Oscar History and TFF: Best Actress / Oscar Predictions: Best Director Update / International Feature Long List

OSCAR HISTORY AND TFF: BEST ACTRESS

Jane Alexander in Testament...the first Best Actress nominee from a TFF film

I'm turning now to a breakdown of the history between TFF and The Academy Awards as related to each of the feature categories.  Today I bring you the Best Actress nominees from films that have screened at the festival since its inception in 1974:

1983- Jane Alexander/Testament
1991- Laura Dern/Rambling Rose
1993- Holly Hunter/The Piano
1996- Brenda Blethyn/Secrets and Lies, Emily Watson/Breaking the Waves
1998-Fernanda Montenegro/Central Station
2002- Salma Hayek/Frida
2004- Annette Bening/Being Julia
2005- Reese Witherspoon/Walk the Line-WINNER
2006- Kate Winslet/Little Children, Penelope Cruz/Volver
2007- Ellen Page/Juno
2009- Carey Mulligan/An Education, Helen Mirren/The Last Station
2010- Natalie Portman/Black Swan-WINNER
2011- Glenn Close/Albert Nobbs
2012- Emanuelle Riva/Amour
2013- Sandra Bullock/Gravity
2014- Reese Witherspoon-Wild, Marion Cotillard/Two Days One Night
2015- Brie Larson/Room-WINNER, Cate Blanchett/Carol, Charlotte Rampling/45 Years
2016- Emma Stone/La La Land-WINNER
2017- Sally Hawkins/The Shape of Water, Saorise Ronan/Lady Bird
2018- Olivia Colman/The Favourite-WINNER, Melissa McCarthy/Can You Ever Forgive Me?, Yalitza Aparicio/Roma

Overall 29 nominations for Best Actress with five winners including three of the last four.

OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST DIRECTOR UPDATED

Here are my current predictions for the Best Direction Oscar with the past prediction listed in the parentheses.  TFF #46 films are in Bold.

Bong Joon-Ho/Parasite

1) Quentin Tarantino/Once Upon a Time in...Hollywood (1)

2) Martin Scorsese/The Irishman (5)

3) Bong Joon-Ho/Parasite (2)

4) Noah Baumbach/Marriage Story (3)

5) Taika Waititi/JoJo Rabbit (-)

6) Lulu Wang/The Farewell (-)

Other Possibles: Sam Mendes/1917, Marielle Heller/A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, Fernando Meirelles/The Two Popes, James Mangold/Ford v. Ferrari

INTERNATIONAL FEATURE LONG LIST

93 films have been submitted for the newly named Best International Film category (formerly Best Foreign Language Films.  Of the 93, I have only identified three that played at TFF #46:

Parasite/South Korea

Pain and Glory/Spain

Beanpole/Russia

Other serious contenders that were chosen are thought to be:

Monos/Colombia

Les Miserables/France

Verdict/Philippines

The Whistlers/Romania

Atlantics/Senegal

The complete list of all 93 films is linked here from Variety.

That's your Thursday.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com OR michael_speech@hotmail.com

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Added on Aug. 30, 2022 at 2:18 pm CDT:  Spielberg's Fabelmans to play Telluride in 2022.

Oscar History and TFF Part 10: Directors / Oscar Predictions: Best Picture Updated / Old Hollywood to Be Featured in New Films

OSCAR HISTORY AND TFF PART 10:  DIRECTORS

I'm turning now to a breakdown of the history between TFF and The Academy Awards as related to each of the feature categories.  Today I bring you the Best Director nominees from films that have screened at the festival since its inception in 1974:

1986- David Lynch/Blue Velvet
1989- Jim Sheridan/My Left Foot
1990- Barbet Schroeder/Reversal of Fortune
1992- Neil Jordan/The Crying Game
1993- Krzysztof Kielowski/Blue
1994- Woody Allen/Bullets Over Broadway
1996- Mike Leigh/Secrets and Lies
1997- Atom Egoyan/The Sweet Hereafter
2000- Ang Lee/Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon
2001- David Lynch/Mulholland Drive
2002- Fernando Meirelles/City of God, Pedro Almodovar/Talk to Her
2003- Sophia Coppola/Lost in Translation
2005- Ang Lee/Brokeback Mountain-WINNER, Bennett Miller/Capote
2006- Alejandro Inarritu/Babel
2007- Jason Reitman/Juno, Julian Schnabel/The Diving Bell and the Butterfly, Paul Thomas Anderson/There Will Be Blood (scenes screened)
2008- Danny Boyle/Slumdog Millionaire-WINNER, David Fincher/The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (scenes screened)
2009- Jason Reitman/Up in the Air
2010- Tom Hooper/The King's Speech-WINNER, Darren Aronofsky/Black Swan
2011- Michel Hazanavicius/The Artist-WINNER, Alexander Payne/The Descendants
2012- Michael Haneke/Amour
2013- Alfonso Cuaron/Gravity-WINNER, Steve McQueen/12 Years a Slave, Alexander Payne-Nebraska
2014- Alejandro Inarritu/Birdman-WINNER, Bennett Miller/Foxcatcher
2015- Tom McCarthy/Spotlight, Lenny Abrahamson/Room
2016- Damien Chazelle/La La Land-WINNER, Barry Jenkins/Moonlight, Kenneth Lonergan/Manchester by the Sea, Denis Villenueve/Arrival
2017- Guillermo Del Toro/The Shape of Water-WINNER, Greta Gerwig/Lady Bird
2018- Alfonso Cuaron/Roma-WINNER, Yorgos Lanthimos-The Favourite

Total of 44 nominations for Best Director with nine winners...Alfonso Cuaron twice.


OSCAR PREDICTIONS: BEST PICTURE UPDATED

Here's my updated prediction for the Best Picture Oscar nominations.  These were last posted at MTFB on Sept. 19th.  Each film is followed by its position in the last prediction posting in parentheses.  TFF #46 films are Bold.


1) Once Upon a Time in...Hollywood (2)
2) Marriage Story (3)
3) The Irishman (2)
4) JoJo Rabbit (7)
5) Parasite (5)
6) A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood (10)
7) 1917 (6)
8) Ford v. Ferrari (4)
9) The Two Popes (9)
10) The Farewell (8)

Other possibles: Joker, Waves, Judy, Little Women

You're seeing a nice jump up for JoJo Rabbit and A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood.  Tough dive for Ford v. Ferrari.  I expect that The Irishman will move back up to the #23 or even #1 slot when I next check in as it has now screened as a part of the New York Film Fest and will be rolling out at Mill Valley, Hamptons, London, Rome, Chicago and Tokyo Fests over the next couple of weeks.



OLD HOLLYWOOD TO BE FEATURED IN NEW FILMS

Photo from Shutterstock and Deadline

Deadline.com shared a few weeks back the ongoing news about the development of two films that harken back to old Hollywood for their setting.  Both films could end up on TFF watch lists in the next year or two.

Deadline reported recently that Brad Pitt could be joining Damien Chazelle's next feature project which is currently titled Babylon.  The film is also rumored to be seeking past Chazelle collaborator Emma Stone who won the 2017 Best Actress Oscar for Chazelle's La La Land.  Lionsgate is rumored to be out front in terms of the studio where the project could land.

Meanwhile, in the same story, Deadline also says that David Finches is lining up a project focused on the life of Casablanca screenwriter Herman J. Mankiewicz.  The film is said to be set up at Netflix and would feature Gary Oldman in the lead.  The film is tentatively titled Mank.

Each feature reported for both films by Deadline would suggest at least the possibility of a play at The SHOW.

The complete Deadline story is linked here.


That's today on MTFB.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com OR michael_speech@hotmail.com

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Ford v. Ferrari Trailer, Poster, Photos / Neon is Bringing Some Heat to the Oscar Race

Good first Monday in June...TFF #46 is a mere three months away!


FORD V. FERRARI TRAILER, POSTER, PHOTOS

20th Century Fox/Disney revved up the hype machine in earnest over the weekend with the release of a slew of promotional materials for James Mangold's Ford v. Ferrari.  The film stars Christian Bale and Matt Damon and centers on the true story of Ford Motors attempt to develop a car that could compete against the world renowned Ferrari at the legendary 24 Hours of Le Mans auto race.

The film is being alluded to as a "buddy" film and likened in a number of the stories about the trailer's release to Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid.  The tenor of the trailer supports that description.  See for yourself (from YouTube):

Additionally we got a look at this poster:

And some stills from the film as well from The Film Stage:

Ford v. Ferrari is dated for a release on Nov. 15th.  The 20th Century Fox/Disney backing doesn't suggest a Telluride play however, James Mangold has been a part of the festival as the director of the Oscar nominated (Reese Witherspoon won Best Actress for the film) Johnny Cash biopic Walk the Line in 2005.

I have linked a couple of stories associated with the trailer's release from

Variety

The Film Stage

The Wrap


NEON IS BRINGING SOME HEAT TO THE OSCAR RACE

Distribution outfit Neon looks to be  serious presence this Oscar season in the newly re-christened Oscar category Best International Feature (which used to be Best Foreign Language Film).

With acquisitions and positioning of two prize winning films from the recently concluded 72nd Cannes Film Fest.  Neon now has in its film cupboard both Bong Joon-ho's Palme d'Or winner  Parasite and Celine Sciamma's Portrait of a Lady on Fire which took the Cannes prize for Best Screenplay.

Parasite has been scheduled for an Oct. 11th U.S. release date and Neon has announced that Portrait will open on Dec. 6th in New York and Los Angeles.

Both films could make the Telluride lineup in three months.  Neon, as I have been noting in recent posts has made a splash at recent TFFs with both Border and Biggest Little Farm playing last year and The B-Side in 2016.

Linked here is coverage about both Parasite and Portrait of a Lady on Fire from Indiewire:

Parasite

Portrait



That's your MTFB entry for this Monday in June.  I'll have more on Thursday.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com OR michael_speech@hotmail.com

TWITTER @Gort2 (and follow me there as well)

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