MTFB OSCAR TAKE: SHORTS
Here's the first, and perhaps only, MTFB predictions for nominees in the three Shorts categories. The shorts categories are often the categories that determine winners of Oscar pools owing to the limited availability of viewing. So take these all with an incredibly large dose of salt... TFF #52 Shorts are in Bold.
ANIMATED SHORT
1) Eiru
2) Butterfly
3) Playing God
4) Snow Bear
5) Cardboard
Others: The Girl Who Cried Pearls, Hurikan, The Quinta's Ghost and The Shyness of Trees.
DOCUMENTARY SHORT
1) All the Empty Rooms
2) The Devil Is Busy
3) Armed With Only a Camera
4) All the Walls Came Down
5) Chasing Time
Others: Classroom 4, We Were the Scenery and Perfectly a Strangeness.
LIVE ACTION SHORT
1) Two People Exchanging Saliva
2) Rock, Paper, Scissors
3) The Singers
4) Extremist
5) Jane Austen's Period Drama
Others: Beyond Silence, Pantyhose and The Boy with White Skin.
OSCAR 2026 COMMENTARY
Well, we'll know Thursday when The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences announces the performers and films that received a sufficient number of votes to earn an Oscar nomination in 24 categories.
24 categories this year with the addition of a Best Casting category. It'll be interesting to see how this category has been adjudicated because the criteria is murky. Will the five films nominated here line up with Best Picture nominees. Can you get nominated here if your film has no individual acting nominees?
Sure Things? Some notes about what seem to be locks.
Best Picture: One Battle After Another, Hamnet, Sinners, Sentimental Value and Frankenstein. Then the last four spots look like a free -for-all between It Was Just an Accident, Train Dreams, Bugonia, The Secret Agent, Wicked: For Good, and F1. Outside possibility: Blue Moon.
Locks in other categories:
Paul Thomas Anderson: Best Direction
Jesse Buckley: Best Actress
Stellan Skarsgard: Best Supporting Actor
Sinners: Best Original Screenplay
K-Pop Demon Hunters: Best Animated Feature
Sinners: Best Cinematography
Sinners: Best Score
K-Pop Demon Hunters: Best Original Song
Frankenstein: Makeup/Hair
Avatar: Fire and Ice: Best Visual Effects
Frankenstein: Costume Design
Most Competitive Categories:
Best Picture: One Battle, Sinners and Hamnet.
Best Actor: Chalamet and DiCaprio.
Best Supporting Actress: Taylor and Madigan.
Best Adapted Screenplay: One Battle and Hamnet.
Best International Feature: Sentimental Value, It Was Just an Accident and The Secret Agent.
Best Sound: Sinners and F1
MTFB will have a special post on Wednesday with final nomination predictions.
TRAILER FOR H IS FOR HAWK
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