MTFB's Final Oscar Nomination Predictions:
BEST PICTURE
1) One Battle After Another (1)
2) Hamnet (3)
3) Sinners (2)
4) Marty Supreme (4)
5) Frankenstein (6)
6) Sentimental Value (5)
7) It Was Just an Accident (7)
8) Train Dreams (8)
9) The Secret Agent (NR)
10) Bugonia (10)
Others: F1, Wicked: for Good and Weapons.
BEST DIRECTION
1) Paul Thomas Anderson/OBAA (1)
2) Ryan Coogler/Sinners (2)
3) Chloe Zhao/Hamnet (3)
4) Guillermo Del Toro/Frankenstein (4)
5) Joachim Trier/Sentimental Value (5)
Others: Jafar Panhani/It Was Just an Accident, Josh Safdie/Marty Supreme and Kleber Mendanca Filho/The Secret Agent.
BEST ACTRESS
1) Jesse Buckley/Hamnet (1)
2) Rose Byrne/If I Had Legs I'd Kick You (2)
3) Renee Reinsve/Sentimental Value (3)
4) Emma Stone/Bugonia (4)
5) Chase Infiniti/OBAA (5)
Others: Kate Hudson/Song Sung Blue , Amanda Seyfreid/The Testament of Ann Lee and Cynthia Erivo/Wicked: For Good.
BEST ACTOR
1) Timothee Chalamet/Marty Supreme (1)
2) Leonardo DiCaprio/OBAA (2)
3) Walter Moura/The Secret Agent (3)
4) Ethan Hawke/Blue Moon (4)
5) Michael B. Jordan/Sinners (5)
Others: Joel Edgerton/Train Dreams, Jesse Plemons/Bugonia and George Clooney/Jay Kelly
SUPPRORTING ACTRESS
1) Teyana Taylor/One Battle After Another (1)
2) Amy Madigan/Weapons (2)
3) Ariana Grande/Wicked" For Good (3)
4) Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas/Sentimental Value (4)
5) Elle Fanning/Sentimental Value (5)
Others: Wunmi Mosaku/Sinners, Regina Hall/One Battle After Another and Odessa A'Zion/Marty Supreme.
SUPPORTING ACTOR
1) Stellan Skarsgard/Sentimental Value (1)
2) Benicio del Toro/One Battle After Another (2)
3) Jacob Elordi/Frankenstein (3)
4) Sean Penn/One Battle After Another (4)
5) Paul Mescal/Hamnet (5)
Others: Adam Sandler/Jay Kelly, Miles Caton/Sinners and DelRoy Lindo/Sinners.
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1) Sinners (1)
2) Marty Supreme (2)
3) Sentimental Value (3)
4) It Was Just an Accident (4)
5) Weapon (5)
Others: Sorry, Baby, Jay Kelly and The Secret Agent.
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1) One Battle After Another (1)
2) Hamnet (2)
3) Train Dreams (3)
4) Frankenstein (4)
5) Bugonia (5)
Others: No Other Choice, Wakeup Dead Man and Nuremburg.
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
1) Sentimental Value (Norway) (1)
2) It Was Just an Accident (France) (2)
3) The Secret Agent (Brazil) (3)
4) Sirat (4)
5) No Other Choice (South Korea) (5)
Others: The Voice of Hind Rajab (Tunisia), Left-Handed Girl (Taiwan) and Kukuho (Japan).
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
1) The Perfect Neighbor (1)
2) 2000 Meters to Andriivka (2)
3) Cover-Up (3)
4) The Alabama Solution (4)
5) Apocalypse in the Tropics (*TFF #51) (NR)
Others: Come See Me in the Good Light, My Undesirable Friends: Part 1 and Mr. Nobody Against Putin.
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
1) K-Pop Demon Hunters (1)
2) Zootopia 2 (2)
3) Arco (3)
4) Little Amelie or the Character of Rain (4)
5) Elio (5)
Others: In Your Dreams, Demon Slayer, The Magnificent Life.
BEST CASTING
1) Sinners (1)
2) One Battle After Another (2)
3) Marty Supreme (3)
4) Hamnet (4)
5) Wicked: For Good (4)
Others: Frankenstein, Sentimental Value and Weapons.
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
1) Sinners (1)
2) One Battle after Another (2)
3) Hamnet (3)
4) Train Dreams (4)
5) Frankenstein (5)
Others: F1, Marty Supreme and Bugonia.
BEST EDITING
1) One Battle After Another (1)
2) Sinners (2)
3) F1 (3)
4) Marty Supreme (4)
5) Hamnet (5)
Others: Frankenstein, It Was Just an Accident and Sentimental Value.
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
1) Sinners (1)
2) One Battle After Another (2)
3) Hamnet (3)
4) Frankenstein (4)
5) Train Dreams (5)
Others: F1, Marty Supreme and Sirat.
ORIGINAL SONG
1) Golden/K Pop Demon Hunters (1)
2) I Lied to You/Sinners (2)
3) Dear Me/Diane Warren: Relentless (3)
4) Last Time (I Seen the Sun)/Sinners (4)
5) Train Dreams/Train Dreams (5)
Others: The Girl in the Bubble/Wicked: For Good, Dream as One/Avatar: Fire and Ash.
PRODUCTION DESIGN
1) Frankenstein (1)
2) Sinners (2)
3) Hamnet (3)
4) Wicked: For Good (4)
5) Marty Supreme (5)
Others: Avatar: Fire and Ash, One Battle After Another and The Fantastic Four: First Steps.
COSTUME DESIGN
1) Frankenstein (1)
2) Wicked: For Good (2)
3) Sinners (3)
4) Hamnet (4)
5) Hedda (5)
Others: The Testament of Ann Lee, Marty Supreme and Kiss of the Spiderman.
MAKEUP AND HAIR
1) Frankenstein (1)
2) Wicked: For Good (2)
3) Sinners (3)
4) The Smashing Machine (4)
5) Kokuho (5)
Others: One Battle After Another, Marty Supreme and Nuremburg.
SOUND DESIGN
1) F1 (2)
2) Sinners (1)
3) One Battle After Another (3)
4) Avatar: Fire and Ash (NR)
5) Wicked: For Good (4)
Others: Sirat, Frankenstein and Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere.
VISUAL EFFECTS
1) Avatar: Fire and Ash (1)
2) F1 (2)
3) Sinners (3)
4) Frankenstein (4)
5) Superman (5)
Others: Wicked: For Good, Jurassic World Rebirth and The Lost Bus.
ANIMATED SHORT
1) Eiru
2) Butterfly
3) Playing God
4) Snow Bear
5) Cardboard
Others: The Girl Who Cried Pearls, Hurikan, The Quinta's Ghost and The Shyness of Trees.
DOCUMENTARY SHORT
1) All the Empty Rooms
2) The Devil Is Busy
3) Armed With Only a Camera
4) All the Walls Came Down
5) Chasing Time
Others: Classroom 4, We Were the Scenery and Perfectly a Strangeness.
LIVE ACTION SHORT
1) Two People Exchanging Saliva
2) Rock, Paper, Scissors
3) The Singers
4) Extremist
5) Jane Austen's Period Drama
Others: Beyond Silence, Pantyhose and The Boy with White Skin.
THE EXPERTS WEIGH IN
Here's a rundown of how some Oscar experts are predicting nominations for Telluride films:
***VARIETY
Hamnet (10): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Buckley), Supporting Actor (Mescal), Adapted Screenplay, Casting, Production Design, Costumes, Editing and Score.
Frankenstein (10): Best Picture, Direction, Supporting Actor (Elordi), Adapted Screenplay, Production Design, Cinematography, Costumes, Makeup/Hair, Sound and Score.
Sentimental Value (7): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Reinsve), Supporting Actor (Skarsgard), Supporting Actress (Lilleaas), Original Screenplay, International Feature.
Bugonia (4): Best Picture, Actress (Stone), Adapted Screenplay and Production Design.
The Secret Agent (4): Best Picture, Actor (Moura), Casting and International Feature.
Blue Moon (2) Best Actor (Hawke) and Original Screenplay.
Single nominations:
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You: Best Actress (Byrne).
It Was Just and Accident: Best International Feature.
All the Empty Rooms: Best Documentary Short.
All the Walls Came Down: Best Documentary Short.
Extremist: Best Live Action Short.
Variety has 11 TFF films earning 42 nominations.
***INDIEWIRE
Frankenstein (12): Best Picture, Direction, Supporting Actor (Elordi), Adapted Screenplay, Casting, Cinematography, Costumes, Makeup/Hair, Score, Production Design, Sound and Visual Effects.
Hamnet (10): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Buckley), Supporting Actor (Mescal), Adapted Screenplay, Casting, Costumes, Editing, Score and Production Design.
Sentimental Value (5): Best Picture, Supporting Actor (Skarsgard), Supporting Actress (Lilleaas), Original Screenplay, International Feature.
Bugonia (3): Best Picture, Actress (Stone) and Adapted Screenplay.
The Secret Agent (3): Best Picture, Actor (Moura) and International Feature.
It Was Just an Accident (2): Best International Feature and Original Screenplay.
Single nominations for:
Blue Moon: Best Actor (Hawke).
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You: Best Actress (Byrne).
Cover-Up: Best Documentary.
All the Empty rooms: Best Documentary Short.
All the Walls Came Down: Best Documentary Short.
Extremist: Best Live Action Short.
Indiewire has 11 TFF films with 41 nominations.
***NEXT BEST PICTURE
Hamnet (11): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Buckley), Supporting Actor (Mescal), Adapted Screenplay, Casting, Editing, Cinematography, Costumes, Production Design and Score.
Frankenstein (10): Best Picture, Supporting Actor (Elordi), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Costumes, Makeup/Hair, Score, Production Design, Sound and Visual Effects.
Sentimental Value (8): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Reinsve), Supporting Actress (Lilleaas),, Supporting Actor (Skarsgard) Original Screenplay, Casting and International Feature.
It Was Just an Accident (4): Best Picture, Direction, Original Screenplay, International Feature.
Bugonia (3): Best Picture, Actress (Stone)and Adapted Screenplay.
The Secret Agent (3): Best Picture, Actor (Moura) and International Feature.
Single nominations for:
Blue Moon: Best Actor (Hawke).
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You: Best Actress (Byrne).
Apocalypse in the Tropics: Best Documentary (TFF #51)
All the Empty rooms: Best Documentary Short.
All the Walls Came Down: Best Documentary Short.
NBP has 11 TFF films earning 44 nominations.
***THE CONTENDING
Hamnet (11): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Buckley), Supporting Actor (Mescal), Adapted Screenplay, Casting, Editing, Cinematography, Costumes, Production Design and Score.
Frankenstein (10): Best Picture, Supporting Actor (Elordi), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Costumes, Makeup/Hair, Score, Production Design, Sound and Visual Effects.
Sentimental Value (7): Best Picture, Actress (Reinsve), Supporting Actor (Skarsgard), Supporting Actress (Lilleaas), Original Screenplay, Casting and International Feature.
The Secret Agent (4): Best Picture, Actor (Moura), Original Screenplay and International Feature.
It Was Just an Accident (4): Best Picture, Direction, Original Screenplay and International Feature.
Bugonia (3): Best Picture, Actress (Stone) and Adapted Screenplay.
Single nominations for:
Blue Moon: Best Actor (Hawke).
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You: Best Actress (Byrne).
Cover-Up: Best Documentary.
All the Empty Rooms: Best Documentary Short.
All the Walls Came Down: Best Documentary Short.
The Contending has 11 TFF films earning 44 nominations.
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