Here are the compilations of charts for the 10 technical categories using data from In Contention, Awards Circuit, Film Experience and The Oscar Guy. Also included are Guild nominations where appropriate...as always Telluride films in CAPS AND BOLD:
Art Direction: BUTTON, Dark Knight, Australia, Changeling, The Reader
Lurkers (with a prayer): Revolutionary Road, Indiana Jones 3, Doubt
Guild Notes: Art Director's Guild Noms:
Period Art Direction: Changeling, THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON, Doubt, Frost/Nixon, Milk
Fantasy Art Direction: The Dark Knight, Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull, Iron Man, The Spiderwick Chronicles, Wall-E.
Comment: Button, Dark Knight and Changeling seem sure bets. Doubt is probable. Give the last spot to Milk.
Winner: Button
Cinematography: SLUMDOG, The Dark Knight, BENJAMIN BUTTON, Revolutionary Road, Australia.
Lurkers: The Reader, Milk, Defiance
Guild Notes: American Society of Cinematographers:
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, The Dark Knight, The Reader, Revolutionary Road, Slumdog Millionaire.
Comment: Follow the Guild and replace Australia with The Reader for your nominations.
Winner: Slumdog
Costumes: BUTTON, The Duchess, Revolutionary Road, Changeling, and Australia.
Lurkers: The Other Boleyn Girl and Brideshead Revisited
Guild Notes: Costume Designers Guild:
Period Costume Design: Changeling, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, The Duchess, Milk, Revolutionary Road
Fantasy Costume Design: The Dark Knight, The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian, The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor
Contemporary Costume Design: Iron Man, Mamma Mia!, Sex and the City, Slumdog Millionaire, The Wrestler
Comment: Button, Duchess, Rev Road, and Changeling are pretty good bets...The 5th spot...let's say: Milk
Winner: The Duchess
Film Editing: SLUMDOG, BUTTON, The Dark Knight, Frost/Nixon, Milk
Lurkers: Iron Man, The Reader
Guild Notes: American Cinema Editors Society:
Drama Film Editing: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, The Dark Knight, Frost/Nixon, Milk, Slumdog Millionaire
Comedy/Musical Film Editing: In Bruges, Mamma Mia, Tropic Thunder, Vicky Cristina Barcelona, Wall-E
Comment: The chart should lead you to the five nominees.
Winner: Slumdog
Score: BUTTON, SLUMDOG, Wall-E, Milk, Revolutionary Road.
Lurkers: Defiance, Indiana Jones 3, Frost/Nixon, The Reader, The Dark Knight.
Comment: I think Dark Knight replaces Rev Road for the nominees.
Winner: Button
Song: The Wrestler, Wall-E, SLUMDOG, Bolt, Cadillac Records
Lurking: Gran Torino, Hamlet 2, Quantum of Solace
Comment: I think the compiled charts get the first four right and that the 5th spot is a real tussle between Cadillac and Gran Torino...I lean toward Gran Torino for the fifth nomination.
Winner: The Wrestler/Springsteen
Sound Editing: Wall-E, Iron Man, Dark Knight, BUTTON, Quantum of Solace
Lurking: Indiana Jones 3, Defiance, SLUMDOG, Valkyrie
Comment: I will default to the chart...but this note: If Slumdog is really steaming along, I wouldn't be all that surprised at another nomination in this category.
Winner: Iron Man
Sound Mixing: Iron Man, Wall-E, Dark Knight, BUTTON, SLUMDOG.
Lurking: Quantum of Solace, Defiance
Guild Nominations: Cinema Audio Society:
Sound: The Dark Knight, Iron Man, Quantum of Solace, Slumdog Millionaire, Wall-E
Comment: Go with the Guild here...
Winner: Iron Man
Make-Up: BUTTON, The Reader, Synecdoche, NY
Lurking: Dark Knight, Hellboy II, Tropic Thunder, The Wrestler
Winner: Button
Visual Effects: BUTTON, Iron Man, Dark Knight
Lurking: Hellboy II, Journey to the Center of the Earth, Australia
Winner: Button
The combined charts say the nomination totals are as follows:
Benjamin Button 13
The Dark Knight 10
Slumdog and Milk 8
Frost/Nixon and Wall-E 5
Doubt 4
The Wrestler, Rev Road, The Reader, Changeling, Australia, and Iron Man 3
Total Telluride nominations excluding Doc, Short Doc and Foreign (which could be 3 more): 24
And finally: If you've read the previous posts you know that I'm guessing that Button loses at least one or two of it's charted nominations and Slumdog picks up one or two...so my prediction is 12 for Button and 9 for Slumdog...Also, I expect Waltz with Bashir to be a certain Foreign nominee and likely Everlasting Moments as well. Revanche is probably unlikely.
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