Monday, January 13, 2014

Golden Globes 2014/The FAC Vol. 5B (abridged)/IndieWire's 2014 List and Telluride

Good Monday Campers!


The Hollywood Foreign Press Association handed out their Golden Globes last night.  There are 14 film categories.

Telluride #40 films won 3 Globes:

"12 Years a Slave" for Best Drama", Alfonso Cuaron for Best Direction for "Gravity" and Alex Ebert for Best Score for "All is Lost".

The biggest winner of the night was David O. Russell's "American Hustle" which won three Globes: Best Comedy/Musical, Best Actress (Comedy/Musical)-Amy Adams and Best Supporting Actress-Jennifer Lawrence.

"Dallas Buyers Club" was named twice in acting categories.  Matthew McConnaughey won for Best Actor (Drama) and Jared Leto won for Best Supporting Actor.

Other awards went to:

Cate Blanchett/Blue Jasmine-Best Actress (Drama)
Leonardo DiCaprio/The Wolf of Wall Street-Best Actor (Comedy/Musical)
Spike Jonze/Her-Best Screenplay
"Ordinary Love"/Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom- Best Song
"The Great Beauty" Best Foreign Language Film
"Frozen" Best Animated Film

Although they had multiple nominations neither "Nebraska" (5 noms) nor "Inside Llewyn Davis (3 noms) could break into the winners circle.

Also, oddly, the Foreign Language category only had one nominee that was unrelated to Telluride and it won: "The Great Beauty".


I had claimed last week that today's post would include updates of where Oscar predictors are in terms of six categories: Makeup/Hair, Costumes, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing and the three categories devoted to short form film making.

And that's not going to happen.

First, the Makeup/Hair list won't change until Thursday morning's nomination announcement as the Academy had already named the nine films that are short listed from which the nominees must be chosen.

Additionally, I had thought/hoped that there would be more predictions for the Short Form categories (Live Action, Documentary and Animation) from the nine Oscar experts that I peruse, but alas, only two of them have weighed in on those categories so far.  I am hoping that they will all make some predictions for these categories before Wednesday and I will try to include that collation before nominations are announced on Thursday morning.

That being said, here's the update for Costumes, Sound Mixing and Sound Editing.

I use the publicly posted predictions of these Oscar experts:

Sasha Stone/Awards Daily
Kris Tapley/HitFix-InContention
Anne Thompson/Thompson on Hollywood
Peter Knegt/IndieWire
Alex Carlson/Film Misery
Nathaniel Rogers/Film Experience
Scott Feinberg/The Hollywood Reporter
Clayton Davis/Awards Circuit
Brad Brevet/Rope of Silicon

The films position on the last FAC is in parenthesis.  Telluride #40 films are Bold.


1) 12 Years a Slave (1)
2) The Great Gatsby (3)
3) American Hustle (2)
4) Saving Mr. Banks (4)
5) The Invisible Woman (7)
6) Inside Llewyn Davis (5)
7) Lee Daniels' The Butler (6)
8) Oz The Great and Terrible (9)
9) Hunger Games: Catching Fire (10)
10) The Hobbit: Smaug (8)

Comment:   No film dropped away but "Invisible Woman" made a significant move into the fifth slot.  "Llewyn's" prospects may have dimmed slightly due to the perception that the film is in some Oscar trouble overall.  The 1-4 spots seem solid but #5 looks like it'll be close.


1) Gravity (1)
2) Captain Phillips (2)
3) Rush (3)
4) All is Lost (4)
5) The Lone Ranger (5)
6) Iron Man 3 (6)
7) Pacific Rim (7)
8) Man of Steel (8)
9) World War Z (New)
10) Star Trek Into Darkness (9)

Dropping Out: Oblivion.

Comment:  A remarkably stable category with the 1-8 spots unmoving.  At this point, "Gravity" is the only sure nomination with "Captain Phillips" a near lock.


1) Gravity (1)
2) Rush (2)
3) Inside Llewyn Davis (5)
4) All is Lost (4)
5) Captain Phillips (3)
6) 12 Years a Slave (6)
7) The Lone Ranger (7)
8) The Hobbit: Smaug (9)
9) Frozen (New)
10) Man of Steel (8)

Dropping Out: Pacific Rim

Comment:  The one place on the charts where "Llewyn" actually picked up ground.  "Gravity", again, is a lock.  Spots 2-4 are probable.

And a reminder of the seven film short list for Best Makeup/Hair:

American Hustle
Bad Grandpa
The Lone Ranger
The Great Gatsby
Dallas Buyers Club
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters

Among these categories TFF #40 films (assuming The FAC was 100% correct) would account for 7 nominations and another 2 possibilities.


IndieWire was up this week with their list of independent films that they have the greatest desire to see in 2014 and, of course, I have parsed it for the most likely TFF #41 titles.  The post is entitled : "50 Indie Films IndieWire Wants to See in 2014"

IndieWire listed the films alphabetically, so I will too.  Among the 50 listed, here are the films they mention that, in my view and at this time, have the greatest likelihood of playing TFF #41:

"Birdman"- Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu's comedy starring Michael Keaton.  Fox Searchlight is producing and distributing.

"Carol"- Todd Haynes directs Cate Blanchett as an older woman who falls for a younger woman played by Rooney Mara.  The Weinstein Company is distributing and Film4 is among the producing partners.

"Every Thing Will Be Fine"- Wim Wenders directs James Franco who is haunted by a death he accidentally causes.

"Far From the Madding Crowd"-Thomas Vinterberg directs Carey Mulligan and Matthias Schoenaerts in the adaptation of the Thomas Hardy classic. Fox Searchlight is listed as a producing company by IMDb.  They'll probably distribute in the U.S. as well.

"Foxcatcher"-Bennett Miller directs Steve Carell, Channing Tatum and Mark Ruffalo in this true story of Olympic wrestling hopes that go disasterously wrong.  I had this on the 2013 Telluride watch list for much of last year until it was pulled from the potential fall schedule.  It's back on this year as the speculation is that it is  now a likely awards player this year.  Sony Pictures Classics is distributing.

"Maps to the Stars"  David Cronenberg directing Robert Pattinson (again).  I'm back and forth on its Telluride chances.  It sounds intriguing but so did "Cosmopolis" and "A Dangerous Method" neither of which set the world on fire.  I expect it will play Cannes and the reaction there might well determine its Telluride potential.

"Mr. Turner"-Mike Leigh's project about English artist J.M.W. Turner.  Sony Pictures Classics is distributing and many of the producing companies have Telluride history.  This might be the surest TFF #41 bet of all the possible films on this list.

"Suite Francaise"-Saul Dibb directs this story of WWII french occupation and an unlikely love story.  Michelle Williams and the red hot Margot Robbie (Wolf of Wall Street) star.  The Weinstein's are distributing.

"While We're Young"-one of two Naoh Baumbach projects that might pop up at Telluride (the other didn't make the IndieWire list, but it's just as likely to be at TFF #41 as this).  The film stars Ben Stiller, Amanda Seyfried and Naomi Watts.

The complete IndieWire list can be found here:

More tomorrow.

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