GOLDEN GLOBE PREDICTIONS
Here's a special post to Michael's Telluride Film Blog and the associated Film Awards Clearinghouse: a round-up of Golden Globe nomination predictions for tomorrow morning.
The HFPA is set to announce their nominees for 2017's awards at 8:30am EST/5:30am PST- Monday morning.
I'll be posting a bit later tomorrow morning with the complete rundown of the actual nominees with particular attention, as you might expect, to the films that played as a part of TFF #44 (or #43 in a couple of possible cases).
I am passing along the picks from some of the best in the business. All four of them think the TFF #44 films collectively will land nearly 20 nominations but there are some disagreements about how those 30 nominations will be spread. Here they are:
SASHA STONE/AWARDS DAILY:
The Shape of Water (6): Best Picture-Drama, Actress-Drama (Hawkins), Supporting Actress (Spencer), Director, Screenplay, Score.
Lady Bird (5): Best Picture-Musical/Comedy, Actress-Musical/Comedy (Ronan), Supporting Actress (Metcalf), Director, Screenplay.
Darkest Hour (3): Best Picture-Drama, Actor-Drama (Oldman), Supporting Actor (Mendelsohn)
Downsizing (3): Best Picture-Musical/Comedy, Actor-Musical Comedy (Damon), Supporting Actress Chau).
Battle of the Sexes (2): Actress-Musical/Comedy (Stone), Actor-Musical/Comedy (Carell).
Loving Vincent: Animated Feature.
TOTAL NOMINATIONS FROM TFF #44-20
Stone does not include picks for Foreign Language Film or Song.
Her complete picks are here at Awards Daily.
KRISTOPHER TAPLEY/VARIETY-IN CONTENTION
The Shape of Water (7): Best Picture-Drama, Actress/Drama (Hawkins), Supporting Actress (Spencer), Supporting Actor (Jenkins), Director, Screenplay, Score.
Lady Bird (4): Best Picture-Musical/Comedy, Actress-Musical/Comedy (Ronan), Supporting Actress (Metcalf), Screenplay.
Hostiles (1): Actor/Drama (Bale)
Darkest Hour (1): Actor/Drama (Oldman)
Battle of the Sexes (1): Actress-Musical/Comedy (Stone)
Downsizing (1): Supporting Actress (Chau)
Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool (1): Song
Foreign Language Films (4): First They Killed My Father, A Fantastic Woman, The Insult, Loveless
TOTAL NOMINATIONS FROM TFF #44- 20
His complete picks are here from Variety.
ANNE THOMPSON/INDIEWIRE
The Shape of Water (6): Best Picture-Drama, Actress-Drama (Hawkins), Supporting Actress (Spencer), Director, Screenplay, Score.
Lady Bird (5): Best Picture-Musical/Comedy, Actress (Ronan), Supporting Actress (Metcalf), Director, Screenplay.
Darkest Hour (2): Actor-Drama (Oldman), Supporting Actor (Mendelsohn).
Battle of the Sexes (2): Actress-Musical/Comedy (Stone), Actor-Musical/Comedy (Carell)
Loving Vincent (1): Animated Feature
Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool (1): Song
Foreign Language Films (3): First They Killed My Father, A Fantastic Woman, Foxtrot
TOTAL NOMINATIONS FROM TFF #44- 20
Her complete predictions from Indiewire.
STEVE POND/THE WRAP
The Shape of Water (6): Best Picture-Drama, Actress-Drama (Hawkins), Supporting Actress (Spencer), Supporting Actor (Jenkins), Director, Score.
Darkest Hour (1): Actor-Drama (Oldman)
Lady Bird (5): Best Picture-Musical/Comedy, Actress-Musical Comedy (Ronan), Supporting Actress (Metcalf), Director, Screenplay.
Battle of the Sexes (2): Actress-Musical/Comedy (Stone), Actor-Musical/Comedy (Carell).
Loving Vincent (1): Animated Feature.
Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool (1): Song.
Foreign Language Films (3): First They Killed My Father, Foxtrot, A Fantastic Woman.
His complete predictions are here from The Wrap.
Things I am hoping for in the morning (some more realistic than others);
Harry Dean Stanton gets nominated for the non-Telluride film Lucky.
Richard Jenkins is nominated for Supporting Actor for The Shape of Water.
Greta Gerwig is nominated for Best Director for Lady Bird.
Tracy Letts is nominated for Supporting Actor for Lady Bird.
All five Foreign Language nominees are from TFF #44: First They Killed My Father, A Fantastic Woman, Foxtrot, The Insult and Loveless.
CHECK BACK TOMORROW MORNING FOR HOW IT ALL ACTUALLY GOES DOWN.
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