MTFB Oscar Take: Supporting Update / Citizen Ashe Has a Home / Deadline Talks to...Everyone

MTAFB'S OSCAR TAKE: SUPPORTING UPDATE

Here's your update on the Supporting Acting races.  This updates the predictions last posted for these categories on Sept. 27th.  TFF #48 performances are indicated in Bold and their previous position in my predictions are indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog (1)

2) Ann Dowd/Mass (2)

3) Aunjunue Ellis/King Richard (3)

4) Caitriona Balfe/Belfast (4)*

5) Adriana DeBose/West Side Story (New)

Alternates: Judi Dench/Belfast and Ruth Negga/Passing

* Depending on category placement 

Personally, I'm pulling for Dunst and Balfe.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Bradley Cooper/Licorice Pizza (1)

2) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast (2)

3) Corey Hawkins/The Tragedy of Macbeth (3)

4) Jason Issacs/Mass (4)

5) Jared Leto/House of Gucci (New)

Alternates: Ben Affleck/The Tender Bar and Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog

I'd urge Academy voters to remember Tony Kotsur in CODA and Kodi Smit-McPhee in The Power of the Dog.

CITIZEN ASHE HAS A HOME

Magnolia has acquired the domestic theatrical distribution rights to the Rex Miller/Sam Pollard documentary about tennis legend Arthur Ashe.  The film made its debut at the year's Telluride Film Festival.  The film also screened this past weekend at the BFI London Film Festival.  The film was produced by HBO Max and CNN Media among others.

More details can be found here from Blackfilm.com.

DEADLINE TALKS TO...EVERYONE

Deadline.com's "Contender" series (London) has begun and is highlighting a number of the films and filmmakers that were a part of  the 2021 edition of The SHOW.  I have linked a bunch of them here:

Belfast

Cyrano

Spencer

The Lost Daughter

The Hand of God

The Power of the Dog

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

Oscar Update: Best Supporting Actor / Variety's Biggest Movies / Deadline's Most Influential Films of the 21st Century / NBP's Best Bets for International Feature

 OSCAR UPDATE: BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Here are my latest Oscar nomination predictions for Best Supporting Actor updated since I last posted this category on  Dec. 3rd.  A performer's past position is indicated to the right in parentheses.  TFF #47 performers are indicated in Bold.

1) Sacha Baron Cohen/Trial of the Chicago 7 (2)

2) Leslie Odom Jr./One Night in Miami (1)

3) Daniel Kaluuya/Judas and the Black Messiah (7)

4) Chadwick Boseman/Da 5 Bloods (5)

5) Bill Murray/On the Rocks (3)

6) Paul Raci/Sound of Metal (-)

7) Stanley Tucci/Supernova (8)

8) Mark Rylance/Trial of the Chicago 7 (4)

9) David Stratharin/Nomadland (6)

10) Charles Dance/Mank (-)

Other possibles: Glynn Turman/Ma Rainey's Black Bottom, Eddie Redmayne/Trial of the Chicago 7, Aldis Hodge/One Night in Miami, Frank Langella/Trial of the Chicago 7.

Hot: Daniel Kaluuya/Judas and the Black Messiah, Paul Raci/Sound of Metal, Charles Dance/Mank

Not: Bill Murray/On the Rocks, Mark Rylance/Trial of the Chicago 7, David Stratharin/Nomadland

On Thursday I'll update predictions for Best Adapted Screenplay.

VARIETY'S BIGGEST MOVIES

In a story entitled "The Most Anticipated Movies Coming in 2021, Variety chronologically names 33 films to their list.  Of that 33, seven are films that I feel like could be TFF #48 films:

The French Dispatch (which Variety says is a "summer" release)

Dune (10/1)

The Last Duel (10/15)

Nightmare Alley (December)

And films for which a release date has yet to be announced:

The Tragedy of Macbeth

Soggy Bottom (or whatever Paul Thomas Anderson ultimately calls it)

Annette

The complete listing of all 33 films from Variety is linked here.

DEADLINE'S MOST INFLUENTIAL FILMS OF THE 21ST CENTURY

Deadline staff folks have come up with a listing of what they say are the most influential films of the 21st century (so far).  There are 21 films named.  Of that 21 six where TFF films:

Parasite

Roma

The Shape of Water

Moonlight

Slumdog Millionaire

There Will Be Blood (which I always count as a TFF film due the screening of a chunk of the film as part of the 2007 tribute to Paul Thomas Anderson)

I can't really argue with the choices from TFF but a surprising omission, to me at least, is Steve McQueen's 12 Years a Slave.

The complete list and commentary can be found via this link.

NBP SAYS THESE ARE YOUR BEST BETS FOR INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

Next Best Picture's Tom O'Brien writes in a piece dated  Dec. 30, 2020 that there are 10 films out in front of the pack in the International Feature Oscar race.  Of his list of 10, a couple would have played at a TFF #47: Charlatan (Czech Republic) and Never Gonna Snow Again (Poland).

I would toss in the notion that there are a couple of other TFF #47 choices that could also land in the convo:  Apples (Greece) and Notturno (Italy).

The complete list from NBP is linked here.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

Oscar Update: Best Supporting Actor / Indiewire's Top 20 and TFF / Submissions Are In for Oscar's International Films

 OSCAR UPDATE: BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Here are my latest Oscar nomination predictions for Best Supporting Actor updated since I last posted this category on  Nov. 5th.  A performer's past position is indicated to the right in parentheses.  TFF #47 performers are indicated in Bold.

1) Leslie Odom, Jr./One Night in Miami (3)

2) Sacha Baron Cohen/The Trial of the Chicago 7 (1)

3) Bill Murray/On the Rocks (4)

4) Mark Rylance/The Trial of the Chicago 7 (5)

5) Chadwick Boseman/Da 5 Bloods (2)

6) David Startharin/Nomadland (6)

7) Daniel Kaluuya/Judas and the Black Messiah (8)

8) Stanley Tucci/Supernova (-)

9) Frank Langella/The Trial of the Chicago 7 (9)

10) Yahya Abdul-Mateen II/The Trial of the Chicago 7 (-)

Others: Eddie Redmayne/The Trial of the Chicago 7, Charles Dance/Mank, Arliss Howard/Mank, Thomas Pelphrey/Mank

Hot: Odom/One Night in Miami, Tucci/Supernova, Abdul-Mateen II/Trial of the Chicago 7

Not: Boseman/Da 5 Bloods

INDIEWIRE"S TOP 20 and TFF

Indiewire's Eric Kohn has posted his selection of the 20 best films for 2020 and the list contains films that played at TFF #46 as well as films that were on the TFF #47 announced list.  TFF films that were on Kohn's list are:

#12 The Assistant (TFF #46)

#7 The Climb (TFF #46)

#4 Nomadland (TFF #47)

#1 First Cow (TFF #46)

Kohn's complete list is linked here.

SUBMISSIONS ARE IN FOR OSCAR'S INTERNATIONAL FILMS

The deadline has come and gone for submission for International Film Oscar submissions.  As you might expect, some TFF #47 choices were submitted.  Gregory Ellwood of The Playlist has handicapped the field and among the more likely players for an Oscar nomination in his assessment are these TFF #47 selections:

Apples/Greece

Charlatan/Czech Republic

Notturno/Italy

Never Gonna Snow Again/Poland

Here's Ellwood's complete list of predictions from The Playlist.

Additionally, from Matt neglia at Next Best Picture, here's the complete list of all submissions.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

Oscar Update: Best Supporting Actor / Oscar Experts: Erik Anderson-Awards Watch / Greece Picks Apples

 OSCAR UPDATE: BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Here are my latest Oscar nomination predictions for Best Supporting Actor updated since I last posted this category on  Oct. 5th.  A performer's past position is indicated to the right in parentheses.  TFF #47 performers are indicated in Bold.

1) Sasha Baron Cohen/The Trial of the Chicago 7 (2)

2) Chadwick Boseman/Da 5 Bloods (1)

3) Leslie Odom Jr./One Night in Miami (11)

4) Bill Murray/On the Rocks (8)

5) Mark Rylance/The Trial of the Chicago 7 (7)

6) David Stratharin/Nomadland (4)

7) Eddie Redmayne/The Trial of the Chicago 7 (9)

8) Daniel Kaluuya/Judas and the Black Messiah (-)

9) Frank Langella/The Trial of the Chicago 7 (10)

10) Charles Dance/Mank (-)

OSCAR EXPERTS PREDICT: ERIK ANDERSON-AWARDS WATCH

Erik Anderson of Awards Watch has this current take on the Oscars.  Here are the films that he views as the biggest players (TFF #47 films in Bold.

Mank (10): Best Picture, Director (Fincher), Supporting Actor (Dance), Supporting Actress (Seyfried), Original Screenplay, Film Editing, Cinematography, Production Design, Costumes, Score, Sound

The Trial of the Chicago 7 (8): Best Picture, Supporting Actor (Cohen), Supporting Actor (Rylance), Original Screenplay, Film Editing, Cinematography, Score, Song

News of the World (8): Best Picture, Actor (Hanks), Supporting Actress (Zengel), Adapted Screenplay, Film Editing, Cinematography, Production Design, Sound

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom (7): Best Picture, Director (Wolfe), Actor (Boseman). Actress (Davis), Adapted Screenplay, Production Design, Makeup

Nomadland (6): Best Picture, Director (Zhao), Actress (McDormand), Adapted Screenplay, Film Editing, Cinematography

The Father (6): Best Picture, Director (Zeller), Actor (Hopkins), Supporting Actress (Colman), Adapted Screenplay, Film Editing

Da 5 Bloods (5): Best Picture, Director (Lee), Actor (Lindo), Supporting Actor (Boseman), Score

Hillbilly Elegy (5): Best Picture, Director (Howard), Actress (Adams), Supporting Actress (Close), Makeup

Minari (5): Best Picture, Actor (Yeun), Supporting Actress (Yuh-jung), Original Screenplay, Score

One Night in Miami (4): Best Picture, Supporting Actor (Odom Jr.), Adapted Screenplay, Song

Ammonite (2): Actress (Winslet), Costumes

GREECE PICKS APPLES

Indiewire reports that Greece has officially selected Christos Nikou's Apples as its contestant for the Best International Feature Oscar.  The film was one of the 29 features announced by the Telluride Film Festival as being selected to its 47th edition.

The description of the film from IMDb:

"Amidst a worldwide pandemic that causes sudden amnesia, middle-aged Aris finds himself enrolled in a recovery program designed to help unclaimed patients build new identities."

The complete story of the selection is linked here from Indiewire.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

Oscar 2021 First Attempt-Best Supporting Actor / TFF Films Running Totals / Festival Posters for Nomadland

 OSCAR FIRST ATTEMPT 2021-BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

MTFB continues its first pass at predicting Oscar nominees for 2020-21 in various major categories.  Today we're looking at Best Supporting Actor with, as always, a focus on those performances that were a part of the list of 29 films that TFF released that would have been screened as a part of TFF #47.  Performers designated with *** are in films that may not be released prior to the Feb, 28, 2021 Oscar eligibility deadline.   TFF#47 performers are in Bold:

1) Chadwick Boseman/Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

2) Sasha Baron Cohen/The Trial of the Chicago 7

3) Yahya Abdul-Mateen II/The Trial of the Chicago 7

4) David Strathairn/Nomadland

5) LaKeith Stanfield/Judas and the Black Messiah***

6) Kinglsey Ben-Adir/One Night in Miami

7) Mark Rylance/The Trail of the Chicago 7

8) Bill Murray/On the Rocks

9) Eddie Redmayne/The Trial of the Chicago 7

10) Frank Langella/The Trial of the Chicago 7

11) Leslie Odom Jr./One Night in Miami

TFF FILMS RUNNING TOTALS:

Beginning with today's post, here are the running totals of predicted nominations regarding TFF #47 films.  I'll add to this over the next week as I add the screenplay categories.

Nomadland: Best Picture, Director (Zhao), Actress (McDormand), Supporting Actor (Stratharin)

Ammonite: Best Picture, Actress (Winslet), Supporting Actress (Ronan).  Maybe: Director (F. Lee)

The Father: Actor (Hopkins), Supporting Actress (Colman).  Maybe: Best Picture, Director (Zeller)

FESTIVAL POSTERS FOR NOMADLAND

The Movie Waffler tweeted photos of posters that were created for each of Nomadland's festival appearances this past weekend including one created for the Telluride in L.A. drive-in screening of the film that took place on Sept. 11th:

The others are also cool:

For Venice:

For Toronto:

For New York:

 

The Movie Waffler website is linked here.
 

 

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

Oscar Predictions Update: Best Supporting Actor / Oscar History and TFF: Best Supporting Actor / It's Bale vs. Damon / Variety's 34 Best Picture Contenders

OSCAR PREDICTIONS UPDATE: BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

I last checked in on the Best Supporting Actor Oscar race on Sept. 25th.  Here's the new update for the category with the actor's previous position in parentheses.  Performances from TFF #46 films are in Bold.


1) Brad Pitt/Once Upon a Time in...Hollywood (1)
2) Al Pacino/The Irishman (4)
3) Tom Hanks/A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood (2)
4) Anthony Hopkins/The Two Popes (3)
5) Joe Pesci/The Irishman (-)

Other possibles: Willem Dafoe/The Lighthouse, Alan Alda/Marriage Story, John Lithgow/Bombshell, Taika Waititi/Jojo Rabbit

Notes:  Joe Pesci especially, but also Al Pacino are riding a crest of positive reactions to the first screenings of Martin Scorsese's The Irishman.  It will also be interesting to see if Scorsese's recent critique of "Superhero" films has any effect on how Oscarologists are handicapping the season.



OSCAR HISTORY AND TFF: BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Here's the complete history of nominees and winners for the Best Supporting Actor category and the Telluride Film Festival:

1992- Jaye Davidson/The Crying Game
1994- Martin Landau/Ed Wood-WINNER, Chazz Palminteri/Bullets Over Broadway
1997- James Coburn/Affliction-WINNER
2000- WIllem Dafoe/Shadow of the Vampire
2005- Jake Gyllenhaal/Brokeback Mountain
2006- Jackie Earle Haley/Little Children
2007- Hal Holbrook/Into the Wild
2009- Christopher Plummer/The Last Station
2010- Geoffrey Rush/The King's Speech
2012- Alan Arkin/Argo
2013- Michael Fassbender/12 Years a Slave
2014- Mark Ruffalo/Foxcatcher, Edward Norton/Birdman
2015- Mark Ruffalo/Spotlight
2016- Mahershala Ali/Moonlight-WINNER, Lucas Hedges- Manchester by the Sea
2017- Richard Jenkins/The Shape of Water
2018- Richard E. Grant/Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Overall 19 nominations and three wins.


IT'S BALE VS. DAMON

The question about where Matt Damon and Christian Bale would be campaigned in terms of Oscar categorization was answered earlier this week as reports from a number of sources indicated that both will be categorized as leads and as such will be going head to head for Best Actor nominations.

Some reports even indicated that Bale was the one who actually made the determination.

Indiewire's story on the matter is linked here.

Variety's report is here.

Deadline's story is here.


VARIETY LISTS 34 BEST PICTURE PLAYERS

Variety's Jenelle Riley and Avika Gottlieb writing for Variety have come up with a list of 34 films that they believe are the most likely films to be nominated for the Best Picture Oscar.  Among those films are   that played at TFF #46.

Those TFF #46 films are:

The Aeronauts
Ford v. Ferrari
A Hidden Life
Judy
Marriage Story
Motherless Brooklyn
Pain and Glory
Parasite
The Two Popes
Uncut Gems
Waves


The complete list of all 34 as well as brief descriptions and Oscar analysis for each is linked here.


That's your Thursday.


EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com OR michael_speech@hotmail.com

TWITTER @Gort2 (and follow me there as well)

FACEBOOK Message me on FB MTFB's Facebook Page

COMMENT TO THE BLOG

Telluride and Oscar Part Seven: Best Adapted Screenplay / London Opening Film In Play? / A Couple of Tidbits: Uncut Gems and Just Mercy / Late Breaking: Venice Opener

Hi there...I'm on the road...headed to Oregon...



TELLURIDE AND OSCAR PART SEVEN: BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Here's Part Seven of the eight part series concerning the films of the Telluride Film Festival and the Academy Awards covering the last 14 years (that starts with 2015 which was the year before I began attending).  Today's category of concentration is Best Adapted Screenplay.  Listed below are all of the films nominated in that category since 2005 that played Telluride.  Winners are indicated with ***.

2005: Brokeback Mountain***, Capote
2006: Little Children
2007: There Will Be Blood (I count it as we saw footage in connection with the Daniel Day-Lewis tribute), The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
2008: Slumdog Millionaire***, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Same as There Will Be Blood only with a tribute to David Fincher)
2009: An Education, Up in the Air
2010: 127 Hours
2011: The Descendants***
2012: Argo***
2013: 12 Years a Slave***
2014: The Imitation Game***
2015: Carol, Room
2016: Moonlight***, Arrival
2017: No nominees
2018: Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Notes 19 nominations over the 14 years with a strong seven wins in that time period.

As best as can tell the first film from TFF with a nomination for Best adapted Screenplay was My Left Foot in 1989.

As a percentage of  wins to nominations this is the category that having a nomination from a TFF film gives the nominee the best chance of a win with 36.8% of TFF nominees winning the honor.  The next best category is Best Director with a 32.2% win ratio.  The worst: Best Supporting Actress with a 3.8% win ratio.


Next Tuesday...the last of the "Big Eight" categories: Best Original Screenplay.


LONDON OPENING FILM IN PLAY?

The BFI/London Film Festival announced its opening film will be Armando Ianucci's (Into the Loop, Veep) The Personal History of David Copperfield.  Why should we take note?  The film was announced as a European Premiere.  That means that the film will have screened at at least one other spot prior to its stint as the LFF opening film.

The European designation should mean that Venice is off the list as a possibility leaving Toronto, New York (barely as NYFF opens Sept. 28th while London will screen it on Oct. 2.

The European designation means the first screening in Europe will be at LFF.  It necessarily means that the "World" premiere happens somewhere else...and...as LFF doesn't label it an "International" premiere...that suggests that the film will have played within the country of its origin.

What I'm saying here is that divining this news in terms of a potential Telluride play comes down to how the film's country of origin in classified.  If it's a "U.S." production then this could mean that the film plays at Telluride.  If it's a Brit production... could mean a Toronto World Premiere.

And I am uncertain as to the film's nationality.

But...this could be in Telluride.

Here's the Deadline story about the London Film Fest opening night announcement.



COUPLE OF TIDBITS


Jeff Sneider of TheInSneider fame Tweeted this yesterday:

Sneider, who has been knocking about the movie biz for a good long time including writing for Variety, Ain't It Cool News and The Wrap is clearly suggesting that the Safdie Brothers Uncut Gems starring Adam Sandler is on the TFF #46 agenda.

The film is an A24 project and I did not assess it when I looked at A24's offerings back on July 1st.  At that time, I felt like A24's most probable film to play TFF was The Lighthouse.  That said, I believe that it's entirely possible that Uncut Gems could make it to Colorado.  Perhaps both films will.

In another tidbit, Just Mercy from director Destin Daniel Cretton (Short Term 12) which had been announced with a release date in January 2020 now seems like it will be released on Dec. 25th according to The Hollywood Reporter.  That puts it into awards season play for Warner Brothers and suggests that it could pop up at one or more fall film fests.  The WB appears to be loaded with this as well as Joker, Motherless Brooklyn and The Goldfinch.

The film stars Michael B. Jordan, Brie Larson and Jamie Foxx and tells the  true story of an African American man accused of a murder he didn't commit.

LATE BREAKING: VENICE OPENER

The Venice Film Festival has chosen Hirokazu Kore-eda's The Truth as its opening film.  That probably raises the chances that it will play Telluride.  More tomorrow.

That'll do it for this Thursday...More to come tomorrow including the last Ten Bets before Toronto and Venice begin announcing.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com OR michael_speech@hotmail.com

TWITTER @Gort2 (and follow me there as well)

FACEBOOK Message me on FB MTFB's Facebook Page

COMMENT TO THE BLOG

Telluride and the Oscar Part Six: Supporting Actor / Chazelle Back in the Game / THR's 20 Venice Possibles

Welcome to the Monkey House...


TELLURIDE AND THE OSCAR PART SIX: BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Today is Part Six of my series looking at the relationship between films from the Telluride Film Festival and the Oscars "Big Eight" categories with the focus today on Best Supporting Actor.  Beginning with 2005 (the year before I began attending the fest) here are all the Oscar nominees for that category.  Winners are indicated with ***.


2005: Jake Gyllenhaal/Brokeback Mountain
2006: Jackie Earle Haley/Little Children
2007: Hal Holbrook/Into the Wild
2008: No nominees
2009: Christopher Plummer/The Last Station
2010: Geoffrey Rush/The King's Speech
2011: No nominees
2012: Alan Arkin/Argo
2013: Michael Fassbender/12 Years a Slave
2014: Mark Ruffalo/Foxcatcher, Edward Norton/Birdman
2015: Mark Ruffalo/Spotlight
2016: Mahershala Ali/Moonlight***, Lucas Hedges/Manchester by the Sea
2017: Richard Jenkins/The Shape of Water
2018: Richard E. Grant/Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Notes:  The category that Telluride has held the least sway over in the 14 years with only 14 nominations during that time and just the single win for Mahershala Ali in 2016.

Mark Ruffalo is the only actor with two nominations in this category from TFF films and they came in back to back years with Foxcatcher in 2014 and Spotlight in 2015.

2008 and 2011 saw no nominations at all from T-ride films in the category.

To the best of my ability, it appears that the first TFF nominee in this category was Jaye Davidson for The Crying Game in 1992.

Thursday a look at Best Adapted Screenplay.



CHAZELLE BACK IN THE GAME

Emma Stone and Damien Chazelle

(Photo via Michael Buckner/Deadline/Shutterstock)

Mike Fleming writing at Deadline.com has reported as of yesterday that Damien Chazelle is in the process of lining up his next project.  Fleming reports that the film is an "original drama set in period Hollywood.  He further reports that Chazelle's Oscar winning star of his La La Land, Emma Stone, is considering taking the lead and that Lionsgate, which distributed  La La Land is said to be in the running to do the same for the new picture.

Deadline reports that the film's current title is Babylon.

It's worth noting for TFF fans as Chazelle's last two films have made their way there-La La Land and First Man.

Deadline does not report any specific timeline for the film.

The Deadline story is here.

Variety has reported that Paramount is also interested.

The Hollywood Reporter suggests that Netflix may also be interested and that Stone may be looking at playing real life early Hollywood star Clara Bow.


THR'S 20 VENICE POSSIBLES

The Hollywood Reporter's Scott Roxborough published a story yesterday listing 20 films that he/THR feel have some likelihood of playing the Venice Fest.  They announce the bulk of their lineup on July 25th.

As most readers here know, the Venice/Telluride connection has been significant over the past few years.

Among the 20 titles the one's that seem to have the most chance of being a Venice/Telluride combo film are:

James Gray's Ad Astra
Taika Waititi Jojo Rabbit
Kelly Reichardt's First Cow
Chloe Zhao's Nomadland
Fernando Meirelles' The Pope
Pablo Larrain's Ema
Hirokazu Kore-eda's The Truth

A couple of others to mention that are outside shots: Todd Phillips' Joker and Steven Soderbergh's The Laundromat

The article also includes Martin Scorsese's The Irishman which almost everyone believes will not be ready for Venice (and Hence Telluride).  Also mentioned is Greta Gerwig's Little Women, which is the only film among the 20 that Roxborough specifically mentions as a Telluride possibility...though he does also write about the current bizz that Little Women may not do any fest at all.

The complete THR article is linked here.


That'll do for this Tuesday.  I'll have more on Thursday.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com OR michael_speech@hotmail.com

TWITTER @Gort2 (and follow me there as well)

FACEBOOK Message me on FB MTFB's Facebook Page

COMMENT TO THE BLOG

SPECIAL TO THE FAC: BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

SPECIAL TO THE FAC: BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR 12 DAYS OUT

In what is generally considered a two horse race, at this point Christopher Plummer seems to have the edge over Albert Brooks and then it’s a battle for the other three spots.  Here’s the latest compilation with the only Telluride #38 contender in bold and large). 

The following has been collated using publicly accessed information from:

Awards Daily

Incontention

Awards Circuit

Film Misery

Film Experience

Thompson on Hollywood

Rope of Silicon

Hollywood Elsewhere

Scott Feinberg/The Hollywood Reporter

Dave Karger/Entertainment Weekly

1) Christopher Plummer/Beginners

2) Albert Brooks/Drive

3) Kenneth Brannagh/My Week with Marilyn

4) Jonah Hill/Moneyball

5) Nick Nolte/Warrior

In the Running:

6) Armie Hammer/J. Edgar

7) Patton Oswalt/Young Adult

8) Max Von Sydow/Extremely Loud

8) Viggo Mortensen/A Dangerous Method (tie)

10) Andy Serkis/Rise of the Planet of the Apes

 Others getting notice:

Asa Butterflied/Hugo, Ben Kingsley/Hugo, Kevin Spacey/Margin Call, Corey Stoll/Midnight in Paris, Robert Forster/Descendants, Brad Pitt/Tree of Life.

HOT: Hill, Hammer, Mortensen and Serkis

NOT: Von Sydow

THOUGHT: In addition to Plummer and Brooks, Brannagh appears to be a lock for a nomination.  Currently, Hill and Nolte appear to be fairly comfortable as well. 

Tomorrow, I’ll take a look at the race for both types of screenplays.

Follow me on Twittter @Gort2