VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Dune (1)

2) Spiderman: No Way Home (2)

3) The Matrix Resurrections (4)

4) No Time to Die (3)

5) Shang Chi and The Legend of the Ten Rings (5)

Alternates: Godzilla vs. King Kong and Free Guy

SOUND

1) Dune (1)

2) West Side Story (2)

3) No Time to Die (3)

4) Spiderman: No Way Home (5)

5) The Power of the Dog (Alt.)

Alternates: The Matrix Resurrections and Belfast

MAKEUP/HAIR

1) Dune (1)

2) Cruella (2)

3) House of Gucci (3)

4) The Eyes of Tammy Faye (4)

5) Coming 2 America (5) 

Alternates: No Time to Die and West Side Story

My final nomination predictions for all categories will be up Monday and I will have a special post on Tuesday after the Oscar nominations are announced.

BAFTA NOMINATIONS ANNOUNCED

The British Association of Film and Television Arts announced their nominees today.  It's the last major "precursor" prior to Tuesday morning's Oscar announcement.  An astonishing 13 films from TFF #48 and one form TFF #47 were nominated for at least one BAFTA award this morning.  The Power of the Dog had the second most nominations overall with eight (Dune led all films with 11) and was the most nominated Telluride film.  Here's the rundown of what/who was nominated that played at The SHOW:

The Power of the Dog-8- Best Film, Direction (Campion), Actor (Cumberbatch), Supporting Actor (Smit-McPhee), Supporting Actor (Plemons), Adapted Screenplay, Score and Cinematography.

Belfast-6- Best Film, Best British Film, Supporting Actress (Balfe), Supporting Actor (Hinds), Original Screenplay, Editing.

Cyrano-4- Best British Film, Production Design, Costumes, Makeup/Hair

King Richard-4- Actor (Smith), Supporting Actress (Ellis), Original Screenplay and Casting.

The French Dispatch-3- Score, Production Design and Casting.

Almost Love (from TFF #47)-3- Best British Film, Debut (Khan) Direction (Khan)

The Lost Daughter-2- Original Screenplay and Supporting Actress (Buckley).

Flee-2- Best Film Not in the English Language and Best Animated Film.

Hand of God-2- Best Film Not in the English Language and Casting.

C'mon C'mon-1-Supporting Actor (Norman).

Petit Maman-1- Best Film Not in the English Language.

Becoming Cousteau-1- Documentary.

Cow-1- Documentary.

The Rescue-1- Documentary.

The complete listing of BAFTA nominees is linked here from Variety.

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MTFB Oscar Update: Supporting Actors and More / Current Predicted Oscar Totals from MTFB / Interviews and Profiles

 MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SUPPORTING ACTORS AND MORE

Oscar nominations are coming soon.  Nominations will be announced in 23 categories on Tuesday Feb. 8th.  MTFB will have its final predictions here on Monday Feb. 7th.  I am also planning a special added post on Feb. 8th after the nominations have been announced.

Here's your update on the Supporting Acting races as well as Score, Song and Costumes.  These predictions were last updated on Jan. 17th.  TFF #48 performances/films are indicated in Bold and their previous position in my predictions are indicated to the right in parentheses.

Check out my current predictions for all 20 feature film categories on MTFB's Oscar Update Page.  

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Ariana DeBose/West Side Story (1)

2) Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog (3)

3) Caitirona Balfe/Belfast (2)

4) Aunjunue Ellis/King Richard (4)

5) Ruth Negga/Passing (5)

Alternates: Cate Blanchett/Nightmare Alley and Anne Dowd/ Mass

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog (1)

2) Troy Kotsur/CODA (2)

3) Bradley Cooper/Licorice Pizza (4)

4) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast (3)

5) Jared Leto/House of Gucci (5)

Alternates: Jamie Dornan/Belfast and Ben Affleck/The Tender Bar

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) The French Dispatch (3)

4) Don't Look Up (4)

5) Encanto (Alt.)

Alternates: Parallel Mothers and Spencer

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) No Time to Die/No Time to Die (1)

2) Be Alive/King Richard (2)

3) Dos Oruguitas/Encanto (3)

4) Just Look Up/Don't Look Up (5)

5) Down to Joy/Belfast (4)

Alternates: Guns Go Bang/The Harder They Fall and Here I Am/Respect

BEST COSTUMES

1) Cruella (1)

2) Dune (2)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) Nightmare Alley (5)

5) House of Gucci (4)

Alternates: Cyrano and Spencer

CURRENT PREDICTED OSCAR TOTALS

Over on MTFB's Oscar Take page, here's the current breakdown of Oscar nomination predictions I have for TFF #48 films as well as totals for the 10 films I am currently predicting will be Best Picture nominees.

Belfast Total-10 and 1 Alternate: Picture, Direction (Branagh), Supporting Actress (Balfe), Supporting Actor (Hinds), Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Sound, Production Design and Song.  Alternate: Supporting Actor (Dornan).

The Power of the Dog- Total 9 and 1 Alternate. Picture, Direction (Campion) , Actor (Cumberbatch), Supporting Actress (Dunst), Supporting Actor (Smit-McPhee), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Score. Alternate:  Sound

King Richard Total-5: Picture, Actor (Smith), Supporting Actress (Ellis), Original Screenplay and Song.  

Flee Total- 3: International Feature, Animated Feature, Documentary Feature

The Lost Daughter Total-2 and 1 Alternate: Actress (Colman), Adapted Screenplay.  Alternate: Best Direction (Gyllenhaal) 

The French Dispatch Total-2: Production Design and Score. 

Spencer Total- 1 and 3 Alternates- Actress (Stewart).  Alternates: Original Score, Costumes and Cinematography

Cyrano Total- 1 and 1 Alternate: Actor (Dinklage).  Alternate: Costumes

A Hero Total- 1 and 1 Alternate: International Feature.  Alternate: Original Screenplay

The Hand of God Total- 1: International Feature

The Rescue Total-1: Documentary Feature

Procession Total-1: Documentary Feature

C'mon C'mon Total- 1 Alternate: Original Screenplay

The Velvet Underground Total -1 Alternate: Documentary Feature

As of this assessment, TFF #48 films are predicted to net 37 nominations with another 10 Alternates in play. An incredible14 TFF #48 films could have at least one Oscar nomination on Feb. 8th.

My other Best Picture predictions and what I expect that they're nominations will be:

Dune-10 nominations: Best Picture, Direction (Villenueve), Cinematography, Editing, Production Design, Score, Costumes, Visual Effects, Sound and Makeup/Hair.  Also possible: Adapted Screenplay

West Side Story- 9 nominations: Best Picture, Direction (Spielberg), Supporting Actress (DeBose), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Production Design, Costumes and Sound.  Also possible: Makeup/Hair

Don't Look Up- 5 nominations: Best Picture, Original Screenplay, Editing, Score, Song.  Also possible Actor (DiCaprio) 

Being the Ricardos- 3 nominations: Best Picture, Actress (Kidman) and Original Screenplay.  Also possible: Actor (Bardem)

CODA- 3 nominations: Best Picture, Supporting Actor (Kotsur) and Adapted Screenplay

tick, tick...BOOM- 2 nominations: Best Picture, Actor (Garfield).  Also possible: Sound

Licorice Pizza- 4 nominations: Best Picture, Direction (Anderson), Supporting Actor (Cooper), Original Screenplay.  Also possible: Actress (Haim) and Editing.

And right now I have House of Gucci the most nominated without getting a Best Picture nomination with 4: Best Actress (Gaga), Supporting Actor (Leto), Costumes and Makeup/Hair.

Last note here: I feel like Nightmare Alley is gaining ground.  I currently have it predicted for 2 nominations (Production Design and Costumes) with a shot at Supporting Actress (Blanchett) and Cinematography.  Since its Writers Guild nomination for Best Adapted Screenplay last week, I'm beginning to think that should it land an Oscar nomination in that category and if Blanchett lands in the five Supporting Actress nominees, Nightmare Alley might sneak into Best Picture and supplant Being the Ricardos or tick, tick...BOOM or even Don't Look Up.

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

Jamie Dornan of Belfast from The Belfast Telegraph

The cast and crew of The Power of the Dog with Variety

Kristen Stewart and Pablo Larrain of Spencer from Variety

The cast and crew of Cyrano from Variety

Director Robert Greene of Procession from The Chicago Daily Herald

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MTFB Oscar Take: Supporting Players and More / Interviews and Profiles: Dinklage, Branagh, Farhadi and Others

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: SUPPORTING ACTORS AND MORE

Here's your update on the Supporting Acting races as well as Score, Song and Costumes.  These predictions were last updated on Jan. 3rd.  TFF #48 performances/films are indicated in Bold and their previous position in my predictions are indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Ariana DeBose/West side Story (1)

2) Caitriona Balfe/Belfast (2)

3) Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog (4)

4) Aujunue Ellis/King Richard (3)

5) Ruth Negga/Passing (5)

Alternates: Anne Dowd/Mass, Cate Blanchett/Nightmare Alley and Rita Moreno/West Side Story

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog (1)

2) Troy Kotsur/CODA (3)

3) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast (2)

4) Bradley Cooper/Licorice Pizza (Alt.)

5) Jared Leto/House of Gucci

Alternates: Jamie Dornan/Belfast and Ben Affleck/The Tender Bar

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3)The French Dispatch (4)

4) Don't Look Up (3)

5) Parallel Mothers (Alt.)

Alternates: Spencer and Encanto

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) No Time to Die/No Time to Die (2)

2) Be Alive/King Richard (1)

3) Dos Oruguitas/Encanto (4)

4) Down to Joy/Belfast (Alt.)

5) Just Look Up/Don't Look Up (3)

Alternates: Guns Go Bang/The Harder They Fall and Here I Am/Respect

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1) Cruella (1)

2) Dune (2)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) House of Gucci (4)

5) Nightmare Alley (Alt.)

Alternates: Spencer and The French Dispatch

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

Actor Peter Dinklage on Cyrano from The Playlist

Dinklage and actress Haley Bennett plus more from Cyrano from Variety

Writer/Director Asghar Farhadi on A Hero from The Hollywood Reporter

Writer /Director Kenneth Branagh plus actors: Jude Hill, Caitriona Balfe, Jamie Dornan and Ciaran Hinds 

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MTFB Oscar Take: Lead Acting and More Updated / SAG Nominations and TFF #48 / BAFTA Longlist and TFF #48

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: LEAD ACTORS AND MORE UPDATED

Here's an update for my predictions of  the lead acting categories, cinematography, editing and production design for the 94th Academy Awards.  As always, TFF #48 films/performers are in Bold. The previous position for these predictions is indicated to the right in parentheses.  These categories were last predicted on Dec. 30th.

BEST ACTRESS

1) Kristen Stewart/Spencer (1)

2) Nicole Kidman/Being the Ricardos (2)

3) Olivia Colman/The Lost Daughter (4)

4) Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye (3)

5) Lady Gaga/House of Gucci (5)

Alternates: Alana Haim/Licorice Pizza and Rachel Zegler/West Side Story

BEST ACTOR

1) Will Smith/King Richard (1)

2) Benedict Cumberbatch/The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Andrew Garfield/tick, tick...BOOM (3)

4)Denzel Washington/The Tragedy of Macbeth (4)

5) Peter Dinklage/Cyrano (5)

Alternates: Leonardo DiCaprio/Don't Look Up and Nicolas Cage/Pig

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) The Tragedy of Macbeth (5)

5) Belfast (4)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and Spencer

BEST EDITING

1) Dune (1)

2) Belfast (2)

3) West Side Story (4)

4) The Power of the Dog (3)

5) Licorice Pizza (5)

Alternates: Don't look Up and King Richard

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Dune (1)

2) Nightmare Alley (2)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) Belfast (5)

5) The French Dispatch (4)

Alternates: The Tragedy of Macbeth and Cyrano

SCREEN ACTORS GUILD NOMINATIONS AND TFF #48

The Screen Actors Guild announced nominees for their prizes yesterday.  TFF #48 films fared as follows:

Belfast: Best Cast and Supporting Actress Caitriona Balfe

King Richard: Best Cast and Lead Actor Will Smith

The Power of the Dog: Best Lead Actor Benedict Cumberbatch, Supporting Actress Kirsten Dunst and Supporting Actor Kodi Smit-McPhee

The Lost Daughter: Lead Actress Olivia Colman

Surprises:

No Best Cast nomination for The Power of the Dog despite a leading three nominations in the individual acting categories.

No Kristen Stewart Best Actress nomination for Spencer

Strong support for House of Gucci with a Best Cast nomination and individual nods for Lady Gaga and Jared Leto.

Don't Look Up gets a Best Cast nomination but not a single individual nomination.

West Side Story getting a single individual nomination for Ariana De Bose and no Best Cast nomination.

Here's the link to the entire list of SAG-Aftra nominees.

BAFTA LONG LIST AND TFF #48

The British Academy of Film and Television Arts announced their long lists for each competitive film category yesterday.  The longlists establish what films are still alive for actual BAFTA nominations.  Here's how TFF #48 films fared.  Total 

Belfast (14): Best Film, Best British Film, Direction, Original Screenplay, Supporting Actress (Balfe), Supporting Actress (Dench), Supporting Actor (Hinds), Supporting Actor (Dornan), Casting, Cinematography, Costumes, Editing, Production Design and Sound.

The Power of the Dog (14): Best Film, Direction, Adapted Screenplay, Actor (Cumberbatch), Supporting Actress (Dunst), Supporting Actor (Smit-McPhee), Supporting Actor (Plemons), Costumes, Cinematography, Costumes, Editing, Score, Production Design and Sound.

The French Dispatch (11): Best Film, Original Screenplay, Supporting Actor (Del Toro), Cinematography, Costumes, Editing, Makeup/Hair, Score, Production Design, Visual Effects and Sound.

The Lost Daughter (8): Best Film, Direction, Adapted Screenplay, Actress (Colman), Supporting Actress (Buckley), Costumes, Editing  and Score.

King Richard (7): Best Film, Direction, Original Screenplay, Actor (Smith), Supporting Actress (Ellis), Casting and Score.

Cyrano (7): Outstanding British Film, Adapted Screenplay, Actor (Dinklage), Cinematography, Costumes, Makeup/Hair and Production Design.

The Electrical Life of Louis Wain (5): Outstanding British Film, Costumes, Makeup/Hair, Score and Production Design

The Hand of God (5): Best Non-English Language Film, Direction, Original Screenplay, Casting and Editing.

Spencer (4); Outstanding British Film, Actress (Stewart), Costumes and Score.

C'mon C'mon (4): Original Screenplay, Actor (Phoenix), Supporting Actor (Norman) and Cinematography

Petite Maman (3); Best Non-English Language Film, Direction and Original Screenplay.

Flee (3): Best Non-English Language Film, Animated Feature and Documentary Feature.

Single mentions for:

The Card Counter: Original Screenplay

The Duke: Original Screenplay

A Hero: Best Non-English Language Film

Encounter: Best Actor (Ahmed)

Becoming Cousteau: Best Documentary Feature

Cow: Best Documentary Feature

The Real Charlie Chaplin: Best Documentary Feature

The Rescue: Best Documentary Feature

The Velvet Underground: Best Documentary Feature

TFF #47 films on the longlist were

After Love (6): Outstanding British Film, Outstanding Debut, Direction, Original Screenplay, Actress (Scanlan) and Casting.

Also a single mention for First Cow for Direction.

(***The Duke was also listed as a TFF #47 selection)

All told 23 feature films from the last two SHOWS are still in the hunt for BAFTA recognition.  BBAFTA will announce the nominees on February 3rd.

The complete list of the BAFTA longlist is linked here.

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MTFB Oscar Update: Supporting Acting and More / Interviews and Profiles

 MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SUPPORTING ACTING, SCORE, SONG AND COSTUMES

Here's your update on the Supporting Acting races as well as Score, Song and Costumes.  These predictions were last updated on Dec. 20th.  TFF #48 performances/films are indicated in Bold and their previous position in my predictions are indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST SUPPORTING SCTRESS

1) Ariana DeBose/West Side Story (2)

2) Caitriona Balfe/Belfast (1)

3) Aujunue Ellis/King Richard (4)

4) Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog (3)

5) Ruth Negga/Passing (5)

Alternates: Rita Moreno/West Side Story and Anne Dowd/Mass

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog (2)

2) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast (1)

3) Tony Kotsur/CODA (3)

4) Jamie Dornan/Belfast (4)

5) Jared LKodieto/House of Gucci (5)

Alternates: Bradley Cooper/Licorice Pizza and Ben Affleck/The Tender Bar

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Don't Look Up (3)

4) The French Dispatch (5)

5) Spencer (4)

Alternates: Parallel Mothers and Encanto

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) Be Alive/King Richard (1)

2) No Time to Die/No Time to Die (2)

3) Just Look Up/Don't Look Up (4)

4) Dos Oruguitas/Encanto (5)

5) Guns Go Bang/The Harder They Fall (New)

Alternates: Down to Joy/Belfast and So May We Start/Annette

BEST COSTUMES

1) Cruella (2)

2) Dune (1)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) House of Gucci (New)

5) Spencer (Alt.)

Alternates: The French Dispatch and Nightmare Alley

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

Writer/Director Asghar Farhadi on A Hero from The National Board of Review

Cinematographer Robert Yeoman/The French Dispatch from Next Best Picture

Film Editor Una Ni Dhonghaile/Belfast from Gold Derby

The Crew from Procession from Indiewire

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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MTFB Oscar Update: Supporting Acting and More / L.A. Film Critics and TFF #48 / Interviews and Profiles: Will Smith, Kenneth Branagh and More

 MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SUPPORTING ACTING, SCORE, SONG AND COSTUMES

Here's your update on the Supporting Acting races as well as Score, Song and Costumes.  These predictions were last updated on Dec. 6th.  TFF #48 performances/films are indicated in Bold and their previous position in my predictions are indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Caitriona Balfe/Belfast (1)

2) Ariana DeBose/West Side Story (Alt.)

3) Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog (2)

4) Aujunue Ellis/King Richard (3)

5) Ruth Negga/Passing (4)

Alternates: Anne Dowd/Mass and Rita Moreno/West Side Story

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast (1)

2) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog (2)

3)Tony Kotsur/CODA (New)

4) Jamie Dornan/Belfast (4)

5) Jared Leto/House of Gucci (5)

Alternates: Ben Affleck/The Tender Bar and Bradley Cooper/Licorice Pizza

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Don't Look Up (5)

4) Spencer (3)

5) The French Dispatch (4)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and Cyrano

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) Be Alive/King Richard (1)

2) No Time to Die/No Time to Die (2)

3) Down to Joy/Belfast (3)

4) Just Look Up/Don't Look Up (5)

5) Dos Oruguitas/Encanto (New)

Alternates: Every Letter/Cyrano and Beyond the Shore/CODA

BEST COSTUMES

1) Dune (1)

2) Cruella (2)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) Cyrano (New)

5) The Tragedy of Macbeth (New)

Alternates: Spencer and The French Dispatch

L.A. FILM CRITICS AND TFF #48

The Los Angeles Film Critics Association held their annual meet-up to name the Best of Film for 2021 on Saturday.  Seven TFF #48 films were named either a winner or runner-up in one of the LAFCA's 16 categories. TFF #48 films performances that were named either the winner or runner-up were:

The Power of the Dog: Winner: Best Direction (Campion), Best Supporting Actor (Smit-McPhee), Best Cinematography.  Runner-up: Best Picture, Best Actor (Cumberbatch), Best Score.

Flee: Winner: Best Animated Film

Petite Maman: Winner: Best Foreign Language Film

Red Rocket: Winner: Best Actor (Rex)

Procession: Runner-up: Best Documentary

King Richard: Runner-up: Best Supporting Actress (Ellis)

Spencer: Runner-up: Best Score

Ryusuke Hamaguchi's Drive My Car was named Best Picture of the Year but The Power of the Dog was the most noted film of the day with its three wins and three runners-up.

The complete list of LAFCA winners and runners-up is linked here from Indiewire.

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

Writer/Director Sean Baker/Red Rocket/Gold Derby

Writer/Director Kenneth Branagh/Belfast/Deadline

Writer/Director Asghar Farhadi/A Hero/Gold Derby

Actor Will Smith/King Richard/Variety

Actor Dakota Johnson/The Lost Daughter/Awards Watch

 

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

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MTFB Oscar Update: Lead Acting, Cinematography, Editing, Production Design / Independent Spirit awards and TFF #48 / Indiewire Survey of Critics / Interviews and Profiles

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: LEAD ACTING, CINEMATOGRAPHY, EDITING AND PRODUCTION DESIGN

Here's an update for my predictions of  the lead acting categories, cinematography, editing and production design for the 94th Academy Awards.  As always, TFF #48 films/performers are in Bold. The last position for these predictions is indicated to the right in parentheses.  These categories were last predicted on Dec. 2nd.

BEST ACTRESS

1) Kristen Stewart/Spencer (1)

2) Nicole Kidman/Being the Ricardos (2)

3) Olivia Colman/The Lost Daughter (4)

4) Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye (3)

5) Lady Gaga/House of Gucci (Alt.)

Alternates: Penelope Cruz/Parallel Mothers and Alana Haim/Licorice Pizza

BEST ACTOR

1) Will Smith/King Richard (1)

2) Benedict Cumberbatch/The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Andrew Garfield/tick, tick, BOOM (3)

4) Denzel Washington/The Tragedy of Macbeth (4)

5) Peter Dinklage/Cyrano (Alt.)

Alternates: Leonardo DiCaprio/Don't Look Up and Clifton Collins/Jockey

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) The Tragedy of Macbeth (3)

4) West Side Story (Alt.)

5) Belfast (4)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and Spencer

BEST EDITING

1) Belfast (1)

2) Dune (2)

3) West Side Story (Alt.)

4) The Power of the Dog (3)

5) Don't Look Up (4)

Alternates: Being the Ricardos and King Richard

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Nightmare Alley (2)

2) Dune (1)

3) West Side Story (4)

4) The French Dispatch (3)

5) The Tragedy of Macbeth (Alt.)

Alternates: Being the Ricardos and Belfast

INDEPENDENT SPIRIT NOMINEES AND TFF #48

The Independent Spirit Film Awards nominations were announced on Tuesday and TFF #48  films earned a dozen nominations.  They were:

The Lost Daughter (4): Best Feature, Direction (Gyllenhaal), Supporting Actress (Buckley), Screenplay

C'mon C'mon (3): Best Feature, Direction (Mills), Screenplay

Red Rocket (2): Best Actor (Rex), Supporting Actress (Son)

Flee (1): Best Documentary

Procession (1): Best Documentary

Petite Maman (1): Best International Feature

The complete list of Independent Spirit Awards nominees is linked here from Indiewire.

INDIEWIRE SURVEY OF CRITICS

Indiewire compiled responses from over 180 critics to arrive at a list of the top ten films of 2022 and the best in a number of categories.  Here's what TFF #48 films landed on their lists:

The Power of the Dog mentioned five times: #1 Best Film, #1 Direction (Campion), #1 Performance (Cumberbatch), #1 Cinematography, #4 Screenplay

The French Dispatch mentioned four times: #6 Best Film, #6 Direction (Anderson), #9 Cinematography, #3 Screenplay

TFF #48 films with three mentions:

Flee: #7 Best Film, #1 Documentary, #4 International Film

Petite Maman: #8 Best Film, #10 Direction (Sciamma), #9 International Film

Spencer: #9 Best Direction (Larrain), #2 Performance (Stewart), #3 Cinematography

The Lost Daughter: #6 Best Performance (Colman), #7 Screenplay, #1 Best First Film

A Hero had two mentions: #5 Best Screenplay, #10 International Film

Single mentions for TFF #48 films included:

C'mon C'mon: #10 Best Film

Cyrano: #8 Best Performance (Dinklage)

King Richard: #10 Best Performance (Smith)

Procession #3: Best Documentary

The Velvet Underground: #4 Best Documentary

The Rescue: #5 Best Documentary

Belfast: #10 Cinematography

Bergman Island: #10 Best Screenplay

The complete rundown in all categories is linked here from Indiewire.

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

Aujunue Ellis/King Richard from The Hollywood Reporter

Caitriona Balfe/Belfast from Gold Derby

Ciaran Hinds/Belfast from Deadline

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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MTFB Oscar Update: Supporting Acting, Score, Song, Costumes / Interviews, Profiles and Podcasts

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SUPPOTING ACTING, SCORE, SONG, COSTUMES

Here's your update on the Supporting Acting races as well as Score, Song and Costumes.  These predictions were last updated on Nov. 22nd.  TFF #48 performances/films are indicated in Bold and their previous position in my predictions are indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Caitriona Balfe/Belfast (1)

2) Kristen Dunst/The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Aujunue Ellis/King Richard (3)

4) Ruth Negga/Passing (4)

5) Anne Dowd/Mass (Alt.)

Alternates: Judi Dench/Belfast and Adriana DeBose/West Side Story.  Note: Look out for up and comer Rita Moreno from West Side Story

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast (1)

2) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog (5)

3) J. K. SImmons/Being the Ricardos (3)

4) Jamie Dornan/Belfast (4)

5) Jared Leto/House of Gucci (Alt.)

Alternates: Jon Bernthal/King Richard and Ben Affleck/The Tender Bar

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Spencer (3)

4) The French Dispatch (4)

5) Don't Look Up (5)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and The Tragedy of Macbeth

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) Be Alive/King Richard (1)

2) Not Time to Die/No Time to Die (2)

3) Down to Joy/Belfast (3)

4) Guns Go Bang/The Harder They Fall (4)

5) Just Look Up/Don't Look Up (New)

Alternates:  So May We Start/Annette and Columbia Mi Encanto/Encanto

BEST COSTUME

1) Dune (2)

2) Cruella (1)

3) West Side Story (Alt.)

4) Spencer (3)

5) Nightmare Alley (4)

Alternates: Being the Ricardos and The French Dispatch

INTERVIEWS, PROFILES AND PODCASTS

SPENCER

Indiewire

Deadline

ENCOUNTER

Variety

THE CARD COUNTER

Deadline

THE LOST DAUGHTER

Deadline

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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