With Oscar nominations announced in just two months (Jan. 13th), I'm expanding nomination predictions beginning with today's post.
I have the categories broken into groups so that over the course of each couple of weeks, I'll be updating each of the 21 feature categories. I'll add the three Shorts categories as we approach nomination morning in January.
Today I'll be updating all four of the acting categories as well as making first attempts for nomination predictions for Documentary, Animated Feature and Film Editing.
Acting categories were last updated on Nov. 11th for Best Actress and Actor. Supporting Actress and Actor were last updated on Oct. 21 and 24 respectively.
As always, TFF #46 films are indicated in Bold. The film or performers previous position in these predictions are indicated in parentheses.
BEST ACTRESS
1) Renee Zellweger/Judy (1)
2) Charlize Theron/Bombshell (2)
3) Scarlett Johansson/Marriage Story (3)
4) Saoirse Ronan/Little Woman (4)
5) Cynthia Ervio/Harriet (5)
Other possibles: Awkwafina/The Farewell, Lupita Nyong'o/Us, Alfre Woodard/Clemency
BEST ACTOR
1) Adam Driver/Marriage Story (1)
2) Joaquin Phoenix/Joker (2)
3) Jonathan Pryce/The Two Popes (3)
4) Leonardo DiCaprio/Once Upon a Time in...Hollywood (4)
5) Antonio Banderas/Pain and Glory (-)
Other possibles: Eddie Murphy/Dolemite Is My Name, Robert DeNiro/The Irishman, Taron Egerton/Rocketman, Adam Sandler/Uncut Gems
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1) Laura Dern/Marriage Story (1)
2) Jennifer Lopez/Hustlers (2)
3) Margot Robbie/Bombshell (4)
4) Florence Pugh/Little Women (-)
5) Scarlett Johansson/Jojo Rabbit (-)
Other possibles: Zhao Shuzhen/The Farewell, Maggie Smith/Downton Abbey, Annette Bening/The Report, Thomasin McKenzie/Jojo Rabbit
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1) Brad Pitt/Once Upon a Time in...Hollywood (1)
2) Al Pacino/The Irishman (2)
3) Anthony Hopkins/The Two Popes (4)
4) Joe Pesci/The Irishman (5)
5) Tom Hanks/A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood (4)
Other possibles: Willem Dafoe/The Lighthouse, Alan Alda/Marriage Story, Wesley Snipes/Dolemite Is My Name, Shia Labeouf/Honey Boy
And now for first predictions in three categories:
BEST DOCUMENTARY
1) American Factory
2) Apollo 11
3) One Child Nation
4) Sea of Shadows
5) The Cave
Other possibles: Knock Down the House, Honeyland, The Kingmaker, The Biggest Little Farm(*TFF #45)
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
1) Toy Story 4
2) Frozen II
3) The Missing Link
4) I Lost My Body
5) How to Train Your Dragon/Hidden World
Other possibles: Klaus, Abominable, Funan
FILM EDITING
1) The Irishman
2) Ford v Ferrari
3) Once Upon a Time in ... Hollywood
4) 1917
5) Parasite
Other possibles: Marriage Story, Jojo Rabbit, The Two Popes
MTFB's next post will include updates for Best Picture, Director, and Screenplays and first time predictions for Cinematography, Original Score and Production Design.
SO MUCH CONTENT...INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES
A blizzard of interviews and profiles have appeared over the last few days regarding films that played at TFF #46. I've tried to capture many of them to connect them for you. Here's the retrospective:
The Report's writer/director Scott Z. Burns talks to Brian Welk for The Wrap
The Reports' Annette Bening talks to Jessica Zack for The San Francisco Chronicle's Datebook
Waves' writer director Trey Edward Shults talks to Jacqueline Coley for Rotten Tomatoes
Waves' cast members talk to Mackenzie Nichols for Variety
Motherless Brooklyn director and screen writer Edward Norton talks to Anne Thompson for Indiewire
Ford v Ferrari director James Mangold talks to Anthony D'Alessandro for Deadline
Mangold also talks to John Horn for The Frame
Mangold talks to Anne Thompson of Indiewire
Marriage Story's Alan Alda talks to Eric Kohn for Indiewire
Marriage Story's Laura Dern talks to Erin Nyren for Variety
Diego Maradona director Asif Kapadia talks to Annie Howard for The Hollywood Reporter
Uncut Gems' Adam Sandler talks to Latesha Harris for Variety
Twins Alex and Marcus Lewis, the focus of the doc Tell Me Who I Am, talk to Matthew Carey for Deadline
Parasite's writer/director Bong Joon-ho talks to Patrick Bzeski for The Hollywood Reporter
Parasite actors Park So-dam and Choi Woo-shik talk to Demi Kampakis for The Film Stage
Pain and Glory actor Antonio Banderas talks to Latesha Harris for Variety
OSCAR HISTORY AND TFF: DOCUMENTARY AND ANIMATED FEATURE
The project continues documenting the history of Oscar nominees and the Telluride Film Festival with a look at Documentary Feature and Animated Feature nominees from the fest through the years.
BEST DOCUMENTARY
1981- Eight Minutes to Midnight
1983- Seeing Red
1984- The Times of Harvey Milk-WINNER
1989- Super Chief: The Life and Legacy of Earl Warren
1991- Wild by Law
1996- Ayn Rand: A Sense of Life
2002- Bowling for Columbine-WINNER
2003- The Fog of War-WINNER
2007- Encounters at the End of the World
2010- Inside Job-WINNER
2011- Pina
2012- The Gatekeepers
2013- The Missing Picture, The Act of Killing
2014- Salt of the Earth
2015- The Look of Silence, Winter on Fire
2016- Fires at Sea
2017- Faces Places
2018- Free Solo-WINNER
Overall 20 nominations and five wins.
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
2002- Spirited Away-WINNER
2003- The Triplets of Belleville
2007- Persepolis
2010- Chico and Rita, The Illusionist
2013- The Wind Rises
2015- Anomalisa
2017- Loving Vincent
Overall eight nominations and one win.
That's Thursday.
EMAIL: mpgort@gmail.com OR michael_speech@hotmail.com
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