Thursday, September 29, 2016

The FAC Looks at Supporting Acting and Screenplays / Fire at Sea Has a U.S. Trailer / New Film for Inarritu and Lubezkl

This is your last Thursday in September 2016...hope it's a good one!


The Film Awards Clearinghouse is back this Thursday with a look at the Best Supporting Actress and Actor categories for Oscar glory as well as the Original and Adapted Screenplay categories.  As always, The FAC uses the publicly available Oscar predictions from the following experts:

Erik Anderson/Awards Watch
Clayton Davis/Awards Circuit
Scott Feinberg/The Hollywood Reporter
Joey Magidson/Hollywood News
Nathaniel Rogers/Film Experience
Sasha Stone/Awards Daily
Kristopher Tapley/Variety-InContention
Anne Thompson/Indiewire

After crunching the most recent data available, The FAC says that these are your front runners...

TFF #43 films are in Bold.


1) Naomie Harris/Moonlight
2) Michelle Williams/Manchester by the Sea
3) Nicole Kidman/Lion
4) Kristen Stewart/Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk
5) Olivia Spencer/Hidden Figures

6) Greta Gerwig/20th Century Women
7) Lupita N'yong'o/The Queen of Katwe
8) Felicity Jones/A Monster Calls
9) Margo Martindale/The Hollars
10) Helen Mirren/Eye in the Sky


1) Liam Neeson/Silence
2) Hugh Grant/Florence Foster Jenkins
3) Mahershala Ali/Moonlight
4) Lucas Hedges/Manchester by the Sea
5) Michael Shannon/Nocturnal Animals

6) Jeff Bridges/Hell or High Water
7) Stephen Henderson/Fences
8) Aaron Eckhardt/Bleed for This
9) Peter Sarsgaard/Jackie
10) Steve Martin/Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk


1) Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk
2) Fences
3) Silence
4) Lion
5) Arrival

6) Hidden Figures
7) Nocturnal Animals
8) Love and Friendship
9) Sully
10) Live by Night


1) Manchester by the Sea
2) La La Land
3) Moonlight
4) Loving
5) Jackie

6) 20th Century Women
7) Hell or High Water
8) The Lobster
9) Florence Foster Jenkins
10) Captain Fantastic

Telluride analysis:

These categories, if the FAC were 100% accurate, would result in:

3 additional nominations for Moonlight
3 additional nominations for Manchester by the Sea
1 additional nomination for La La Land
1 additional nomination for Arrival

with Sully and Bleed for This adding an additional possible nomination.

The major eight categories when added to last week's First FAC for Best Picture, Director, Actress and Actor give us the following totals:

6 nominations for Manchester by the Sea (Picture, Actor, Director, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actor and Original Screenplay)

5 nominations for La La Land (Picture, Director, Actress, Actor and Original Screenplay)

5 nominations for Moonlight (Picture, Director, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actor and Original Screenplay)

1 nomination for Arrival (Adapted Screenplay) with a chance at 3 more

No nominations for Sully but it's in the convo for a possible 3 nominations

1 possible nomination for Bleed for This

Overall, that's 17 nominations for TFF #43 films with another 7 possibilities and, of course, The FAC won't begin to look at other categories for some time yet but expect some additional nominations for TFF #43 films their as well.  As a matter of fact, if you made me, I'd guess that La La Land is going to end up in double digit nominations and will probably be the nomination leader when those are announced on Jan. 24th.


Fire at Sea (Fuocoammare) Gianfranco Rosi's Golden Bear/Berlin award winning documentary about the European refugee crisis and which played at TFF #43 a few weeks ago has a new U.S. trailer. The film is set for U.S. release on Oct. 21 in a limited fashion and then will expand from that point.  Fire at Sea is being distributed by Kino Lorber.  Here's the trailer from YouTube:

And, for good measure, here's coverage of the new trailer release from Alex Billington's as well as The Film Stage


Alejandro Inarritu has had a strong relationship with cinematographer Ernest Lubezki (Birdman, The Revenant) as well as a real love affair with Telluride (Babel, Biutiful, Birdman) so when a new project is announced involving Inarritu and Lubezki, Telluride fans should take notice.

Which is to say, that the two visionaries have just announced plans to work on a virtual reality short film that would be centered on the crossing of immigrants from Mexico into the United States.

The project doesn't yet have a title but that's of little import.  Of greater interest is the question of whether Inarritu returns to T-ride after having missed the fest last year when The Revenant was not ready for a Labor Day rollout.

Check the original story from Indiewire here.

That'll do for this Thursday.  More coming on Monday, have a great weekend.


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