Good Wednesday morning to everyone.
I'm continuing my daily posting as a run up to Sunday's Oscar broadcast. Today I have four categories that all appear to be over save for the Envelope opening and announcement on Sunday night. As always using data from the published predictions of the following:
Sasha Stone/Awards Daily
Scott Feinberg/The Feinberg Forecast-The Hollywood Reporter
Kristopher Tapley/InContention-HitFix
Anne Thompson/Thompson on Hollywood-IndieWire
Peter Knegt/IndieWire
Brad Brevet/Rope of Silicon
Clayton Davis/Awards Circuit
Alex Carlson/Film Misery
Telluride #39 films are indicated in Bold.
+CINEMATOGRAPHY
1) Life of Pi (1)
2) Skyfall (2)
3) Anna Karenina (4)
4) Lincoln (3)
5) Django Unchained (5)
Comment: Looks like it's "Pi's" although Roger Deakins is still a formidable presence in this category for "Skyfall" since he's never won Oscar and he just won the ACS award...Actually, I wouldn't be surprised if this category didn't tighten up among the prognosticators by Sunday morning and their final predictions.
+FILM EDITING
1) Argo (1)
2) Zero Dark Thirty (2)
3) Lincoln (3)
4) Life of Pi (4)
5) Silver Linings Playbook (5)
Comment: "Argo" is the solid favorite here especially after the A.C.E. win Saturday night. "Silver Linings" won the Eddie for Comedy editing, but that's not expected to have provided much of a boost. This category was once thought to be fairly competitive between "Argo" and "ZDT"...now...not so much.
+ORIGINAL SCORE
1) Life of Pi (1)
2) Lincoln (2)
3) Argo (4)
4) Anna Karenina (3)
5) Skyfall (5)
Comment: "Pi" again looks unbeatable here but it's always tough to bet against John Williams and "Argo" has been making some headway.
+ORIGINAL SONG
1) Skyfall from Skyfall (1)
2) Pi's Lullaby from Life of Pi (5)
3) Suddenly from Les Miserables (3)
4) Everybody Needs a Friend from Ted (4)
5) Before My Time from Chasing Ice (5)
Comment: "Skyfall" has a dominant lead in this category. "Pi's Lullaby" has zoomed into the distant second place.
OSCAR MATTERS
It' begun...the real Oscar brains are starting to make their final predictions beginning with one of the smartest guys I know in this game, The Hollywood Reporters Scott Feinberg. Here's what he says is his final Feinberg Forecast before the 85th Academy Awards (Todd McCarthy also throws in his 2 cents):
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/oscars-who-will-win-who-422200
ARGO INTERVIEWS
Words from Director/Producer Ben Affleck and Oscar nominated Alan Arkin about the Oscar Best Picture frontrunner and the TFF #39 Sneak Preview.
Affleck is recently highlighted by Variety. That interview is here:
http://www.variety.com/article/VR1118066208/
Meanwhile, Arkin did a Q & A with Awards Line and that is here:
http://awardsline.com/2013/02/13/qa-alan-arkin-on-argo/
More on Thursday...
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Obsessing about the Telluride Film Festival and the film awards season since 2008! "The best Telluride predictor I know." -Sasha Stone, Awards Daily "The best blog out there for predicting what will be going to Telluride."-Matt Neglia, Next Best Picture "The Nostradamus of Telluride" -Tim Appelo, Movies for Grownups
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