MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: MAKEUP/HAIR, COSTUMES AND MORE
We're in the stretch run now. Oscar Night is down to less than week from today. In today's post I update these categories: Makeup/Hair, Costumes, Sound and Visual Effects. I last posted predictions for these categories on Feb. 10th. TFF #51 films are in Bold. Their previous predicted position is indicated to the right in parentheses.
BEST MAKEUP/HAIR
1) The Substance (1)
2) Wicked (2)
3) Emilia Perez (3)
4) Nosferatu (5)
5) A Different Man (4)
BEST SOUND DESIGN
1) Dune Part Two (3)
2) Wicked (2)
3) A Complete Unknown (1)
4) Emilia Perez (4)
5) The Wild Robot (5)
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
1) Wicked (1)
2) Nosferatu (3)
3) Conclave (2)
4) A Complete Unknown (4)
5) Gladiator II (5)
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
1) Dune Part Two (1)
2) Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (2)
3) Wicked (3)
4) Better Man (4)
5) Alien: Romulus (5)
Comment: I have no TFF #51 films to win in any of these four categories. The real battle among these four is Sound Design which appears to be a down to the wire race between Dune 2 and Wicked. I also wouldn't be shocked if A Complete unknown sneaks on Oscar night.
Based on my latest predictions in the feature categories, here's what MTFB predicts will happen on Sunday night:
Five TFF #51 win nine Oscars
Anora: Best Picture, Direction and Original Screenplay.
Conclave: Adapted Screenplay and Editing.
Emilia Perez: Supporting Actress and Song.
A Real Pain: Supporting Actor.
No Other Land: Documentary.
The rest:
The Brutalist: Actor, Cinematography and Score.
The Substance: Actress, Makeup/Hair.
Wicked: Production Design and Costumes.
Dune Part Two: Sound and Visual Effects.
I'm Still Here: International Feature.
Animated: The Wild Robot.
MTFB is saying it'll be a "spread the wealth" night with no film winning more than three Oscars. BUT...FINAL MTFB predictions are coming on Thursday.
SAG AWARDS AND TFF #51
It was a good night at the SAG Awards for TFF #51 films. Telluride films won three of the six film categories. Zoe Saldana won Supporting Actress for Emilia Perez while Kieran Culkin won Supporting Actor for A Real Pain and Conclave win the big prize being named Best Cast.
Other awards were won by Demi Moore (Best Actress/The Substance ) and Timothee Chalamet (Best Actor/A Complete Unknown). The Fall Guy won for Best Stunt Cast.
Moore and Chalamet's wins could portend Oscar wins next week and the Conclave win suggests that Anora's anointing is not a foregone conclusion. The SAG Best Cast award has about a 50% record of going on to win the Oscar for Best Picture.
FILM INDEPENDENT SPIRIT AWARDS AND TFF #51
The Spirit Awards were announced on Saturday and five TFF films were winners of seven of the categories with Anora having a big night winning three awards. Here are the TFF #51 results:
Anora: Best Feature, Direction and Lead Performance (Madison).
A Real Pain: Best Supporting Performance (Culkin) and Screenplay.
Nickel Boys: Best Cinematography.
No Other Land: Best Documentary.
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