MTFB Oscar Update: Supporting Roles / European Film Awards and TFF #49 / Trailers: Retrograde and Wildcat / Visitations: Todd Field

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SUPPORTING ROLES

I am updating predictions in the categories of Best  Supporting Actress and Best Supporting Actor.  These were last predicted on Oct. 27th.  Past ranking is to the right of the performer in parentheses.  Performances from TFF #49 are in Bold.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Jesse Buckley/Women Talking (1)

2) Kerry Condon/The Banshees of Inisherin (5)

3) Clare Foy/Women Talking (2)

4) Hong Chau/The Whale (3)

5) Carey Mulligan/She Said (4)

6) Nina Hoss/TAR (New)

7) Dolly DeLeon/Triangle of Sadness (New)

Out: Jamie Lee Curtis/Everything Everywhere and Janelle Monae/Glass Onion

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Brendan Gleeson/The Banshees of Inisherin (1)

2) Ke Huy Quan/Everything Everywhere All at Once (2)

3) Judd Hirsch/The Fabelmans (3)

4) Ben Whishaw/Women Talking (4)

5) Paul Dano/The Fabelmans (5)

6) Barry Keoghan/The Banshees of Inisherin (New)

7) Anthony Hopkins/Armageddon Time (7)

Out: Eddie Redmayne/The Good Nurse

EUROPEAN FILM AWARDS AND TFF #49

The nominations for the European Film Awards were announced on Tuesday.  Here are how films that screened at Telluride this year fared:

Close (4): Best European Film, Direction, Actor (Dambrine), Screenwriter

Holy Spider (4): European Film, Direction, Actress (Amir-Ebrahimi), Screenwriter

TFF #49 films with a single EFA nomination:

Aftersun: Best European Actor (Mescal)

One Fine Morning: Best European Actress (Seydoux)

Godland: Best European Actor (Hove)

March on Rome: Best European Documentary

And from TFF #48 a nomination for Best European Screenwriter for Kenneth Branagh's Belfast

From the EFA, here is the complete list of nominees.

TRAILERS

For Matthew Heineman's documentary Retrograde from National Geographic releasing this Friday:

For Melissa Leash and Trevor Frost's Wildcat from Amazon Studios releasing Dec. 30th.

VISITATIONS: TODD FIELD

Interview with TAR's writer/director Todd Field from Variety.

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MTFB Oscar Take: Supporting Acting / Gotham Award Nominations and TFF #49 / U.K Trailer for Tori and Lokita / New Poster for Armageddon Time / Visitations: Anthony Hopkins, James Gray and Charlotte Wells / Behind the Scenes with Marcel the Shell, Late Breaking Marcel Wins Saturn and FYC

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: SUPPORTING ACTING

I am updating predictions in the categories of Best  Supporting Actress and Best Supporting Actor.  These were last predicted on Oct. 13th.  Past ranking is to the right of the performer in parentheses.  Performances from TFF #49 are in Bold.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Jesse Buckley/Women Talking (1)

2) Clare Foy/Women Talking (2)

3) Hong Chau/The Whale (3)

4) Carey Mulligan/She Said (New)

5) Kerry Condon/The Banshees of Inisherin (4)

6) Jamie Lee Curtis/Everything Everywhere All at Once (6)

7) Janelle Monae/Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (7)

Out: Nina Hoss/TAR

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Brendan Gleeson/The Banshees of Inisherin (1)

2) Ke Huy Quan/Everything Everywhere All at Once (2)

3) Judd Hirsch/The Fabelmans (3)

4) Ben Whishaw/Women Talking (4)

5) Paul Dano/The Fabelmans (5)

6) Eddie Redmayne/The Good Nurse (7)

7) Anthony Hopkins/Armageddon Time (New)

Out: Jeremy Strong/Armageddon Time

 

GOTHAM AWARDSNOMINATIONSAND TFF #49

The Gotham Awards announced their nominations for the best in independent film.  TFF #49 title TAR scared five nominations to lead all films.

Here's the breakdown of Telluride entrants who were nominated on Tuesday:

TAR (5): Best Feature, Lead Performance (Blanchett), Supporting Performance (Hoss), Supporting Performance (Merchant), Screenplay

Aftersun (4): Best Feature, Breakthrough Director (Wells), Lead Performance (Mescal) Breakthrough Performer (Corio)

Women Talking (3); Best Supporting Performance (Buckley), Supporting Performance (Whishaw), Screenplay

Bones and All (2): Best Supporting Performance (Russell), Supporting Performance (Rylance)

All the Beauty and the Bloodshed (1): Best Documentary

Armageddon Time (1): Best Screenplay

In total, TFF #49 films accounted for 16 Gotham nominations for 2022.

The complete list of all nominees is here.

U.K. TRAILER FOR DARDENNES TORI AND LOKITA

Hot off the presses...so to speak, here is the new U.K. trailer for the Dardenne Brothers' Tori and Lokita via YouTube:

NEW POSTER FOR ARMAGEDDON TIME

VISITATIONS

Deadline with James Gray on Armageddon Time

Associated Press with Anthony Hopkins on Armageddon Time

Indiewire with Charlotte Wells on Aftersun

Indiewire with James Gray on Armageddon Time

BEHIND THE SCENES WITH MARCEL THE SHELL

LATE BREAKING MARCEL NEWS: SATURN AWARDS NAME MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ON AS BEST ANIMATED FEATURE OF 2022 LAST NIGHT.

From Collider

The one man campaign for TFF 48's Marcel the Shell with Shoes On begins today here at MTFB.  

FYC: Marcel the Shell with Shoes On:

BEST PICTURE

BEST DIRECTION

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

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TFF Oscar Streak Continues / 2021 Oscar Rundown

 TFF OSCAR STREAK CONTINUES

The Telluride Film Festival didn't happen for the 2020-21 Oscar season and still managed to extend its streak of having scheduled and screened (at a drive-in) the eventual Best Picture Oscar winner.  11 of the last 13 Oscar winning Best Pictures screened as a part of the festival.  The only two exceptions have been The Hurt Locker for 2009 and Green Book for 2018.

Here's the run:

2008: Slumdog Millionaire

2010: The King's Speech

2011: The Artist

2012: Argo

2013: 12 Years a Slave

2014: Birdman

2015: Spotlight

2016: Moonlight

2017: The Shape of Water

2019: Parasite

2020: Nomadland

2021 OSCAR RUNDOWN

Here are the winners of the 2021 Academy Awards:

Best Picture: Nomadland. 

Best Direction: Chloe Zhao/Nomadland,

Best Actress: Frances McDormand/Nomadland

Best Actor: Anthony Hopkins/The Father.

Best Supporting Actress: Yuh-jung Youn/Minari.  

Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya/Judas and the Black Messiah.

Best Adapted Screenplay: The Father.

Best Original Screenplay: Promising Young Woman.

Best International Feature: Another Round. 

Best Documentary Feature: My Octopus Teacher.

Best Animated Feature: Soul. 

Best Original Score: Soul. 

Best Original Song: Fight for You/Judas and the Black Messiah

Best Cinematography: Mank.

Best Editing: Sound of Metal.

Best Production Design: Mank. 

Best Costume Design: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom. 

Best Makeup/Hair: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom.

Best Sound: Sound of Metal. 

Best Visual Effects: Tenet. 

Best Animated Short: If Anything Happens I Love You. 

Best Live Action Short: Two Distant Strangers.  

Best Documentary Short: Colette

Nomadland led the way with three wins- Best Picture, Best Direction, Best Actress-on a night when The Academy really did share the wealth.  Its wins along with the two for The Father- Best Actor and  Best Adapted Screenplay-gave TFF #47 a respectable total of five Oscars.

The Father' double win was part of a substantial list of two win films on the night.

The rundown of wins by film:

Nomadland- 3- Picture, Direction, Actress.

The Father- 2- Actor, Adapted Screenplay

Soul- 2- Animated Feature, Score

Judas and the Black Messiah- 2- Supporting Actor, Song

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom- 2- Costumes, Makeup/Hair

Sound of Metal- 2- Editing, Sound

Mank- 2- Production Design, Cinematography

Single feature film wins for: Minari, Promising Young Woman, Another Round, My Octopus Teacher and Tenet.

On a personal level:

I correctly predicted 16 of the 23 categories with an additional four statues going to films that I listed as Upset Specials. That's just shy of 70% which is under my average (79.6%) for the past several years.

My biggest surprise of the evening was McDormand winning Best Actress.  I really did not believe she's win again so soon after her Three Billboards win.

Now we gear up with some seriousness of purpose working under the assumption the Telluride happens in 19 weeks to suss out what its lineup looks will look like.

Back to it!

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MTFB'S FINAL OSCAR PREDICTIONS FOR TONIGHT

 FINAL OSCAR PREDICITONS FOR TONIGHT

Best Picture: Nomadland.  Upset Special: The Trial of the Chicago 7.

Best Direction: Chloe Zhao/Nomadland,  Upset Special: Emerald Fennell/Promising Young Woman.

Best Actress: Carey Mulligan/Promising Young Woman.  Upset Special: Viola Davis/Ma Rainey's Black Bottom.

Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman/Ma Rainey's Black Bottom.  Upset Special: Anthony Hopkins/The Father.

Best Supporting Actress: Yuh-jung Youn/Minari.  Upset Special: Maria Bakalova/Borat Subsequent Moviefilm.

Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya/Judas and the Black Messiah.  Upset Special: Sacha Baron Cohen/The Trial of the Chicago 7.

Best Adapted Screenplay: Nomadland.  Upset Special: The Father.

Best Original Screenplay: Promising Young Woman.  Upset Special: The Trial of the Chicago 7.

Best International Feature: Another Round. Upset Special: Quo Vadis Aida.

Best Documentary Feature: My Octopus Teacher,. Upset Special: Crip Camp.

Best Animated Feature: Soul.  Upset Special: Wolfwalkers.

Best Original Score: Soul.  Upset Special: Mank.

Best Original Song: Speak Now/One Night in Miami.  Upset Special: Io Si/The Life Ahead.

Best Cinematography: Nomadland.  Upset Special: Mank.

Best Editing: The Trial of the Chicago 7.  Upset Special: Sound of Metal.

Best Production Design: Mank.  Upset Special: News of the World.

Best Costume Design: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom.  Upset Special: Emma.

Best Makeup/Hair: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom.  Upset Special: Hillbilly Elegey

Best Sound: Sound of Metal.  Upset Special: News of the World.

Best Visual Effects: Tenet.  Upset Special: The Midnight Sky.

Best Animated Short: If Anything Happens I Love You.  Upset Special: Burrow.

Best Live Action Short: Two Distant Strangers.  Upset Special:  Feeling Through.

Best Documentary Short: A Concerto Is a Conversation.  Upset Special: A Love Song for Latasha

TFF Stats:

Nomadland nominated for six Oscars: Picture, Director, Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography and Editing.  I am predicting it to win four: Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay and Cinematography.

The Father nominated for six Oscars: Picture, Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Editing and Production Design.  I have predicted that it wins no Oscars tonight BUT...Hopkins is the Upset Special for Best Actor and his buzz has been growing for the past couple of weeks.  The Father is also the Upset Special for Adapted Screenplay.  

The only other TFF #47 is the Live Action Short nominee The Letter Room.

The most Oscars that TFF #47 films could snag in total tonight is 10.

The categories that feel to me like the ones that are going to be Oscar poll deciders are: Best Actress, the two screenplay categories,  Documentary, Song and, as always, the Shorts categories.

OSCAR PREDICTIONS FROM THE EXPERTS

Here are links to a number of Oscarologists for tonight's winners:

Sasha Stone/ Awards Daily

Scott Feinberg/The Hollywood Reporter

Clayton Davis/Variety

Mark Johnson/Good as Gold/Awards Daily.

Eric Kohn and Anne Thompson/Indiewire (Screen Talk podcast)

Erik Anderson/Awards Watch

Nathaniel Rogers/The Film Experience 

Steve Pond/The Wrap

Joey Magidson/Awards Radar

Matt Neglia (and crew)/Next Best Picture

Jason Osiason/Fantastic Film Fans

Gregory Ellwood/The Playlist

And of course, for the last time this Oscar season, the link to the final collective predictions of The Gurus of Gold at Movie City News.

I'll have some post Oscar thoughts in tomorrow's regularly scheduled edition of MTFB.

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Oscar Winners Predix #7: Picture, Director and Lead Acting Categories / Last Gurus of Gold for This Season / New Cousins Project-Could It Play TFF #48?

 OSCAR WINNERS PREDIX #7- PICTURE, DIRECTOR, LEAD ACTING CATEGORIES

Here's my next to last attempt to predict this year's Academy Awards winners.  THE FINAL MTFB OSCAR PICKS will go up on Sunday morning.  As always, TFF participants are indicated in Bold.

BEST PICTURE

1) Nomadland

2) The Trial of the Chicago 7

3) Promising Young Woman

4) Minari

5) Judas and the Black Messiah

6) Mank

7) Sound of Metal

8) The Father

BEST DIRECTION

1) Chloe Zhao/Nomadland

2) Emerald Ferrell/Promising Young Woman

3) David Fincher/Mank

4) Lee Issac Chung/Minari

5) Thomas Vinterberg/Another Round

BEST ACTRESS

1) Carey Mulligan/Promising Young Woman

2) Viola Davis/Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

3) Andra Day/The United States vs. Billie Holiday

4) Frances McDormand/Nomadland

5) Vanessa Kirby/Pieces of a Woman

BEST ACTOR

1) Chadwick Boseman/Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

2) Anthony Hopkins/The Father

3) Riz Ahmed/Sound of Metal

4) Steven Yeun/Minari

5) Gary Oldman/Mank

LAST GURUS OF GOLD FOR THIS SEASON 

The last Gurus of gold for this Oscar season is expected to drop at Movie City News in the next day or two.  You can expect to see collected takes from all of the Gurus for all 23 Oscar categories including the Short Film categories.

Other Gurus include Sasha Stone of Awards Daily, Peter Howell of the Toronto Star, Gregory Ellwood of The Playlist, Dave Karger of Turner Classic Movies and Steve Pond of The Wrap among others.

Bit of a Disclaimer: My predictions you see for the Gurus could have changed by Sunday morning!

NEW COUSINS PROJECT-COULD IT PLAY TFF #48?

Variety has a new interview out with film maker Mark Cousins that's focused on his new film The Story of Looking.  The article reveals that the film will be screened as a work in progress at the Swedish Visions du Real Festival.

The screening suggests that the new project could and likely will be available come Labor Day weekend.  Cousins has had an extensive track record at Telluride over the last several years with screenings of The Story of Film: An Odyssey, A Story of Children and Film and What Is This Film Called Love?

So, don't be surprised when the Telluride #48 lineup is announced if it includes The Story of Looking. 

The complete Variety article is linked here.

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Oscar Winners Predix #4: Lead Acting, Score, Song and Sound / DGA Awards Some Telluride Players / Speaking of Directors / BAFTA Winners

 OSCAR PREDIX #4: LEADING ACTOR, SCORE, SONG AND SOUND

I'm back predicting the winners of this year's Oscars with less than two weeks left until the awards are passed out.  Today I am updating the lead acting categories as well as predicting the winners for Score, Song and Sound for the first time since nominations were announced.  As always TFF #47 film are in Bold.

BEST ACTRESS

1) Carey Mulligan/Promising Young Woman

2) Viola Davis/Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

3) Frances McDormand/Nomadland

4) Andra Day/The United States vs. Billie Holiday

5) Vanessa Kirby/Pieces of a Woman

Note: This race is really tight, so it seems, with Viola Davis and Carey Mulligan neck and neck and just a hair in front of Frances McDormand and Andra Day.  I have Mulligan in the top spot but that could change by Oscar morning when I will be posting my final predictions in all 23 categories.

BEST ACTOR

1) Chadwick Boseman/Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

2) Anthony Hopkins/The Father

3) Riz Ahmed/Sound of Metal

4) Steven Yeun/Minari

5) Gary Oldman/Mank

Note: Boseman stills seems to be the easy choice here but Hopkins BAFTA win yesterday does give one a little bit of a pause.

BEST SCORE

1) Soul

2) Mank

3) Minari

4) News of the World

5) Da 5 Bloods

Note: Soul is a prohibitive favorite.

BEST SONG

1) Speak Now/One Night in Miami

2) Io Si (Seen)/The Life Ahead

3) Fight for You/Judas and the Black Messiah

4) Husavik/Eurovision 

5) Hear My Voice/The Trial of the Chicago 7

Note: A fairly competitive category with Speak Now and Io Si (Seen) very close and a win for either Fight for You not out of the question.

BEST SOUND

1) Sound of Metal

2) News of the World

3) Mank

4) Soul

5) Greyhound

Note: Sound of Metal is a prohibitive favorite.

THE DIRECTORS GUILD AWARDS SOME TELLURIDE PLAYERS

The Directors Guild of America named their winners for excellence for 2020/21 and a couple of the big awards went to directors who would have been in Telluride last September had the fest been able to occur.

Chloe Zhao was named Best Director for a feature film for Nomadland and Michael and Gregory Kershaw were named Best Director for The Truffle Hunters.  Both films were listed by the Telluride Film Festival as films that would have played at the 47th edition.

The complete list of winners can be found here at the DGA website.

SPEAKING OF DIRECTORS

Jane Campion (via Variety)

As I was writing about the DGA results, I saw that Variety's Clayton Davis had re-posted an article named "Directors Whose Work We're Excited to See in 2021".  So, here's the f=directors from that list that have been to Telluride before and the projects that we expect to appear before the end of the year:

Andrea Arnold/Cow

Jane Campion/The Power of the Dog

Joel Coen/The Tragedy of MacBeth

Guillermo Del Toro/Nightmare Alley

Tom McCarthy/Stillwater

Denis Villenueve/Dune

Chloe Zhao/The Eternals

The complete list and more is linked here.

BAFTA WINNERS

Nomadland had a really fine night last night at the awards ceremony for the British Academy of Television Arts and Sciences winning four of the organizations Golden Masks.

Chloe Zhao's examination of the wanderers that make up a large community of R.V. dwellers in the American west won Best Picture as well Zhao for Best Director, Frances McDormand for Best Actress and Best Cinematography.

Florian Zeller's The Father also pulled off a major upset and a minor upset.  Anthony Hopkins upset Chadwick Boseman in the Best Actor category while Zeller and Christopher Hampton won Best Adapted Screenplay over Zhao for her Nomadland screenplay.

You can find the complete listing of BAFTA winners here from The Hollywood Reporter.

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Oscar Update: Costumes, Makeup and Hair and Visual Effects / Cannes Moving Back??? / Interviews with Hopkins and Pollard

OSCAR UPDATE: COSTUMES, MAKEUP AND HAIR AND VISUAL EFFECTS

Here's an update on three technical categories.  I last predicted these on February 15th.  Their position at that time is in parentheses.  Telluride #47 films are in Bold. 

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1) Ma Rainey's Black Bottom (1)

2) Emma (2)

3) Mank (3)

4) News of the World (4)

5) Mulan (5)

6) Promising Young Woman (9)

7) Ammonite (8)

8) Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey (-)

9) The United States vs. Billie Holiday (6)

10) The Personal History of David Copperfield (7)

Other Possibles: The Glorias, The Trial of the Chicago 7

Hot: Promising Young Woman

Not: The United States vs. Billie Holiday, The Personal History of David Copperfield

BEST MAKEUP/HAIR

1) Ma Rainey's Black Bottom (1)

2) Hillbilly Elegy (2)

3) Birds of Prey (4)

4) Mank (3)

5) Emma (5)

6) Pinocchio (6)

7) One Night in Miami (8)

8) The Glorias (9)

9) Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey (10)

10) The Little Things (7)

Hot: Birds of Prey

Not: The Little Things

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Tenet (1)

2) The Midnight Sky (2)

3) Mank (3)

4) Mulan (4)

5) Welcome to Chechnya (50

6) The One and Only Ivan (8)

7) Birds of Prey (6)

8) Soul (7)

9) Love and Monsters (9)

10) Bloodshot (10)

Hot: The One and Only Ivan

Not: Soul

CANNES MOVING BACK???

Earlier this week, Deadline's Tom Grater reported that the Cannes Film Festival, which looked to be headed to run in July (and perhaps even later as some rumors have it going into late summer) may be backtracking.

Grater reports that Cannes may plan a "pre-screening" event earlier than the planned July dates as a response to industry desires.  The Deadline story suggests the possible "pre-screening" would be:

"virtual and will be purely based around industry screenings, without a traditional physical market, and will feature market titles potentially alongside films from the festival selection"

Grater also writes that Cannes is getting pressure from sales agants and French distributors to do the earlier "pre-screenings".

The upshot is that we could be back to finding out at least some of the films Cannes has chosen for whatever version of the actual festival comes to pass and that could give us some Telluride clues.

The complete Deadline story is linked here.

INTERVIEWS WITH HOPKINS AND POLLARD

(photo via Sundance film Festival and Screen Daily)

Screen Daily published an interview this week with acting legend Anthony Hopkins.  Hopkins would have been one of the tribute recipients had a TFF #47 gone off last Labor Day.  

Hopkins role in The Father (the TFF and Sundance selection) has earned a good deal of Oscar speculation.

Here's the link to that interview.

Meanwhile, The Playlist posted an interview with director Sam Pollard whose documentary MLK/FBI, is on The Academy's Feature Documentary Shortlist.  MKL/FBI was also a TFF #47 selection.

That interview is linked here. 

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Oscar Update: Best Picture, Director, Doc and International / BIFA Awards TFF Films / Nomadland-Where Are They Now? / The Latest from We Gurus

 OSACR UPDATE: BEST PICTURE, DIRECTOR, DOC AND INTERNATIONAL

TFF films in Bold.

BEST PICTURE (last updated Feb. 11th, past position in parentheses) 

1) The Trial of the Chicago 7 (1)

2) Nomadland (2)

3) Minari (3)

4) Mank (6)

5) Promising Young Woman (8)

6) One Night in Miami (4)

7) Ma Rainey's Black Bottom (5)

8) Sound of Metal (-)

9) News of the World (10)

10) Judas and the Black Messiah (9)

Other Possibles: Da 5 Bloods, The Father

Hot: Mank, Sound of Metal, Promising Young Woman

Not: Da 5 Bloods, One Night in Miami, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

BEST DIRECTOR (last updated Feb. 4th, past position in parentheses) 

1) Chloe Zhao/Nomadland (1)

2) David Fincher/Mank (4)

3) Emerald Fennell/Promising Young Woman (9)

4) Aaron Sorkin/The Trial of the Chicago 7 (2)

5) Lee Isaac Chung/Minari (5)

6) Regina King/One Night in Miami (6)

7) Spike Lee/Da 5 Bloods (3)

8) Florian Zeller/The Father (10)

9) Paul Greengrass/News of the World (8)

10) Darius Marder/Sound of Metal (-)

Other Possibles: Shaka King/Judas and the Black Messiah, George C. Wolfe/Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Hot: Emerald Fennell/Promising Young Woman, David Fincher/Mank, Florian Zeller/The Father, Darius Marder/Sound of Metal

Not: Aaron Sorkin/The Trial of the Chicago 7,Spike Lee/Da 5 Bloods

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE (last updated Jan. 25th, past position in parentheses) 

1) Crip Camp: A Disability Revolution (1)

2) Time (5)

3) Collective (3)

4) Dick Johnson Is Dead (2)

5) Boys State (4)

6) Welcome to Chechnya (7)

7) The Truffle Hunters (8)

8) All In: The Fight for Democracy (6)

9) 76 Days (-)

10) MLK/FBI (-)

Other Possibles: Gunda, My Octopus Teacher, The Painter and the Thief, The Mole Agent, Notturno 

Hot: Time, 76 Days, MLK/FBI

Not: Dick Johnson Is Dead, All In: The Fight for Democracy

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE (last updated Jan. 25th, past position in parentheses) 

1) Another Round (1)

2) Collective (3)

3) The Two of Us (6)

4) Quo Vadis, Aida (2)

5) La Llorona (-)

6) A Sun (8)

7) I'm No Longer Here (4)

8) Dear Comrades (7)

9) Night of the Kings (5)

10) Sun Children (-)

Other Possibles: The Man Who Sold His Skin, Charlatan, The Mole Agent, Hope, Better Days

Hot: The Two of Us, La Llorona, A Sun, Sun Children

Not: Quo Vadis Aida, I'm No Longer Here, Night of the Kings

BIFA AWARDS TFF FILMS

Florain Zeller's The Father and Chloe Zhao's Nomadland both were lauded as a part of the British Independent Film Awards this past week.

Anthony Hopkins won Best Actor and Zeller and Christopher Hampton won for Best Screenplay for The Father.  The film also Best Editing.

Nomadland was named Best International Film.

Variety has the complete rundown of BIFA winners here.

NOMADLAND-WHERE ARE THEY NOW?

Esquire put up a story on Friday wherein Adrienne Westenfeld interviews the author of Nomadland, Jessica Bruder that catches up with some of the real life nomads that appeared in the film.  Linda, Bob and Swankie all get mentioned in the interview.  If you enjoyed the film and the people who make the film what it is, it's worth a read.

The interview is linked here.

THE LATEST FROM WE GURUS

The latest Gurus of Gold went up over the weekend at Movie City News.  Categories included there are Best Picture, Director and the Screenplay categories.  You may notice that my Best Picture predictions above are already a little different than what I reported to MCN last week.  It's a quck shifting landscape!

Here's the link to the new Gurus.

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Oscar Update: Animated Feature, Cinematography, Editing, Score, Song /Gurus: The Second Batch / SAG Awards and TFF / BAFTA and Telluride

OSCAR UPDATE

In today's post I am updating nomination predictions in five categories.  The film's previous ranking is to the right in parentheses. TFF films are in Bold.

ANIMATED FEATURE

1) Soul (1)

2) Wolfwalkers (2)

3) Over the Moon (3)

4) Onward (4)

5) Earwig and the Witch (8)

6) A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon (5)

7) The Croods: A New Age (9)

8) Trolls: World Tour (7)

9) The Willoughbys (6)

10) Demon Slayer (10)

Other Possibles: Lupin III

Hot: Earwig and the Witch, The Croods: A New Age

Not: The Willoughbys

CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) Nomadland (2)

2) Mank (1)

3) News of the World (3)

4) Tenet (4)

5) Judas and the Black Messiah (5)

6) Da 5 Bloods (8)

7) The Trial of the Chicago 7 (9)

8) Minari (6)

9) Ma Rainey's Black Bottom (7)

10) First Cow (10)

Other Possibles: One Night in Miami, Midnight Sky, I'm Thinking of Ending Things

Hot: Da 5 Bloods, The Trial of the Chicago 7

Not: Minari, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

FILM EDITING

1) The Trial of the Chicago 7 (1)

2) Nomadland (2)

3) Tenet (5)

4) News of theWorld (4)

5) Mank (3)

6) The Father (6)

7) Da 5 Bloods (9)

8) One Night in Miami (8)

9) Judas and the Black Messiah (10)

10) Ma Rainey's Black Bottom (7)

Other Possibles: Promising Young Woman, Minari, Sound of Metal

Hot: Da 5 Bloods

Not: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Soul (1)

2) News of the World (2)

3) Midnight Sky (4)

4) Mank (3)

5) Tenet (6)

6) Minari (5)

7) The Trial of the Chicago 7 (7)

8) Da 5 Bloods (8)

9) Ma Rainey's Black Bottom (-)

10) The Little Things (9)

Other Possible: Hillbilly Elegy

Hot: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Not: Mank

ORIGINAL SONG

1) One Night in Miami/Speak Now (1)

2) The Life Ahead/Seen (2)

3) Over the Moon/Rocket to the Moon (3)

4) The Prom/Wear Your Crown (4)

5) The Trial of the Chicago 7/Hear My Voice (5)

6) Eurovision/Husavik (6)

7) Borat Subsequent Moviefilm/ Wuhan Flu (7)

8) Judas and the Black Messiah/Fight for You (10)

9) Trolls: World Tour/Just Sing (8)

10) Mank/If Only You Could Save Me (9)

Other Possibles: Miss Americana/Only the Young, Onward/Carried Me with You, 40 Year Old Version/Poverty Porn

Hot/Not: A really stable category right now.

GURUS: THE SECOND BATCH

The second wave of collective predictions from The Movie City News' Gurus of Gold was up just before the weekend.  Categories include: Best Picture, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actor, Documentary and International Feature.

Check out the latest from my fellow Gurus here.

SAG AWARDS AND TFF

The Screen Actors Guild nominees were announced and TFF films produced three nominees;  Anthony Hopkins was nominated for Best actor and Olivia Colman for Best Supporting Actress fpr TFF #47 announced film The Father.  Hopkins would have been one of 2020's Tribute recipients had the fest been able to go on.  Frances McDormand was nominated for Best Actress for Nomadland.

All three actors are currently predicted to be Oscar nominees in their respective categories by MTFB.

Here's a link to the complete list of SAG nominees from Variety.

BAFTA LONG LISTS AND TELLURIDE

The British Academy of Film and Television Arts (BAFTA) released their long lists of potential nominees for film this past week.  This is the first listing of films that could eventually be nominated for BAFTA awards.

Among the films named to the list were six from the TFF #7 and one from TFF #46.  In a bit of a surprise the most named TFF #47 film was Francis Lee's Ammonite with nine mentions followed by both Nomadland and The Father with eight.

Ammonite's long list mentions were for: Best British Film, Best Actress (Kate Winlset), Supporting Actress (Saoirse Ronan), Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Costumes, Makeup and Hair, Score and Production Design.

Nomaldland is listed for Best Film, Direction (Chloe Zhao), Actress (Frances McDormand), Supporting Actor (David Stratharin), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Films Editing and Sound.

The Father is listed for Best Film, Best British Film, Direction (Florian Zeller), Best Actor (Anthony Hopkins), Supporting Actress (Olivia Colman), Adapted Screenplay, Film Editing and Production Design.

Other TFF films making the long lists were:

The Truffle Hunters with two: Best Film in a Language Other than English and Best Documentary.

All In: The Fight for Democracy: Best Documentary

MLK/FBI: Best Documentary

And from TFF #46- The Assistant with three mentions: Best Direction (Kitty Green), Best Actress (Julia Garner) and Original Screenplay

The complete long lists are linked here from BAFTA's website.

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Golden Globe Nominations Announced / Oscar Updates: Direction, Screenplays and More / New Look at The Father / All Hail Hal Holbrook

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