FIRST OSCAR PREDICTIONS FOR 2018-PART TWO
Continuing from Monday's post, here are my first attempts at parsing the Oscar nominees for the Supporting Acting and Screenplay categories.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Emma Stone in The Favourite
1) Claire Foy/First Man
2) Regina King/Widows
3) Nicole Kidman/Boy Erased
4) Emma Stone/The Favourite
5) Rachel Wiesz/The Favourite
Others: Olivia Colman/The Favourite***, Marina deTavira/Roma, Amy Adams/Vice, Michelle Yeoh/Crazy Rich Asians, Elizabeth Debicki/Widows
***depending on category placement
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Me with Richard E. Grant of Can You Ever Forgive Me?
1) Mahershala Ali/Green Book
2) Richard E. Grant/Can You Ever Forgive Me?
3) Timothee Chalamet/Beautiful Boy
4) Sam Elliott/A Star Is Born
5) Sam Rockwell/Vice
Others: Michael B. Jordan/Black Panther, John C. Reilly/Stan and Ollie, Adam Driver/BlackKklansman, Joel Edgerton/Boy Erased
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1) Roma
2) Green Book
3) The Favourite
4) Eighth Grade
5) First Reformed
Others: Vice, A Quiet Place, Ben Is Back, Stan and Ollie
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1) If Beale Street Could Talk
2) First Man
3) Can You Ever Forgive Me?
4) BlackKklansman
5) Boy Erased
Others: A Star Is Born, Widows, The Front Runner, Wildlife, Beautiful Boy
The TFF #45 breakdown should the predictions in these four categories be 100% accurate:
The Favourite (3): Stone and Wiesz/Supporting Actress and Original Screenplay
First Man (2): Foy/Supporting Actress and Adapted Screenplay
Can You Ever Forgive Me? (2): Grant/Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay
Roma (1) Original Screenplay
Boy Erased (2) Kidman/Supporting Actress and Adapted Screenplay
Also additional possibilities:
The Favourite (1): Colman/Supporting Actress
Roma (1) deTavira/Supporting Actress
Boy Erased (1): Edgerton/Supporting Actor
The Front Runner (1): Adapted Screenplay
AND...added to Monday's totals, the accumulated predictions for the eight major categories are:
The Favourite-6
First Man-5
Can You Ever Forgive Me?-4
Roma-3
Boy Erased-3
Added Possibilities:
The Front Runner-3
Boy Erased-2
Roma-2
The Favourite-1
Destroyer-1
And from TFF #44
First Reformed is predicted to be nominated for Best Original Screenplay and Ethan Hawke is a possible nominee for Best Actor.
PETERLOO MOVES
It was announced on Tuesday that Mike Leigh's Peterloo, which played TFF #45 as well as Venice, Toronto and will play as past of the BFI London Fest, will move its release date . The film was scheduled to be released in the U.S. on Nov. 9th but now Amazon Studios has pushed the release date to April 5, 2019.
The distributor also said that the film will be released this fall in the U.K. so that it will qualify for the BAFTAs.
The film has had something of a rough go this year as it was reportedly not chosen for Cannes. At Telluride last month the response to my polls of both fest-goers and industry professionals revealed that Peterloo didn't draw enough respondents from either group to merit including it in the ratings lists.
Peterloo details the true story of a Labor movement in Britain in August of 1819 that was organized to gain the right to vote. That resulted in the deaths of 15 people with another 400 injured as the in an action taken by the cavalry that has become known as the Peterloo Massacre.
For more details concerning the delay of its release, here is the link to the story from The Hollywood Reporter.
LOWERY TALKS THE OLD MAN
Chris O'Falt at Indiewire posted his latest Toolkit podcast this week. His guest is The Old Man and The Gun director David Lowery. Lowery also adapted the screenplay from an article by David Grann from his New Yorker article. Grann was also represented at Telluride by Trial by Fire, also based on another of his New Yorker articles.
Lowery spends some time talking about the making of the film which may or may not but probably is Robert Redford's last acting gig.
The story and the link to the podcast are here.
More to come on Monday.
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