FILM AWARDS CLEARINGHOUSE OSCAR UPDATE: LEAD ACTING
Oscar season continues and so does my meager attempt to predict the eventual nominees. Today's focus is on the lead acting races which were first predicted here on Oct. 12th.
As always, predicted nominees connected with TFF #44 are in Bold.
Let's get to it...
BEST ACTRESS
Here is what the last FAC set of predictions had for the Best Actress race:
1) Frances McDormand/Three Billboards
2) Sally Hawkins/The Shape of Water
3) Meryl Streep/The Post
4) Margo Robbie/I, Tonya
5) Jessica Chastain/Molly's Game
Others: Kate Winslet/Wonder Wheel, Emma Stone/Battle of the Sexes, Saoirse Ronan/Lady Bird
And the updated predictions:
1) Frances McDormand/Three Billboards
2) Sally Hawkins/The Shape of Water
3) Margot Robbie/I, Tonya
4) Meryl Streep/The Post
5) Saoirse Ronan/Lady Bird
Others: Emma Stone/Battle of the Sexes, Jessica Chastain/Molly's Game, Kate Winslet/Wonder Wheel
BEST ACTOR
From Oct. 12th:
1) Gary Oldman/Darkest Hour
2) Jake Gyllenhaal/Stronger
3) Daniel Day Lewis/Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Film
4) Timothee Chalamet/Call Me By Your Name
5) Hugh Jackman/The Greatest Showman
Others: Andrew Garfield/Breathe, Denzel Washington/Roman Israel Esq., Tom Hanks/The Post
And today's updated predictions:
1) Gary Oldman/Darkest Hour
2) Jake Gyllenhaal/Stronger
3) Timothee Chalamet/Call Me By Your Name
4) Daniel Day Lewis/Phantom Thread
5) Denzel Washington/Roman Israel, Esq.
Others: Steve Carell/Last Flag Flying, Andrew Garfield/Breathe, Tom Hanks/The Post
OSCAR UPDATES FROM THE EXPERTS
Both Scott Feinberg of The Hollywood Reporter and Jason Osiason of Fantastic Film Fans (and also one of The Gold Rush Gang over at Awards Watch) have updated their Oscar predictions as of Nov. 1.
The latest Feinberg Forecast can be found here.
Osaison's latest take is linked here.
Feinberg predicts 15 categories and has the following nominations predicted for films that played at Telluride in 2017:
The Shape of Water: Best Picture, Direction, Actress, Original Screenplay, Production Design, Cinematography and Score.
Lady Bird: Best Picture, Actress, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay
Darkest Hour: Best Picture, Direction, Actor, Cinematography and Score
Wonderstruck: Supporting Actress, Production Design, Cinematography, Score
Loving Vincent: Animated Feature
Foxtrot: Foreign Language Film
Loveless; Foreign Language Film
Downsizing: Production Design
An Inconvenient Sequel: Best Song
Osiason predicts the major eight categories including these for TFF #44 films:
The Shape of Water: Best Picture, Direction, Actress, Original Screenplay
Lady Bird; Best Picture, Actress, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay
Darkest Hour: Best Picture, Actor
OSCAR UPDATES FROM THE EXPERTS
Both Scott Feinberg of The Hollywood Reporter and Jason Osiason of Fantastic Film Fans (and also one of The Gold Rush Gang over at Awards Watch) have updated their Oscar predictions as of Nov. 1.
The latest Feinberg Forecast can be found here.
Osaison's latest take is linked here.
Feinberg predicts 15 categories and has the following nominations predicted for films that played at Telluride in 2017:
The Shape of Water: Best Picture, Direction, Actress, Original Screenplay, Production Design, Cinematography and Score.
Lady Bird: Best Picture, Actress, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay
Darkest Hour: Best Picture, Direction, Actor, Cinematography and Score
Wonderstruck: Supporting Actress, Production Design, Cinematography, Score
Loving Vincent: Animated Feature
Foxtrot: Foreign Language Film
Loveless; Foreign Language Film
Downsizing: Production Design
An Inconvenient Sequel: Best Song
Osiason predicts the major eight categories including these for TFF #44 films:
The Shape of Water: Best Picture, Direction, Actress, Original Screenplay
Lady Bird; Best Picture, Actress, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay
Darkest Hour: Best Picture, Actor
MORE INTERVIEWS WITH TFF #44 GUESTS
Greta Gerwig's Lady Bird opens tomorrow. The film, which was quite the hit at T-ride, has continued to gain fans through the rest of the fall film festival season. Writer-director Gerwig was recently interviewed by Harry Haun for Film Journal which posted it this week.
Here's the link to that from Film Journal.
Meanwhile, Joe Wright's Darkest Hour, the detailed account of the events that led to the rescue at Dunkirk, opens Thanksgiving weekend. Gary Oldman plays Winston Churchill and is widely regarded as the prohibitive favorite to pick the Best Actor Oscar next March.
Oldman is featured by Interviewmagazine.com in a piece authored by Jack White.
You can read that here.
CORRECTION
In my previous post on Oct. 30th I wrote that Ai Weiwei's refugee documentary, Human Flow, was still without distribution. An eagle-eyed reader, who shall remain anonymous, pointed out that Human Flow was picked up for distribution by Amazon back in June according to The Hollywood Reporter.
I regret the error. The original story has been corrected to reflect this.
That's your MTFB for this Thursday. As always, there will be more on Monday.
EMAIL: mpgort@gmail.com OR michael_speech@hotmail.com
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