You Never Know / The Known Unknowns / New Teaser for Don't Look Up

 YOU NEVER KNOW

There was another one of those social media claims about a film going to Telluride this week.  That kind of thing happens every now and then.  

A few weeks back there was a buzz that House of Gucci's IMDb page listed a number of fall film fests as places that the film would play including Telluride, Venice, Toronto and New York.  How'd that pan out?  The IMDb page was changed very quickly to show no film fest dates only its expected Nov. 24th release date.  And, of course, we know from the Venice announcement that the film won't be ready to screen there which also crossed it off the Telluride list.

This week the story came from a Tweet on Twitter that claimed that Mike Mills' C'mon, C'mon starring Joaquin Phoenix would play Telluride.  The Tweet didn't stay up long but it was long enough to cause a stir in the Twitterverse.

So does C'mon C'mon make the TFF #48 list?  

World of Reel's Jordan Ruimy has it on his Telluride list from his July 21st post.

THE KNOWN UNKNOWNS

Being the Ricardos/Sorkin (Amazon-No date)

Cyrano/Wright (MGM/United Artists-12/25)

Don't Look Up/McKay (Netflix-No date)

Eternals/Zhao (Disney-11/5)

A Journal for Jordan/Washington (Sony-12/22)

King Richard/Green (Warners-11/9)

The Last Duel/Scott (Disney/20th Century-10/15)

Soggy Bottom (Untitled PTA Project)/Anderson (MGM-11-26)

tick, tick...BOOM/Miranda (Netflix-Undated)

West Side Story/Spielberg (Disney/20th Century-12-10)

Some of these are likely not to play any fest whatsoever or, if they do, might point to New York or The AFI film fests:

Being the Ricardos, Don't Look Up, Eternals (though if any Disney/Marvel joint would ever play Telluride this is probably the one due to its director: Chloe Zhao), A Journal for Jordan, Soggy Bottom, West Side Story.

There has been quite a bit of speculation that Sorkin's Being the Ricardos might move to 2022 but Jason Osiason (Fantastic Film Fans) tweeted over the weekend that:

So, maybe Lucy and Desi still show up at some fest before the end of the year.

Of the remaining four: Cyrano, King Richard, The Last Duel and tick, tick...BOOM, I could still see the possibility that they could all still be part of a Telluride, Toronto or New York lineup.

NEW TEASER FOR DON'T LOOK UP

Don't Look Up is among the lengthy list of Netflix films that could end upon Telluride's list when it's announced in early September.  I have my doubts because we've nit seen an Adam McKay (Vice, The Big Short) title at the fest previously.  However, there have been others who have suggested that it could end up in Telluride...so, as the first section heading says above...you never know.

Netflix dropped a new teaser for the film over the weekend.  Here it is from YouYube:

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Indiewire's Cannes Analysis Intrigues / Exploring Amazon / Images from Cannes Films / The Greatest at T-ride?

 INDIEWIRE'S CANNES ANALYSIS INTRIGUES

As I do each year, once the dust had settled from the announcement of the Cannes lineup last Thursday, I began looking at what industry focused websites were saying about the films chosen and not chosen trying to glom onto some nuggets that could point the way to possible Telluride titles.  The most intriguing, to me at any rate, was Eric Kohn's piece for Indiewire.  Here are some nuggets of interest from that article for those of us who are Telluride junkies.

1) The French Dispatch news...If you've been reading here the last couple of years, you've likely picked up on the notion that I'm hot to see this film play T-ride.  Wes Anderson snuck Rushmore into Telluride in 1998 and hasn't been back since.  I have been thinking that there was a chance that Anderson might return to Telluride last year and then again this year with the film and Kohn adds some fuel to that fire as he writes:

"Cannes held the door open for... titles that wanted to wait. “The French Dispatch,” Wes Anderson’s imaginary vision of 20th-century journalists, has been one of Searchlight’s most promising new titles for some time. The movie was set for a Cannes premiere last year and would have later played Telluride"

Yes indeed, Kohn reports that "Dispatch" would have played TFF #47 had it happened.  To me that suggests the possibility that last year's plan could become this year's reality.  Other factors suggesting that it might play: From Searchlight, already announced fall release date post-Telluride (Oct. 22) and no suggestion of its premiere status re: its announced play at the New York Film Fest.

2) Films NOT in Cannes (barring something still to be announced-and there are other films that are still to be announced):

Dune

Soggy Bottom

The Power of the Dog

The Card Counter

Spencer

All or none of which might land a slot at Venice and then???

3) A couple of docs to keep an on: Kohn mentions a few documentaries that we maybe should keep an eye on moving toward Labor Day weekend.

The Val Kilmer doc "Val" is one.  Andrea Arnold's Cow, Todd Haynes The Velvet Underground and Oliver Stone's JFK Revisited: Through the Looking Glass all seem like possibilities.

The complete Indiewire story is linked here.

EXPLORING AMAZON

My look at film distributors that have had a significant presence at Telluride over the past five years continues today with Amazon Studios.

Here's their complete past at TFF:

2016: Manchester by the Sea

2017: Wonderstruck

2018: Cold War. Peterloo

2019: The Aeronauts, The Report

2020: All In; The Fight for Democracy

Best shots at TFF #48:

The Electrical Life of Louis Wain

Being the Ricardos (if it's done)

Val (see above)

AND...if the MGM deal is done and Amazon has control of the MGM inventory???  In play could be:

The Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson project (Soggy Bottom)

Ridley Scott's House of Gucci

George Miller's Three Thousand Years of Longing

Joe Wright's Cyrano

IMAGES FROM CANNES FILMS

The Film Stage has put together a collection of images from a number of the films that were announced for Cannes last week including some for films that might make the cut for TFF #48.

Examples: The French Dispatch:

And Andrea Arnold's Cow:

Check out some of the other images at The Film Stage linked here.

THE GREATEST AT T-RIDE?

Over the weekend I saw that PBS had dropped a teaser for the latest documentary from Ken Burns; Florentine Films: Muhammad Ali.

The teaser reveals that the doc will land on Sept. 19th which suggests that we could have a shot a seeing it in the San Juans over Labor Day weekend.

Here's the link to the teaser imbedded in a Tweet from PBS:

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Assessing A24 / Indiewire's Oscar List / French Dispatch News Leaves the Door Open

 ASSESSING A24

Continuing my look at film distributors who have had a significant presence at TFF over the last half decade my attention today is on A24.

Here's their footprint at TFF over the past few years:

2012: Ginger and Rosa

2013: Under the Skin

2015: Room

2016: Moonlight

2017: First Reformed, Lady Bird, Lean on Pete

2019: Uncut Gems, Waves, First Cow

And A24's stockpile is large for the end of 2020.  The most likely films to play Telluride are probably:

C'mon C'mon

The Humans

The Tragedy of Macbeth

But there are others that could be in the TFF convo:

The Eternal Daughter

When You Finish Saving the World

Red Rocket

And actually, A24 still has others in the pipeline that could be selected.

INDIEWIRE'S OSCAR LIST

Indiewire's Zack Sharf has taken a stab at an early look at this next year's potential Oscar Best Picture contenders with a list of 30 films.  Indiewire posted the list last Thursday.  Looking it over it crosses my mind that I could make some sort of case for a Telluride bow for about half of them.  Let's give it a whirl in the order that the Indiewire article lists them and with a note or two about why they might be a T-ride player.

Spencer: Because it's directed by Pablo Larrain who doesn't have every project at Telluride but he's no stranger either.  Also, it's from NEON...which doesn't hurt.

C'mon C'mon: Because it's from A24 (see above).

Last Night in Soho: Because it's from Focus Features.  Also, I have a hunch it will be announced as a Cannes selection later this week which could be a sign of a Cannes-Telluride double play.  Also, the Oct. 22nd release date gives the film space to play T-ride, TIFF and/or New York.

The Humans: Also from A24 (see above).

The Card Counter: Because it's directed by Paul Schrader who has a lengthy relationship with TFF. It's also from Focus and its release date, Sept. 10th, suggests it could play Cannes/Telluride or Venice/Telluirde or Telluride as a stand alone festival appearance.

Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project (Soggy Bottom):  It's been since 2007 since PTA was in Telluride to aid in feting tribute recipient Daniel Day-Lewis and screen the first few minutes of There Will Be Blood.  Since then PTA has directed: The Master (2012-Venice, TIFF),  Inherent Vice (2014-NYFF, AFI) and Phantom Thread (2017-Palm Springs).  Persistent rumors that it will be announced for Cannes on Thursday and a November release date leave the door open for a number of fall fest scenarios if MGM decides to pursuer them.  Also, does the Amazon acquisition of MGM change any of the festival calculus?  

Nightmare Alley: Because it's directed/produced by Guillermo Del Toro and co-written by Kim Morgan (who co-guest directed the fest in 2014).  The distributor is Searchlight which has a long and fruitful relationship with Telluride.  The Dec. 3rd release date works too.

Dune:  Because it's directed by Denis Villenueve who has a substantial Telluride record.  Being from Warner Brothers doesn't necessarily hurt.  Oct. 1 is the release date which works too.  I won't be surprised if Dune has some spot in Cannes' or Venice's lineup.

The Power of the Dog: Because it's directed by Jane Campion whose last feature, Bright Star, played at TFF back in 2009 and who's best known triumph, The Piano, played T-ride in 1993.  It's from Netflix which likely bolsters its TFF chances.

The French Dispatch:  Because...well...it is from Serachlight.  Also, see below...

The Tragedy of Macbeth:  Director Joel Coen was in Telluride in 2013 with Inside Llewyn Davis and the film is being distributed by A24.  

Don't Look Up: Because it's from Netflix.  Normally, Adam McKay's lack of a Telluride trail over the past decade would keep me from posting the film as a TFF #48 possibility but...Netflix.

Tick, Tick...Boom: Also a Netflix joint and yes, I know that Netflix won't land everything in their larder in Telluride.  And, yes, there's their whole "no festival" approach to last year-though I did hear rumors that had Telluride gone on in 2020 that Mank would have screened there.

The Hand of God: Netflix

The Eyes of Tammy Faye: From Searchlight which is the biggest reason to think it could be in Telluride.  It also has a Telluride friendly release date of Sept. 17th.

The complete Indiewire list is linked here.

FRENCH DISPATCH NEWS LEAVES THE DOOR OPEN

I believe Variety broke the news late this week that Wes Anderson's The French Dispatch will be a part of the Cannes lineup.  Also among the items of interest about the film are its selection for the New York Film Fest and an official theatrical release date for Oct. 22nd.

What's interesting to me is that the Cannes screening is given as the "world premiere" but I couldn't find any premiere designation for the New York Fest in any of the stories that appeared after the initial announcement.  To me that suggests at least the chance that it could also screen at Telluride and/or Toronto.

Here's the story from:

Variety

Indiewire

The Playlist

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Shining a Light on Neon / Odds for the Unannounced Palme d'Or Cannes-idates

SHINING A  LIGHT ON NEON

Distributor Neon's existence has not been terribly long.  The outfit was founded in 2017 and in that short span has landed seven films at Telluride:

2020: Ammonite

2019: Parasite (nominated for six Academy Awards and won four including Best Picture and Director). Portrait of a Lady on Fire, Amazing Grace

2018: Border (Oscar nominated for Best Makeup and Hair), The Biggest Little Farm

2017: The B-Side: Elsa Dorfman's Portrait Photography

Seven films in four years and still basking in then glow of the success that was Parasite, you have to figure that Neon will land a film or two or three at TFF #48.  What might they be?

My guess that the most likely is Celine Sciamma's  Petite Maman, her follow-up to the very well received Portrait of a Lady on Fire (noted above as having played at TFF #46).  Sciamma could actually double-dip at Telluride should the fest chose to screen Jacques Audiard's Paris 13th District as she is a co-writer of that screenplay.

Also possible for TFF #48 from Neon include:

Pablo Larrain's Spencer starring Kristen Stewart as Princess Diana 

Apichatpong Weerasethakul's Memoria

Michael Sarnoski's Pig starring Nicolas Cage as a man searching for his kidnapped truffle hunting pig

Julia Ducournau's Titane

And a couple of documentaries: The First Wave and Ailey.

ODES FOR THE PALME D'OR

The Film Lounge has set odds for films that are rumored as possible Cannes competition selections.  At the top of the list is Apichatpong Weerasethekul's Memoria. Weerasethekul previously won the Golden Palm at Cannes back in 2010 for Uncle Boonmee Who Can Recall His Past Lives.  Its odds are set at 4-1.  Currently in the 2nd spot is Asghar Farhadi's A Hero at 9-2.  Farhadi's film is on my TFF #48 watch list.  

Films that are also on my watch list and their odds are:

Bergman Island 9-1

Where Is Anne Frank 9-1

The Power of the Dog 20-1

Paris, 13th District 28-1

The Card Counter 33-1

Flag Day 50-1

Mothering Sunday 50-1

  

And from the wish list:

The French Dispatch 22-1

Soggy Bottom 25-1

Check out the complete list of odds here.

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Searching Searchlight / Cannes and Venice This and That

 SEARCHING SEARCHLIGHT

My ongoing look at distributors who have been frequently represented at Telluride over the last five years continues today with Searchlight (Fox Searchlight prior to its acquisition by Disney).  Searchlight is one of four distributors that have had seven films at Telluride in the last half decade and their has been particularly noticeable:

2020: Nomadland (Oscar wins for Best Picture, Director and Actress)

2019: A Hidden Life 

2018: Can You Ever Forgive Me? (3 Oscar nominations), The Favourite (10 Oscar nominations  and 1 win for Best Actress) and The Old Man and the Gun.

2017: The Shape of Water ( 13 Oscar nominations with 4 wins including Best Picture and Director), Battle of the Sexes

Other notable appearances by (Fox) Searchlight at Telluride:  

2008: Slumdog Millionaire (won eight Oscars including Best Picture and Director)

2010: 127 Hours (six Oscar nominations), Black Swan (six Oscar nominations including a win for Best Actress)

2011: The Descendants (five Oscar nominations and a win for Best Adapted Screenplay)

2013: 12 Years a Slave (nine Oscar nominations with wins for Best Picture, Adapted Screenplay and Supporting Actress)

2014: Birdman (nine Oscar nominations with  four wins including Best Picture, Director and Original Screenplay) and Wild (nominated for two Oscars).

That's five Best Picture winners from Searchlight through Telluride in the past 13 years.

So with all that in mind, here's what Searchlight currently has in its larder:

Guillermo Del Toro's Nightmare Alley

Taika Waititi's Next Goal Wins

Wes Anderson's The French Dispatch

Michael Showalter's The Eyes of Tammy Faye

Scott Cooper's Antlers

There are another one or two outside shots but these five represent the most likely choices for TFF #48.  Del Toro and Cooper have the actual connections to Telluride with Del Toro's The Shape of Water and The Devil's Backbone having played TFF.  For Cooper it's been Black Mass and Hostiles.

The other three would all be good gets for Telluride based on buzz surrounding them.  Past history suggests one or two Searchlight films will make the lineup.  Three tops.

CANNES AND VENICE THIS AND THAT

I've seen some scuttlebutt over the past few days about films that are be eagerly sought for Cannes and/or Venice.

Buzz has been substantial about both Paul Thomas Anderson's Soggy Bottom (or whatever it is ultimately called) as well as Jane Campion's The Power of the Dog in terms of both Cannes and Venice.

Meanwhile, rumors persist that Denis Villenueve's Dune will be at Venice and have been fairly consistent for some time.  However a bit of rhetoric from Cannes director Thierry Fremaux about the possibility of a "planetary blockbuster" at the French fest has created speculation that Dune might bow in France in July rather than in Italy in September.

None of these scenarios would preclude any or all three of the films from making an appearance at Telluride and wouldn't that blow your mind?

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One More Early Look at Oscar 2022 / Soggy Bottom's Future / Amazing Grace Legal Saga Continues

 ONE MORE EARLY LOOK AT OSCAR 2022

This time around it's Erik Anderson of Awards Watch taking his stab at early Oscar predicting.  Among his Best Picture possibilities, the films that seem to me to be to be worth keeping an eye over the summer for clues about the possibility that they could play TFF #48 are:

Dune

The French Dispatch

The Harder They Fall

A Hero

The Humans

Nightmare Alley

Mothering Sunday

The Power of the Dog

The Tragedy of Macbeth

The complete Awards Watch story and set of predictions is linked here.

SOGGY BOTTOM'S FUTURE

Jordan Ruimy at World of Reel was up yesterday with a piece about where Paul Thomas Anderson's highly anticipated untitled project (working title Soggy Bottom) might land if it is a aprt of a film festival debut.

There is a good deal of speculation about it screening at Cannes and Ruimy reports that the French fest wants the film badly.  But Ruimy also reports that there is some hesitance to follow that path.  Ruimy cites the possibility of the film needing more time for editing and a general feeling that Cannes may not draw a lot of American film due to ongoing Covid concerns.

Ruimy suggests that there is some feeling within among "distributors behind his latest film" should wait for "wait it out for the fall festivals instead (Toronto, Venice, Telluride, New York)".

That's the first solid inclusion of Telluride in the conversation as a possible landing spot for the film that I have run across.

Ruimy's entire article is here.

AMAZING GRACE LEGAL SAGA CONTINUES

Telluride fans are more than aware that the Aretha Franklin documentary Amazing Grace had a difficult legal path to its ultimate release including three different attempts to schedule it for a Telluride berth. The third time was the proverbial charm as it played as a part of the program for TFF #46.

Now new legal hubbub surrounds the film as director Allan Elliot pursues a law suit against Sydney Pollack's attorney for causing damage to the film's value upon its eventual release.  A judge in California ruled earlier this week that the suit could continue.

Full details of where the legal dram is currently situated are here from The Hollywood Reporter.

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The Way Ahead? / "Soggy Bottom" Has a Date / Spring Cleaning

 THE WAY AHEAD?

In a normal year, I'd have made a hard turn from Oscar related stuff into serious tea-leaf reading about the possible films that we could see at TFF #48.  The Oscars would have happened two-three weeks back and as such, I'd be knee deep in trying to parse spec pieces about possible Oscar players for the coming year.  Which ones feel like TFF film choices?  I'd be eye-balling stories about possible Cannes selections and which of them might make the Cannes/Telluride double play? 

But, as you know, it's still not a normal year.  Oscar is still five weeks away.  Cannes plans are still unsettled.  Maybe a version of that fest happens in July.  Maybe it gets pushed to an even later date.  So, speculation about what films might end up as a Cannes selection is a sea of shifting sand.

Nevertheless, I was perusing the internet for items of interest to this blog and came across a post that included some early thoughts on films that could be potential films for Oscar talk at the end of 2021.  So, using that as a jumping off point, I've snagged some of those titles as worth at least thinking about as far as a TFF #48 play might be concerned.  I've opted to list these alphabetically.

Bergman Island

Blonde

The Card Counter

Don't Look Up

Dune

The Eyes of Tammy Faye

The French Dispatch

The Last Duel

Next Goal Wins

Nightmare Alley

Petite Maman

The Power of the Dog

Soggy Bottom

Stillwater

The Tragedy of MacBeth

Some of the above have a really good chance of being Telluride films (Card Counter, Bergman Island, Power of the Dog).  Others (Soggy Bottom, The French Dispatch, Dune) seem less likely.

SOGGY BOTTOM HAS A DATE

Bradley Cooper on the set of "Soggy Bottom" (via World of reel)

Of interest regarding "Soggy Bottom", which is still officially the "Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project", is the announcement this past week that the film has an announced release date.  World of Reel reports the film is set for release on Sept. 10th which gives it time to play at Cannes (maybe), Venice (maybe) and/or Telluride.  The date makes a bow at Toronto unlikely but not impossible, as TIFF starts on Sept. 9th.  

The World of Reel story is linked here.

SPRING CLEANING

I've written about this a couple of times before.  I have a folder in the email account that I primarily use as the conduit for the news I think might be handy to have for the blog.  Every now and then I clean it out.  

I still have emails in the folder that date from as early as 2014...because you never know when an announced project will actually get up and go.  The earliest thing in there right now is announcements that Brit director Steve McQueen's next project would be a Paul Robeson biopic.  That project is still listed on my IMDb Pro account as a "project in development".

Anyway, Among the emails I just removed were tidbits for TFF selections The Way I See It, Charlatan, Mainstream, Judy and current Oscar frontrunner Nomadland.

I also dumped emails that at various points I had saved regarding The Trial of the Chicago 7, Mank, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom and 1917 among others.

So what else is still sitting in there?  The most recent announcements that I have culled are for:

The Ploughman

The Pale Blue Eye

Exit West

The Killer

White Noise

Being the Ricardos

Babylon

A Hero

Maestro

Lots more... 

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Oscar Update: Best Supporting Actor / Variety's Biggest Movies / Deadline's Most Influential Films of the 21st Century / NBP's Best Bets for International Feature

 OSCAR UPDATE: BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Here are my latest Oscar nomination predictions for Best Supporting Actor updated since I last posted this category on  Dec. 3rd.  A performer's past position is indicated to the right in parentheses.  TFF #47 performers are indicated in Bold.

1) Sacha Baron Cohen/Trial of the Chicago 7 (2)

2) Leslie Odom Jr./One Night in Miami (1)

3) Daniel Kaluuya/Judas and the Black Messiah (7)

4) Chadwick Boseman/Da 5 Bloods (5)

5) Bill Murray/On the Rocks (3)

6) Paul Raci/Sound of Metal (-)

7) Stanley Tucci/Supernova (8)

8) Mark Rylance/Trial of the Chicago 7 (4)

9) David Stratharin/Nomadland (6)

10) Charles Dance/Mank (-)

Other possibles: Glynn Turman/Ma Rainey's Black Bottom, Eddie Redmayne/Trial of the Chicago 7, Aldis Hodge/One Night in Miami, Frank Langella/Trial of the Chicago 7.

Hot: Daniel Kaluuya/Judas and the Black Messiah, Paul Raci/Sound of Metal, Charles Dance/Mank

Not: Bill Murray/On the Rocks, Mark Rylance/Trial of the Chicago 7, David Stratharin/Nomadland

On Thursday I'll update predictions for Best Adapted Screenplay.

VARIETY'S BIGGEST MOVIES

In a story entitled "The Most Anticipated Movies Coming in 2021, Variety chronologically names 33 films to their list.  Of that 33, seven are films that I feel like could be TFF #48 films:

The French Dispatch (which Variety says is a "summer" release)

Dune (10/1)

The Last Duel (10/15)

Nightmare Alley (December)

And films for which a release date has yet to be announced:

The Tragedy of Macbeth

Soggy Bottom (or whatever Paul Thomas Anderson ultimately calls it)

Annette

The complete listing of all 33 films from Variety is linked here.

DEADLINE'S MOST INFLUENTIAL FILMS OF THE 21ST CENTURY

Deadline staff folks have come up with a listing of what they say are the most influential films of the 21st century (so far).  There are 21 films named.  Of that 21 six where TFF films:

Parasite

Roma

The Shape of Water

Moonlight

Slumdog Millionaire

There Will Be Blood (which I always count as a TFF film due the screening of a chunk of the film as part of the 2007 tribute to Paul Thomas Anderson)

I can't really argue with the choices from TFF but a surprising omission, to me at least, is Steve McQueen's 12 Years a Slave.

The complete list and commentary can be found via this link.

NBP SAYS THESE ARE YOUR BEST BETS FOR INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

Next Best Picture's Tom O'Brien writes in a piece dated  Dec. 30, 2020 that there are 10 films out in front of the pack in the International Feature Oscar race.  Of his list of 10, a couple would have played at a TFF #47: Charlatan (Czech Republic) and Never Gonna Snow Again (Poland).

I would toss in the notion that there are a couple of other TFF #47 choices that could also land in the convo:  Apples (Greece) and Notturno (Italy).

The complete list from NBP is linked here.

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