TAPLEY TAPS IN
Kristopher Tapley of Variety/In Contention has been a big presence in this space over the past several years as one of the best and best known Oscar prognosticators in the business. Since I began the practice of following Telluride films through the awards season, Tapley's take on the Oscar scene is one that I have referenced religiously for many years. But this year, Tapley has been quiet.
Variety has him running their podcast interviews and that seems to have become his central responsibility there. At any rate and forever reasons, Tapley hasn't had any set of published predictions yet this season...until this week.
Tapley's InContention went up on Tuesday with a full set of predictions in all 24 Oscar categories.
In terms of films from TFF #44...here's what Mr. T predicts:
The Shape of Water gets 12 nominations: Best Picture, Direction, Actress, Supporting Actor (Richard Jenkins-yeah!), Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Costumes, Film Editing, Score, Production Design, Sound Editing and Sound Mixing.
Darkest Hour gets 5: Actor, Cinematography, Makeup. Score and Production Design
Lady Bird gets 4: Best Picture, Actress, Supporting Actress and Original Screenplay
And one nomination each for:
Downsizing: Supporting Actress
Loving Vincent: Animated Feature
The Insult: Foreign Language Film
A Fantastic Woman: Foreign Language Film
Loveless: Foreign Language Film
Faces/Places: Documentary Feature
Heroin(e): Documentary Short
A total of 28 nominations for TFF #44 films if Kris is 100% accurate which is right at the Telluride Oscar average over the past several years.
Other films Tapley names for Best Picture and their predicted total nominations are: Dunkirk-7, Call Me By Your Name-5, The Florida Project-3, Get Out-3, The Post-6 and Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri-6.
Tapley's complete set of predictions is here.
VARIETY'S ANTICIPATION
Also this week, Variety's critics gazed into their collective crystal ball and published a list of 20 films they are most excited to see in 2018. Their list gives us a chance to ponder possible TFF #45 titles.
So, here are the films from Variety's 2018 most anticipated that feel like they have some T-ride potential:
Boy Erased-directed by Joel Edgerton
Burning -director Lee Chang-dong's last film was Poetry in 2010 which played Telluride
Everybody Knows- could be the film that gets Asghar Farhadi back to TFF
First Man- director Damien Chazelle's follow up to La La Land
The Man Who Killed Don Quixote- does Terry Gilliam return to TFF?
Roma-Alfonso Cuaron has been working on this since Gravity
The Sisters Brothers-Another possible return to TFF from Jacques Audiard
Sunset-director Laszlo Nemes first feature since his stunning Son of Saul
The complete listing of 20 films with commentary from Variety is linked here.
U.S. TRAILER FOR FOXTROT
Sony Pictures Classics Foreign Language Film Oscar contender Foxtrot from director and writer Samuel Maoz has its U.S. trailer which was released this week.
You can access it here from FirstShowing.net.
JENKINS ON THE SHAPE OF WATER
And finally today a link to a new interview from Deadline's Pete Hammond with Best Supporting Actor contender Richard Jenkins from Guillermo Del Toro's The Shape of Water. As many of you know, Jenkins has been a favorite of mine for Oscar consideration for this role since seeing the film.
That interview is here.
That's your last MTFB for 2017 friends. I'll have 2018's first post (of some sort) up on Monday, Jan. 1, 2018. Happy New Year and thanks for spending some of your 2017 reading these ramblings...
EMAIL: mpgort@gmail.com OR michael_speech@hotmail.com
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