THE COMPOSITE TELLURIDE
Here it is for TFF #45. The composite mash-up of ratings from both the People and the Professionals. The Composite Telluride combines the ratings for films that came from both sets of Telluride attendees that I canvas immediately after the fest.
I began doing The Composite in 2013 and in each year the film that has finished at the top has gone on to win the Best Picture Oscar.
Here's a quick look at the top five Composite films for each year since I started:
In 2013 the top five composite films were:
1) 12 Years a Slave (9.25)
2) Tim's Vermeer (8.97)
3) Gravity (8.75)
4) Nebraska (8.38)
5) All is Lost (8.26)
In 2014 the top five were:
1) Birdman (9.18)
2) Foxcatcher (8.83)
3) The Imitation Game (8.79)
4) Wild Tales (8.43)
5) '71 (8.15)
In 2015 the top five were:
1) Spotlight (8.86)
2) Son of Saul (8.74)
3) Beasts of No Nation (8.62)
4) Steve Jobs (8.17)
5) Carol (8.13)
In 2016 the top five were:
1) Moonlight (9.19)
2) La La Land (8.91)
3) Manchester by the Sea (8.13)
4) Arrival (8.01)
5) Maudie (7.89)
1) The Shape of Water (8.72)
2) Lady Bird (8.58)
3) Faces Places (7.96)
4) Darkest Hour (7.90)
5) Hostiles (7.78)
Finally, heading into 2018 the top ten films for the duration of the existence of the Composite Telluride have been:
1) 12 Years a Slave (9.25) 2013
2) Moonlight (9.19) 2016
3) Birdman (9.18) 2014
4) Tim's Vermeer (8.97) 2013
5) La La Land (8.91) 2016
6) Spotlight (8.86) 2015
7) Foxcatcher (8.83) 2014
8) The Imitation Game (8.79) 2014
9) Gravity (8.75) 2013
10) Son of Saul (8.74) 2015
Only 12 films of the 33 featured films had enough responses collectively between the two polls to create the Composite Telluride ratings. Here's where they landed on the 2018 Composite Telluride ratings (combined ratings in parentheses and the film's positions for both The People's Telluride ratings and The Professionals):
1) Roma (9.20) 1-1
2) First Man (8.51) 2-2
3) Free Solo (8.33) 5-3
4) Cold War (8.16) 6-3
5) Can You Ever Forgive Me? (7.91) 8-5
6) The Favourite (7.66) 9-6
7) Boy Erased (7.43) 4-10
8) White Boy Rick (6.94) 7-11
9) The Front Runner (6.74) 10-13
10) Destroyer (6.69) 12-9
11) Border (6.57) 16-8
12) The Old Man and the Gun (6.56) 14-10
As you can see, the largest disconnect between The Pros and the People was with Ali Abassi's Border with The People rating it at #16 while The pros had it at #8. Another large disagreement was on Joel Edgerton's Boy Erased with the People ranking it as the #4 film of the fest while The Pros have it at #10.
It will be interesting if Roma or First Man should win Oscar for Best Picture as either film would continue a TFF ratings trend. A Roma win would continue the streak of Telluride films that have placed at the top of the Composite ratings in each year I've done them. A First Man win would continue the almost uninterrupted trend of #2 films from The People's Telluride to win Best Picture. That's been true every year of The People's T-ride save for 2016 when Telluride favorite Barry Jenkin's Moonlight won over Damien Chazelle's La La Land. Had La La Land won (which most pundits expected) that #2 trend would still be unbroken.
Something's got to give this year. And, of course, there's always the possibility that The Telluride streak gets busted this year (eight straight BP winners and nine of the last ten played Telluride). Maybe A Star Is Born wins (many are predicting that to happen) and that ends the streak.
Finally, Roma moves to the #2 spot on the all time Composite list which bumps Laszlo Nemes' Son of Saul to #11.
The new all time Composite list:
1) 12 Years a Slave (9.25) 2013
2) Roma (9.20) 2018
3) Moonlight (9.19) 2016
4) Birdman (9.18) 2014
5) Tim's Vermeer (8.97) 2013
6) La La Land (8.91) 2016
7) Spotlight (8.86) 2015
8) Foxcatcher (8.83) 2014
9) The Imitation Game (8.79) 2014
10) Gravity (8.75) 2013
CONTINUED OSCAR ASSESSMENTS
Various Oscar prognosticators continue to weigh in with their perspectives on the season as Telluride/Venice/Toronto festival gauntlet has come to an end (New York's fest is just underway) and here's a look at the highlights of more of those as MTFB continues to pivot to its secondary mission to follow the awards season fortunes of the films that screened as a part of TFF #45.
Variety's Kristopher Tapley has a Best Picture piece posted. Tapley names ten films that seem to have the edge for Best Picture at this time. Included among them are T-ride selections Can You Ever Forgive Me?, The Favourite, First Man and Roma. Among "Other Films to Consider" Tapley includes The Front Runner and Cold War.
Tapley is on record as having said that he won't get to large scale predictions in multiple categories for Variety until December.
His complete article is linked here.
Vanity Fair's Richard Lawson goes with early takes for the six major Oscar categories: Picture, Direction, Actress, Actor and Supporting Actress and Actor.
By category, here's what T-ride films/performances he sees in the race at this point:
Best Picture: Roma, First Man (Lawson becomes the first journalist who echoes my opinion-voiced on the gondola in Telluride-that First Man shares some stylistic attributes with last year's multi-nominated Dunkirk). Lawson also suggests The Favourite is "still in play" and that the BP fortunes of The Front Runner and Boy Erased "dimmed" in Toronto.
Best Actress: Lawson says Olivia Colman/The Favourite and Melissa McCarthy/Can You Ever Forgive Me? are probable. He also opines that both Yalitza Aparicio/Roma and Nicole Kidman/Destroyer could make the race as well.
Best Actor: Lawson, like many, think Robert Redford has a real shot at a nomination for The Old Man and the Gun owning in some measure to the fact that Redford has said it's his last acting gig. Ryan Gosling/First Man is also mentioned and Lawson says we shouldn't count out Hugh Jackman in The Front Runner.
Best Supporting Actress: As many do, Lawson suggests both Emma Stone and Rachel Weisz could earn nominations for The Favourite. Also on his radar is Claire Foy from First Man.
Best Supporting Actor: Richard E. Grant for Can You Ever Forgive Me? is the TFF most likely Supporting Actor nominee according to Lawson. He also suggests that Russell Crowe might be possible from Boy Erased.
Best Direction: Lawson suggests that the five directors nominated could include Alfonso Cuaron/Roma, Damien Chazelle/First Man and Yorgos Lanthimos/The Favourite.
The complete Vanity Fair piece is linked here.
The Guardian also put together a post-festival Oscar analysis that isn't as focused as those above. It does, however, conclude with what it says are Ten Safe Nominee Bets which include TFFers:
Alfonso Cuaron/Roma/Direction
Richard E. Grant/Can You Ever Forgive Me?/Supporting Actor
Olivia Colman/The Favourite/Actress
Robert Redford/The Old Man and the Gun/Actor
The complete article from The Guardian is here.
THE CRITICAL RESPONSE TO FESTIVAL FILMS
Many outlets posted/published lists of the critical reaction to films that played at all three just concluded festivals. Here are a couple of takes:
Metacritic
The critical aggregating outfit had an extensive article posted Sunday with a breakdown of films into four categories: Award Winners, Other Highlights, Minor Disappointments and The Duds. Here's where TFF #45 ended up with their Metacritic composite score:
Award Winners:
Roma (Golden Lion/Venice) 96
The Favourite (Grand Jury Prize/Venice) 92
Other Highlights (alphabetical):
The Biggest Little Farm 74
Can You Ever Forgive Me? 83
First Man 83
Fistful of Dirt 71
Free Solo 79
Non-Fiction 83
The Old Man and the Gun 84
The Other Side of the Wind 82
They'll Love Me When I'm Dead 81
Minor Disappointments:
Boy Erased 68
Destroyer 62
The Front Runner 67
The Great Buster 69
Peterloo 69
No Telluride films were included among The Duds.
The Metacritic post is here in its entirety.
The Film Stage also categorized films across the three film festivals. Here's where they had films from The SHOW:
The Best ( a grade of A listed alphabetically):
The Favourite
First Man
Roma
The Rest:
The "B" group:
Can You Ever Forgive Me? B+
Non-Fiction B+
Destroyer B
The Front Runner B
The Old Man and the Gun B
Peterloo B
White Boy Rick B
Angels Are Made of Light B-
The "C" Group:
They'll Love Me When I'm Dead C
The Film Stage post is here.
And finally, Indiewire published "The 12 Best Movies of the Fall Festivals" on Sunday which included The Favourite and Roma. Find out the other ten films in the complete article here.
TFF HISTORY PROJECT
For those who enjoy re-visiting Telluride's past film fests, the Selected History Page has been updated for both 2017 and 2018. Additionally, I have added the link for the TFF #45 program to the Extended History 1996-Present page. I'm still planning to expand the Extended History with the information available for the fests beginning with 2006 right up to 2018 over the next few months.
FINAL TRAILER FOR FIRST MAN
Three weeks before its release, Universal has revealed a new and final trailer for Damien Chazelle's First Man. Here it is from YouTube:
First Man starring Ryan Gosling as Neil Armstrong opens on Oct. 12th.
That's your MTFB for this Thursday. I'll have more on Monday.
EMAIL: mpgort@gmail.com OR michael_speech@hotmail.com
TWITTER @Gort2 (and follow me there as well)
FACEBOOK Message me on FB MTFB's Facebook Page
COMMENT TO THE BLOG
No comments:
Post a Comment