Thursday, November 17, 2022
MTFB Oscar Update: Best Picture and Direction / Trailers and Teasers: Empire of Light and If These Walls Could Sing / Critics Choice Doc Awards and TFF #49 / Visitations: Timothee Chalamet, Sam Mendes and More
Thursday, October 20, 2022
MTFB Oscar Take: Picture and Direction / Critic's Choice Doc Noms Include TFF / New Trailer for Close / Matt Neglia's Oscar Picks / Visitations
CRITIC'S CHOICE DOC NOMS INCLUDE TFF
Monday, January 18, 2021
Oscar Updates: Director, Actress, Actor
OSCAR UPDATES: DRIECTOR, ACTRESS, ACTOR
In this post, I catch up on my latest predictions and, for the first time this Oscar season, I include more than one category in a post. As we get closer to the announcement nominations, it's time to accelerate predictions to begin to include categories beyond the major eight (picture, director, actress, actor, Supporting actress, supporting actor, adapted and original screenplays). This week's posts (today's and Thursday's) will update the major eight categories and then next week I'll begin to add in some of the others.
BEST DIRECTOR
Here are my latest Oscar nomination predictions for Best Direction updated since I last posted this category on Dec. 21st. A director's past position is indicated to the right in parentheses. TFF #47 films are indicated in Bold.
Thursday, November 19, 2020
Oscar Update: Best Director / Ammonite News / The Climb Releases / MLK/FBI Trailer
OSCAR UPDATE: BEST DIRECTOR
Here are my latest Oscar nomination predictions for Best Direction updated since I last posted this category on Sept. 21st. A director's past position is indicated to the right in parentheses. TFF #47 films are indicated in Bold.
Thursday, October 22, 2020
Oscar Update-Best Direction / Truffle Love Continues
OSCAR UPDATE-BEST DIRECTION
Here are my latest Oscar nomination predictions for Best Direction updated since I last posted this category on Sept. 21st. A director's past position is indicated to the right in parentheses. TFF #47 films are indicated in Bold.
Thursday, October 10, 2019
Oscar History and TFF: Best Actress / Oscar Predictions: Best Director Update / International Feature Long List
1991- Laura Dern/Rambling Rose
1993- Holly Hunter/The Piano
1996- Brenda Blethyn/Secrets and Lies, Emily Watson/Breaking the Waves
1998-Fernanda Montenegro/Central Station
2002- Salma Hayek/Frida
2004- Annette Bening/Being Julia
2005- Reese Witherspoon/Walk the Line-WINNER
2006- Kate Winslet/Little Children, Penelope Cruz/Volver
2007- Ellen Page/Juno
2009- Carey Mulligan/An Education, Helen Mirren/The Last Station
2010- Natalie Portman/Black Swan-WINNER
2011- Glenn Close/Albert Nobbs
2012- Emanuelle Riva/Amour
2013- Sandra Bullock/Gravity
2014- Reese Witherspoon-Wild, Marion Cotillard/Two Days One Night
2015- Brie Larson/Room-WINNER, Cate Blanchett/Carol, Charlotte Rampling/45 Years
2016- Emma Stone/La La Land-WINNER
2017- Sally Hawkins/The Shape of Water, Saorise Ronan/Lady Bird
2018- Olivia Colman/The Favourite-WINNER, Melissa McCarthy/Can You Ever Forgive Me?, Yalitza Aparicio/Roma
Overall 29 nominations for Best Actress with five winners including three of the last four.
That's your Thursday.
EMAIL: mpgort@gmail.com OR michael_speech@hotmail.com
Tuesday, July 2, 2019
The Distributors 2019: Many a Firm Final Part / Telluride and Oscar Part Two: Best Director / An Assist from a Friend
THE DISTRIBUTORS 2019; MANY A SMALL FIRM-FINAL PART
-BLEECKER STREET MEDIA
Bleecker Street's Telluride bona fides are barely existent but they have a film that is in post-production that could be in line to make the grade for The SHOW this year. Sally Potter's Molly is currently listed as a 2020 release but...it has reportedly been in post-production since February.
Potter has some Telluride cred having screened her Yes there in 2004 and Ginger and Rosa in 2012 (with Molly star Elle Fanning in that cast). Additionally, frequent Telluride guest/participant/resident Laura Linney is also featured in the cast.
-MUSIC BOX FILMS
Francois Ozon could return to Telluride via Music Box with By the Grace of God. Ozon screened Frantz at Telluride in 2016 (also distributed by Music Box). Adding a bit of fuel to the fire was the film's win of Berlin;s Silver Bear award in February.
Chances for each film-
Molly 35% (would be higher if it was scheduled as a 2019 release)
By the Grace of God 35%
TELLURIDE AND OSCAR PART TWO: BEST DIRECTOR
Picking up where I left off yesterday, I'm continuing an eight part series of articles tracing the connection between films that have played Telluride's Film Fest and the eight "major" Oscar categories.
Yesterday I looked at T-ride and the Best Picture nominees from the past 14 years. Today it's the directors. Here are the directors that played films at TFF since 2005 who were Oscar nominated. Additionally, if that director won it is indicated with ***.
2005: Ang Lee/Brokeback Mountain***, Bennett Miller/Capote
2006: Alejandro Inarritu/Babel
2007: Jason Reitman/Juno, Julian Schnabel/The Diving Bell and the Butterfly, Paul Thomas Anderson/There Will Be Blood (I count this and Benjamin Button even though we only saw a portion of each film in tributes to Daniel Day Lewis and David Fincher)
2008: Danny Boyle/Slumdog Millionaire***, David Fincher/The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2009: Jason Reitman/Up in the Air
2010: Tom Hooper/The King's Speech*** Darren Aronofsky/Black Swan.
2011: Michel Hazanavicius/The Artist***, Alexander Payne/The Descendents
2012: Michael Haneke/Amour
2013: Alfonso Cuaron/Gravity***, Steve McQueen/12 Years a Slave, Alexander Payne/Nebraska
2014: Alejandro Inarritu/Birdman***, Morton Tyldum/The Imitation Game, Bennett Miller/Foxcatcher
2015: Tom McCarthy/Spotlight, Lenny Abrahamson/Room
2016: Damian Chazelle/La La Land***, Barry Jenkins/Moonlight, Denis Villeneuve/Arrival, Kenneth Lonergan/Manchester by the Sea
2017: Guillermo Del Toro/The Shape of Water***, Greta Gerwig/Lady Bird
2018: Alfonso Cuaron/Roma***, Pawel Pawlikowski/Cold War, Yorgos Lanthimos/The Favourite
Over these 14 years 31 Best Directing nominations have landed with films that screened as a part of TFF with nine wins.
A couple of notes:
2016 was insane with four of the five nominees having come from Telluride films. The only nominee that year not from a TFF film: Adam McKay for The Big Short
It's good to be one of "The Three Amigos". The three Mexican directors who have been labeled with this sobriquet: Inarritu, Cuaron and Del Toro account for four of the nine wins. Cuaron twice. Inarritu has a second directing Oscar for The Revenant which, of course, did not screen at Telluride.
Thursday I'll take a glance at Best Actress nominees from TFF since 2005.
AND AN ASSIST FROM A FRIEND
I am always appreciative when one of the people I have become friends with that are actual journalists have the kindness to reference the blog. I always see a bump in traffic when something that happens.
With last Friday's first "Ten Bets" for TFF #46 I got a great assist from my friend Sasha Stone at Awards Daily. Sasha linked the Ten Bets and offered some of her views/analysis.
I also think she sort of promised that I could meet Tom Hanks if he's at the fest with A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood. At least that's what I'm choosing to believe.
Here's the link to her Awards Daily story that's about Friday's post.
Going to wrap this up for today. More to come on Thursday.
EMAIL: mpgort@gmail.com OR michael_speech@hotmail.com
Monday, October 1, 2012
FAC Update/New History/SPC at 20/Argo Pics/Oscar Talk/Coming Attractions
BEST PICTURE
In addition, The Playlist also posted a story this week with three character posters from the film:
http://blogs.indiewire.com/theplaylist/3-character-posters-new-image-for-ben-afflecks-argo-20120925
Meanwhile, Sasha Stone and Jeff Wells who have been doing Oscar Poker together for quite some time are apparently doing that no more. Stone tweeting last night that Wells will be continuing tat but that she's moving on to some other podcast(s). This week she posted and Oscar Update with Gold Derby's Tom O'Neil. That's here:
http://ec.libsyn.com/p/f/2/9/f2973e155700d68a/Oscars_Best_Picture.mp3?d13a76d516d9dec20c3d276ce028ed5089ab1ce3dae902ea1d01cc8e37d8cc55fea2&c_id=5002060
Follow me on Twitter @Gort2
"Like" Michael's Telluride Film Blog and The Film Awards Clearinghouse on Facebook.
Sunday, January 8, 2012
Best Direction/NFSC Awards/Critics Take/Gurus and Feinberg/ A Separation Soars
I have been changing things up a bit this last week with daily posts focused on specific Oscar categories. I am planning on continuing to do that this week and get into categories beyond the Big 8. All of that leading up to a final pre-nomination edition of The Film Awards Clearinghouse on Monday, Jan. 23, the day before nominations are announced. And so, to that end...
BEST DIRECTION
as Best Picture of the Year 2011. Kristin Dunst was named best actress for her performance in Lars von Trier’s film, and Brad Pitt was named best actor for his work in “Moneyball” and “The Tree of Life.” Albert Brooks (or his evil twin) won best supporting actor for his appearance in “Drive,” and Jessica Chastain was named best supporting actress for her work in three films: “The Tree of Life,” “Take Shelter” and “The Help.”
*1. Brad Pitt – 35 (Moneyball, The Tree of Life)
2. Gary Oldman – 22 (Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy)
3. Jean Dujardin – 19 (The Artist)
*1. Kirsten Dunst – 39 (Melancholia)
2. Yun Jung-hee – 25 (Poetry)
3. Meryl Streep – 20 (The Iron Lady)
*1. Albert Brooks – 38 (Drive)
2. Christopher Plummer – 24 (Beginners)
3. Patton Oswalt – 19 (Young Adult)
*1. Jessica Chastain – 30 (The Tree of Life, Take Shelter, The Help)
2. Jeannie Berlin – 19 (Margaret)
3. Shailene Woodley – 17 (The Descendants)
*1. Melancholia – 29 (Lars von Trier)
2. The Tree of Life – 28 (Terrence Malick)
3. A Separation – 20 (Asghar Farhadi)
*1. Terrence Malick – 31 (The Tree of Life)
2. Martin Scorsese – 29 (Hugo)
3. Lars von Trier – 23 (Melancholia)
*1. Cave of Forgotten Dreams – 35 (Werner Herzog)
2. The Interrupters – 26 (Steve James)
3. Into the Abyss – 18 (Werner Herzog)
*1. A Separation – 39 (Asghar Farhadi)
2. Moneyball – 22 (Steven Zaillian, Aaron Sorkin)
3. Midnight in Paris – 16 (Woody Allen)
*1. A Separation – 67 (Asghar Farhadi)
2. Mysteries of Lisbon – 28 (Raoul Ruiz)
3. Le Havre – 22 (Aki Kaurismäki)
*1. The Tree of Life – 76 (Emanuel Lubezki)
2. Melancholia – 41 (Manuel Alberto Claro)
3. Hugo – 33 (Robert Richardson)
Ken Jacobs, for “Seeking the Monkey King.”
1. BAMcinématek for its complete Vincente Minnelli retrospective with all titles shown on 16 mm. or 35 mm. film.
2. Lobster Films, Groupama Gan Foundation for Cinema and the Technicolor Foundation for Cinema for the restoration of the color version of George Méliès’s “A Trip to the Moon.”
3. New York’s Museum of Modern Art for its extensive retrospective of Weimar Cinema.
4. Flicker Alley for their box set “Landmarks of Early Soviet Film.”
5. Criterion Collecton for its 2-disc DVD package “The Complete Jean Vigo.”
GURUS AND FEINBERG
Movie City News has a new Gurus of Gold up this morning for Best Picture and guesses for DGA nominations' Find that here:
http://moviecitynews.com/2012/01/gurus-o-gold-welcome-to-2012/
And Scott Feinberg is also up with his new overall Oscar picks on a new Feinberg Forecast at The Hollywood Reporter here:
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/race/oscars-the-artist-feinberg-forecast-279562