I have updated Oscar predictions for winners in these six categories today. TFF #48 Films are Bold.
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
1) Summer of Soul
2) Flee
3) Attica
4) Ascension
5) Writing with Fire
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
1) Encanto
2) The Mitchells vs. the Machines
3) Flee
4) Luca
5) Raya and the Last Dragon
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
1) Drive My Car
2) The Worst Person in the World
3) The Hand of God
4) Flee
5) Luana: A Yak in the Classroom
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
1) The Power of the Dog
2) Dune
3) The Tragedy of Macbeth
4) Nightmare Alley
5) West Side Story
BEST EDITING
1) Dune
2) The Power of the Dog
3) King Richard
4) Don't Look Up
5) tick, tick...BOOM
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
1) Dune
2) Nightmare Alley
3) West Side Story
4) The Power of the Dog
5) The Tragedy of Macbeth
A couple of quivers of movement since these categories were last updated on Feb. 17th. Flee and Luca swap spots in Best Animated Feature as do King Richard and Don't Look Up for Editing.
The current predictions for the other 14 feature categories at the moment are:
BEST PICTURE
1) The Power of the Dog
2) Belfast
3) West Side Story
4) King Richard
5) Dune
6) Licorice Pizza
7) CODA
8) Don't Look Up
9) Drive My Car
10) Nightmare Alley
BEST DIRECTION
1) Jane Campion/The Power of the Dog
2) Kenneth Branagh/Belfast
3) Steven Spielberg/West Side Story
4) Licorice Pizza/Paul Thomas Anderson
5) Ryusuke Hamaguchi/Drive My Car
BEST ACTRESS
1) Nicole Kidman/Being the Ricardos
2) Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye
3) Kristen Stewart/Spencer
4) Olivia Colman/The Lost Daughter
5) Penelope Cruz/Parallel Mothers
BEST ACTOR
1) Will Smith/King Richard
2) Benedict Cumberbatch/The Power of the Dog
3) Andrew Garfield/tick, tick...BOOM
4) Denzel Washington/The Tragedy of Macbeth
5) Javier Bardem/Being the Ricardos
1) BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1) Ariana DeBose/West Side Story
2) Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog
3) Aujanue Ellis/King Richard
4) Jesse Buckley/The Lost Daughter
5) Judi Dench/Belfast
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog
2) Troy Kotsur/CODA
3) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast
4) Jesse Plemons/The Power of the Dog
5) J.K. Simmons/Being the Ricardos
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1) Belfast
2) Licorice Pizza
3) Don't Look Up
4) King Richard
5) The Worst Person in the World
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1) The Power of the Dog
2) CODA
3) The Lost Daughter
4) Drive My Car
5) Dune
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
1) Dune
2) The Power of the Dog
3) Don't Look Up
4) Encanto
5) Parallel Mothers
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
1) No Time to Die/No Time to Die
2) Dos Oruguitas/Encanto
3) Be Alive/King Richard
4) Down to Joy/Belfast
5) Somehow You Do/Four Good Days
BEST COSTUMES
1) Cruella
2) Dune
3) Nightmare Alley
4) West Side Story
5) Cyrano
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
1) Dune
2) Spiderman: No Way Home
3) No Time to Die
4) Shang Chi
5) Free Guy
BEST SOUND
1) Dune
2) West Side Story
3) Not Time to Die
4) The Power of the Dog
5) Belfast
BEST MAKEUP/HAIR
1) Dune
2) Cruella
3) The Eyes of Tammy Faye
4) The House of Gucci
5) Coming 2 America
SAG AWARDS ANNOUNCED
Last night was a good night for Sundance breakout CODA and not so great a night for TFF #48 films at the SAG Awards. CODA won Best Cast and Troy Kotsur won Best Supporting Actor for his role as the deaf father of a hearing child.
TFF #48 films only scored one win and that was an expected victory for Will Smith as Best Actor for King Richard.
Other winners were:
Best Actress: Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Best Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose/West Side Story
The wins for Smith and DeBose solidify their status as Oscar frontrunners. Kotsur's win certainly improves his chances in a Oscar race that seems, or at least seemed, to be close between him and The Power of the Dog's Kodi Smit-McPhee. And does Chastain's win mean that she's now the person to beat in a crazy and divided Best Actress Oscar field?
The Dog went 0 for 3 last night with Smit-McPhee, Benedict Cumberbatch and Kirsten Dunst all coming up short. Belfast was 0 for 2 with Caitriona Balfe dropping in Supporting Actress and the film missing for Best Cast. King Richard also missed for Best Cast as well as for Aujanue Ellis as Supporting Actress. The final miss for TFF #48 performers was Olivia Colman from The Lost Daughter for Best Actress.
THE LOST DAUGHTER WINS THE USC SCRIPTER
The USC Scripter Award is annually presented to the Best Adapted Screenplay in the eyes of the Scripter's awards voters. Most thought that Jane Campion's The Power of the Dog was the likely winner here but voters opted for a different TFF #48 film honoring Maggie Gyllenhaal and the script for The Lost Daughter. The USC Scripter Award also recognizes the writer(s) of the original source material being adapted. That included author Elena Ferrante who wrote the novel that the film is based on.
Dopesick won the award for adapted television writing.
Other screenplays nominated included Passing, Dune and The Tragedy of Macbeth.
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