Obsessing about the Telluride Film Festival and the film awards season since 2008!
"The best blog out there for predicting what will be going to Telluride."-Matt Neglia, Next Best Picture
"The Nostradamus of Telluride"
-Tim Appelo, Movies for Grownups
"But it's our job." - Anne Thompson, Indiewire
MTFB OSCAR TAKE: UPDATING BEST PICTURE AND DIRECTION...ADDING DOCUMENTARY, ANIMATED FEATURE AND INTERNATIONAL FILM
In today's post I am updating Oscar predictions for Best Picture and Best Direction which were last posted on Dec. 1st. In addition I am including first predictions for Best Animated, Documentary and International films. TFF #49 films are in Bold.
BEST PICTURE
1) The Fabelmans (1)
2) The Banshees of Inisherin (2)
3) Everything Everywhere All at Once (5)
4) Women Talking (3)
5) Top Gun: Maverick (4)
6) TAR (6)
7) Elvis (7)
8) Avatar: The Way of Water (9)
9) Babylon (8)
10) Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (9)
11) The Woman King (New)
12) Triangle of Sadness (10)
Out: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (11)
Stealth BP possibles: RRR, She Said, GDT's Pinocchio, Living
BEST DIRECTION
1) Steven Spielberg/The Fabelmans (1)
2) Sarah Polley/Women Talking (2)
3) Martin McDonagh/The Banshees of Inisherin (3)
4) Todd Field/TAR (4)
5) The Daniels/EEAAO (5)
6) Damien Chazelle/Babylon (6)
7) James Cameron/Avatar: The Way of Water (New)
Out: Rueben Ostlund/Triangle of Sadness
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
1) GDT's Pinocchio
2) Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
3) Turning Red
4) Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
5) Wendall and Wild
6) Strange World
7) Lightyear
BEST DOUMENATRY FEATURE
1) Good Night Oppy
2) Fire of Love
3) All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
4) All That Breathes
5) Navalny
6) Descendant
7) The Territory
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
1) Close
2) All Quiet on the Western Front
3) Decision to Leave
4) Holy Spider
5) Argentina 1985
6) Saint Omer
7) Bardo: False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths
CRITICS CHOICE NOMINATIONS
The Critics Choice Association named their nominees for film superlatives on Wednesday morning. Nine different Telluride films earned at least one nomination with Todd Field's TAR leading the way with seven total nominations. Here's the breakdown:
TAR (7): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Blanchett), Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing and Score.
Women Talking (6): Best Picture, Direction, Supporting Actress (Buckley), Ensemble, Adapted Screenplay and Score.
Aftersun (3): Best Actor (Mescal), Young Actor (Corio), Original Screenplay
Living (2): Best Actor (Nighy), Adapted Screenplay
Empire of Light (1): Cinematography
Armageddon Time (1): Best Young Actor (Repeta)
Bardo (1): Best Foreign Language Film
Close (1): Best Foreign Language Film
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (1): Best Animated Film
Everything Everywhere All at Once led all films with 14 nominations.
Today I am updating predictions in the categories of Best Original and Adapted Screenplay. These were last predicted on Oct. 31st. Past ranking is to the right of the performer in parentheses. Films from TFF #49 are in Bold.
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1) Women Talking (1)
2) Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (2)
3) The Whale (4)
4) She Said (3)
5) Living (6)
6) White Noise (5)
7) Top Gun: Maverick (7)
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1) The Banshees of Inisherin (1)
2) Everything Everywhere All at Once (2)
3) The Fabelmans (3)
4) TAR (4)
5) Triangle of Sadness (5)
6) Babylon (7)
7) Elvis (New)
Dropping Out: Armageddon Time
UPDATING FROM FEINBERG
I last reported on Scott Feinberg's, The Hollywood Reporter's Oscar expert, predictions on Sept. 29th. I am updating with Feinberg's most recent predictions in as far as Telluride 2022 films are concerned. Here's what Feinberg had on 9/29:
Women Talking: Best Picture, Direction, Supporting Actress/Foy, Supporting Actress/Buckley, Adapted Screenplay
TAR: Best Picture, Direction, Actress/Blanchett
Empire of Light: Best Actress/Colman
Close: International Feature
Holy Spider: International Feature
Bardo: International Feature
Goodnight Oppy: Documentary Feature
Retrograde: Documentary Feature
TFF #49 films that Feinberg is currently predicting to be Oscar nominated (in the 11 categories he has predicted):
Women Talking (5): Picture, Direction (Polley), Supporting Actress (Foy), Supporting Actress (Buckley), Adapted Screenplay. Women Talking is also listed as a major threat for two other nominations: Actress (Mara) and Supporting Actor (Whishaw).
TAR (3): Picture, Direction (Field), Actress (Blanchett). TAR is also predicted as a major threat for two other nominations: Supporting Actress (Hoss) and Original Screenplay.
Close (1): International Feature. Close is also a major threat for two other nominations: Direction (Dhont) and Original Screenplay.
Holy Spider (1): International Feature
Three TFF #49 documentaries are predicted to be nominated for Best Documentary: Good Night Oppy, Retrograde and Last Flight Home. Also predicted here is Navalny which is a borderline TFF pick as it screened in Elks Park prior to the start of the fest.
So Feinberg has TFF #49 films with a total of 13 nominations in 11 categories. That's down a couple from his first set of predictions reported here on Sept. 29th.
A number of TFF #49 films are named as "Major Threats" in several categories including:
Living: Picture, Actor (Nighy) and Adapted Screenplay
Armageddon Time: Picture, Supporting Actor (Strong), Original Screenplay
Empire of Light: Actress (Colman), Supporting Actor (Ward)
I am updating predictions in the categories of Best Supporting Actress and Best Supporting Actor. These were last predicted on Nov. 10th. Past ranking is to the right of the performer in parentheses. Performances from TFF #49 are in Bold.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1) Jesse Buckley/Women Talking (1)
2) Kerry Condon/The Banshees of Inisherin (2)
3) Clare Foy/Women Talking (3)
4) Carey Mulligan/She Said (5)
5) Jamie Lee Curtis/Everything Everywhere All at Once (New)
Out: Nina Hoss/TAR and Dolly DeLeon/Triangle of Sadness
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1) Brendan Gleeson/The Banshees of Inisherin (1)
2) Ke Huy Quan/Everything Everywhere All at Once (2)
3) Judd Hirsch/The Fabelmans (3)
4) Paul Dano/The Fabelmans (5)
5) Ben Whishaw/Women Talking (4)
6) Barry Keoghan/The Banshees of Inisherin (6)
7) Eddie Redmayne/The Good Nurse (New)
Out: Anthony Hopkins/Armageddon Time
INDEPENDENT SPIRIT AWARD NOMINEES ANNOUNCED
Film Independent announced the nominees for the 29th Independent Spirit Awards on Tuesday. This year's ceremony is currently scheduled for Mar. 4, 2023. Telluride Films nabbed 20 nominations overall with Sarah Polley's Women Talking named the winner of the Robert Altman Award which goes to the director, casting directors and the ensemble cast.
Nominations Breakdown:
TAR (7): Best Feature, Direction (Field), Lead Performance (Blanchett), Supporting Performance (Hoss), Screenplay, Cinematography and Editing.
Aftersun (5): Best First Feature, Lead Performance (Mescal), Breakthrough Performance (Corio), Cinematography and Editing.
Women Talking (3): Best Feature, Direction and Screenplay plus the above mentioned Robert Altman Award.
Bones and All (3): Best Feature, Lead Performance (Russell), Supporting Performance (Rylance).
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed (1): Best Documentary
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (1): Best Editing. Marcel was a selection of TFF #48.
Everything, Everywhere All at Once lead the pack with a total of 8 nominations including Best Feature. I sort of regard it as Telluride-adjacent because of the special screening of Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon and Michelle Yeoh's presence at TFF #49.
MTFB OSCAR TAKE: UPDATING BEST PICTURE AND DIRECTION
In today's post I am updating Oscar predictions for Best Picture and Best Direction which were last posted on Nov. 3rd. TFF #49 films are in Bold.
BEST PICTURE
1) The Fabelmans (1)
2) The Banshees of Inisherin (2)
3) Women Talking (3)
4) Top Gun: Maverick (6)
5) Everything Everywhere All at Once (4)
6) TAR (5)
7) Elvis (10)
8) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (New)
9) Glass Onion (7)
10) Triangle of Sadness (11)
11) She Said (9)
12) Babylon (8)
Out: Empire of Light
Ought to think about: Marcel the Shell with Shoes On, Living and Armageddon Time
Comment: Wildly divergent responses to Damien Chazelle's Babylon from screenings this week in Los Angeles and New York have lead me to drop its prospects for a Best Picture nomination significantly. The film is under an embargo for full reviews but social media reaction was divisive to say the least.
BEST DIRECTION
1) Steven Spielberg/The Fabelmans (1)
2) Sarah Polley/Women Talking (2)
3) Martin McDonagh/The Banshees of Inisherin (3)
4) Todd Field/TAR (4)
5) The Daniels/EEAAO (5)
6) Damien Chazelle/Babylon (6)
7) Rueben Ostlund/Triangle of Sadness (7)
TRAILERS AND TEASERS
Official Trailer for Empire of Light via YouTube:
Official trailer for If These Walls Could Sing from YouTube:
CRITICS CHOICE DOC AWARDS AND TFF #49
The Critics Choice Awards for Documentary film making were named last Sunday night and TFF #49 entrant Good Night Oppy dominated the evening.
Oppy won for Best Doc (Gold award), Direction, Best Science/Nature Doc, Score and Narration.
Navalny, which was not included in the TFF #49 program but reportedly did screen in Elk Park prior to the Fest's officially opening received the Bronze award for Doc Feature as well as Best Political Doc.
And Citizen Ashe which screened at TFF #48 was named Best Sports Doc.
Today I am updating predictions in the categories of Best Original and Adapted Screenplay. These were last predicted on Oct. 31st. Past ranking is to the right of the performer in parentheses. Films from TFF #49 are in Bold.
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1) Women Talking (1)
2) Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (2)
3) She Said (3)
4) The Whale (4)
5) White Noise (5)
6) Living (6)
7) Top Gun: Maverick (7)
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1) The Banshees of Inisherin (2)
2) Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)
3) The Fabelmans (3)
4) TAR (4)
5) Triangle of Sadness (5)
6) Armageddon Time (7)
7) Babylon (6)
MARCEL IS ELIGIBLE
News this past week that the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences has deemed Dean Fleischer Camp's Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (TFF #48) will be eligible for consideration for the Best Animated Feature Oscar.
There had been some discussion that it would not be eligible because of the significant amount of live action that exists in the films but those concerns were allayed with the decision this week from AMPAS's Short Film and Animation Branch Executive Committee according to reporting from Carolyn Giardina writing for The Hollywood Reporter.
Marcel still faces a challenging set of competitors including the soon-to-be-released Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio out on Dec. 9th which has been garnering rave reviews.
TRAILER FOR THE CORRIDORS OF POWER
Here's the first trailer for Dror Moreh's TFF #49 documentary The Corridors of Power. The film focuses on U.S. foreign policy and its players in the 1990's and how it still resonates today.
I am updating predictions in the categories of Best Actress and Best Actor. These were last predicted on Oct. 24th. Past ranking is to the right of the performer in parentheses. Performances from TFF #49 are in Bold.
BEST ACTRESS
1) Cate Blanchett/TAR (1)
2) Michelle Yeoh/Everything Everywhere All at Once (2)
3) Michelle Williams/The Fabelmans (3)
4) Daniaelle Deadwyler/Till (4)
5) Olivia Colman/Empire of Light (5)
6) Viola Davis/The Woman King (6)
7) Margot Robbie/Babylon (7)
BEST ACTOR
1) Brendan Fraser/The Whale (1)
2) Colin Ferrell/The Banshees of Inisherin (2)
3) Austin Butler/Elvis (3)
4) Bill Nighy/Living (4)
5) Hugh Jackman/The Son (5)
6) Tom Cruise/Top Gun: Maverick (6)
7) Gabrielle LaBelle/The Fabelmans (7)
BIFA NOMINATIONS AND TFF #49
Five films from the TFF #49 lineup earned nominations from the British Independent Film Association this week.
Charlotte Wells' Aftersun lead all films with 16 nominations: Best British Independent Film, Direction, Debut Directing, Joint Lead Performance/Mescal and Corio, Screenplay, Breakthrough Performance/Corio, Debut Screenwriter, Casting, Cinematography, Costume Design, Editing, Original Music, Makeup and Hair, Music Supervision, Sound, Production Design.
Sebastian Lelio's The Wonder also did quite well with 12 nominations: Best British Independent Film, Direction, Screenplay, Lead Performance/Pugh, Ensemble Performance, Breakthrough Performance/Cassidy, Cinematography, Costume Design, Original Music, Makeup and Hair, Sound and Production Design
Oliver Hermanus' Living also had a good day with 9 nominations: Best British Independent Film, Direction, Screenplay, Lead Performance/Nighy, Supporting Performance/Wood, Casting, Costume Design, Music Supervision, Production Design.
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed and Close were nominated for Best International Independent Film.
MTFB OSCAR TAKE: UPDATE: BEST PICTURE AND DIRECTION
In today's post I am updating Oscar predictions for Best Picture and Best Direction which were last posted on Oct. 6th. TFF #49 films are in Bold.
BEST PICTURE
1) The Fabelmans (1)
2) The Banshees of Inisherin (4)
3) Women Talking (2)
4) Everything Everywhere All at Once (5)
5) Top Gun: Maverick (6)
6) TAR (7)
7) Babylon (3)
8) Elvis (8)
9) Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (9)
10) She Said (10)
11) The Woman King (11)empire of
12) Empire of Light (New)
Dropping out: Avatar: The Way of Water
Ought to think about: Marcel the Shell with Shoes On and Armageddon Time
BEST DIRECTION
1) Steven Spielberg/The Fabelmans (1)
2) Sarah Polley/Women Talking (2)
3) Todd Field/TAR (3)
4) Martin McDonagh/The Banshees of Inisherin (6)
5) The Daniels/EEAAO (5)
6) Damien Chazelle/Babylon (4)
7) Sam Mendes/Empire of Light (New)
Dropping out: Gina Prince-Blythwood/The Woman King
CRITIC'S CHOICE DOC NOMS INCLUDE TFF
The Critic's Choice Association announced its nominees for excellence in Documentaries on Monday and Telluride films fared well. A dozen films between TFF #48 and TFF #49 earned 28 nominations. Ryan White's Good Night Oppy led all TFF docs with six nominations, one behind the overall leader in nominations: Fire of Love.
Oppy, which was very buzzy throughout the Labor Day weekend, was nominated for: best Documentary, Direction, Editing, Score, Narration and Best Science/Nature documentary.
Other TFF films nominated include:
Three Minutes: A Lengthening (TFF #48): Best First Doc, Editing, Narration, Best Archival Doc, Best Historical Doc
The Automat (TFF #48): Best Doc, Best First Doc, Score, Best Historical Doc
Cow (TFF #48): Best First Doc, Cinematography, Best Science/Nature Doc
The U.S. and the Holocaust (TFF #49): Best Historical Doc. Best Doc Series
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed (TFF #49): Best Direction and Best Political Doc
Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, A Journey, A Song (TFF #48): Best Music Doc
If These Walls Could Talk (TFF #49): Best Music Doc
Retrograde (TFF #49): Best Political Doc
Salvatore: Shoemaker of Dreams (TFF #49): Best Biographical Doc
Sr. (TFF #49): Best Biographical Doc
The Return of Tanya Tucker (TFF #49): Best Music Doc
The Match Factory dropped a new trailer for Lukas Dhont's Close on Monday. Belgium selected the film as its entry for the International Feature Oscar last month.
I am continuing my series wherein I check the Oscar predictions of a number of experts and how they have situated films that played at TFF #49. Previously I have passed along predictions from Variety's Clayton Davis, The Hollywood Reporter's Scott Feinberg and Awards Watch's Erik Anderson and Entertainment Weekly's Dave Karger. Today I'm highlighting Matt Neglia who founded Next Best Picture.
Matt is currently predicting all Oscar categories except the Shorts. Here's what he has Telluride films being nominated for:
Women Talking (6): Best Picture, Supporting Actress (Buckley), Supporting Actress (Foy), Supporting Actor (Whishaw), Adapted Screenplay and Original Score.
TAR (3): Best Direction, Actress (Blanchett), Original Screenplay
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed (1): Best Documentary
New trailers this week for Sarah Polley's Women Talking and Ryan White's Good Night Oppy.
WOMEN TALKING TRAILER
From YouTube:
and...as a special treat...a just released featurette on the behind the scenes featurette:
GOOD NIGHT OPPY TRAILER
MTFB OSCAR TAKE: SUPPORTING ACTING
Today I am updating predictions in the categories of Best Supporting Actress and Best Supporting Actor. These were last predicted on Sept. 26th. Past ranking is to the right of the performer in parentheses. Performances from TFF #49 are in Bold.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1) Jesse Buckley/Women Talking (1)
2) Clare Foy/Women Talking (2)
3) Hong Chau/The Whale (3)
4) Kerry Condon/The Banshees of Inisherin (New)
5) Nina Hoss/TAR (New)
6) Jamie Lee Curtis/Everything Everywhere All at Once (New)
7) Janelle Monae/Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (New)
Out: Patricia Clarkson/She Said, Stephanie Hsu/Everything Everywhere All at Once, Laura Dern/The Son, Sadie Sink/The Whale
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1) Brendan Gleeson/The Banshees of Inisherin
2) Ke Huy Quan/Everything Everywhere All at Once
3) Judd Hirsch/The Fabelmans (4)
4) Ben Whishaw/Women Talking (3)
5) Paul Dano/The Fabelmans (5)
6) Jeremy Strong/Armageddon Time (6)
7) Eddie Redmayne/The Good Nurse (New)
Out: Brad Pitt/Babylon
TFF HISTORY UPDATED
If you feel like it, the a gander over on the Expanded Telluride History 1996-Present page which has been updated with the information from TFF #49. It's linked here and always is linked at the top of each blogpost.
Here's my annual final step of computation that has become an MTFB tradition. It's The Composite Telluride ratings in which I add the average from The People and The Professionals to provide one more glimpse of how The SHOW's films were perceived.
To begin, here's the history of The Composite Telluride with the film's combined rating in parentheses and its position on each of the two lists in brackets.
2012
1) Argo (9.25) [2/2]
2) Stories We Tell (9.10) [3/1]
3) The Attack (8.70) [5/3]
4) Central Park Five (8.450 [1/13]
5) The Sapphires (8.36) [4/8]
6) Frances Ha (8.27) [5/9]
7) Amour (7.67) [10/6]
8) Rust and Bone (7.65) [7/16]
9) Baraka (7.50) [10/10]
10) The Iceman 7.41 [8/17]
11) No (6.61) [12/21]
12) The Gatekeepers (6.58) [14/18]
13) Hyde Park on Hudson (6.33) [14/20]
14) At Any Price (5.83) [9/24]
15) Everyday (4.88) [15/25]
2013
1) 12 Years a Slave (9.25) [1/2]
2) Tim's Vermeer (8.97) [4/1]
3) Gravity (8.75) [3/3]
4) Nebraska (8.38) [5/6]
5) All is Lost (8.26) [6/7]
6) Inside Llewyn Davis (8.25) [7/5]
7) Blue is the Warmest Color (8.15) [2/11]
8) The Past (7.71) [9/10]
9) The Lunchbox (7.55) [13/4]
10) The Wind Rises (7.1) [18/8]
11) Labor Day (7.0) [10/14]
11) (tie) Prisoners (7.0) [12/13]
13) Tracks (6.84) [16/12]
14) Palo Alto (6.4) [16/17]
15) The Invisible Woman (6.19) [20/18]
16) The Unknown Known (5.73) [15/20]
17) Under the Skin (5.1) [18/21]
2014
1) Birdman (9.18) [2/1]
2) Foxcatcher (8.83) [4/2]
3) The Imitation Game (8.79) [1/7]
4) Wild Tales (8.43) [3/4]
5) '71 (8.15) [6/3]
6) Mommy (7.42) [8/8]
7) Red Army (7.30) [7/11]
8) Two Days, One Night (7.21) [13/9]
9) Mr. Turner (7.10) [14/6]
10) Wild (6.71) [8/13]
11) Rosewater (6.52) [12/14]
12) The Homesman (6.38) [16/11]
13) Madame Bovary (6.18) [15/12]
2015
1) Spotlight (8.86) [2/3]
2) Son of Saul (8.74) [5/1]
3) Beasts of No Nation (8.62) [3/5]
4) Steve Jobs (8.17) [10/4]
5) Carol (8.13) [8/6]
6) Black Mass (7.98) [7/9]
7) Room (7.97) [1/11]
8) 45 Years (7.84) [11/7]
9) Anomalisa (7.78) [14/2]
10) Suffragette (7.07) [12/12]
11) He Named Me Malala (6.22) [13/13]
2016
1) Moonlight (9.19) [1/1]
2) La La Land (8.91) [2/2]
3) Manchester by the Sea (8.13) [5/4]
4) Arrival (8.01) [6/7]
5) Maudie (7.89) [3/9]
6) Sully (7.68) [10/6]
7) Toni Erdmann (7.65) [9/8]
8) Things to Come (7.25) [19/3]
9) Una (6.85) [15/10]
10) California Typewriter (6.78)[13/11]
10) Into the Inferno (6.78) [21/5]
12) Wakefield (6.26) [12/14]
13) Bleed for This (6.12) [14/13]
14) Norman (5.97) [16/15]
2017
1) The Shape of Water (8.72) [2/1]
2) Lady Bird (8.58) [1/5]
3) Faces Places (7.96) [5/2]
4) Darkest Hour (7.90) [3/8]
5) Hostiles (7.78) [4/9]
6) The Rider (7.63) [10/2]
7) Battle of the Sexes (7.62) [6/7]
8) First Reformed (7.32) [13/6]
9) Lean on Pete (7.16) [7/12]
10) First They Killed My Father (7.05) [15/10]
11) Loving Vincent (7.00) [12/11]
12) Wonderstruck (6.6) [10/13]
13) Downsizing (6.17) [16/14)]
14) Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool (6.16) [8/15]
2018
1) Roma (9.20) [1/1]
2) First Man (8.51) [2/2]
3) Free Solo (8.33) [5/3]
4) Cold War (8.16) [6/3]
5) Can You Ever Forgive Me? (7.91) [8/5]
6) The Favourite (7.66) [9/6]
7) Boy Erased (7.43) [4/10]
8) White Boy Rick (6.94) [7/11]
9) The Front Runner (6.74) [10/13]
10) Destroyer (6.69) [12/9]
11) Border (6.57) [16/8]
12) The Old Man and the Gun (6.56) [14/10]
2019
1) Parasite (9.11) [2/1]
2) The Two Popes (8.93) [1/2]
3) Marriage Story (8.54) [4/3]
4) Ford v. Ferrari (8.46) [3/7]
5) A Hidden Life (8.01) [5/5]
6) Waves (7.90) [12/4]
7) Pain and Glory (7.63) [5/9]
8) The Report (7.53) [9/8]
9) Motherless Brooklyn (7.22) [10/11]
10) Uncut Gems (7.00) [14/10]
11) Judy (6.93) [7/13]
12) The Aeronauts (6.75) [8/14]
13) The Climb (6.57) [15/12]
2021:
1) The Power of the Dog (8.95) [2/1]
2) Belfast (8.42) [3/4]
3) The Rescue (8.13) [6/2]
4) Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (8.01) [1/10]
5) King Richard (7.98) [7/5]
6) Spencer (7.77) [4/12]
7) Red Rocket (7.63) [5/15]
8) C'mon C'mon (7.58) [9/6)
9) Cyrano (7.08) [11/8]
10) The Lost Daughter (6.92) [10/14]
11) The French Dispatch (5.55) [12/17]
12) Encounter (5.14) [13/18]
The current all time top ten composite scores:
1) 12 Years a Slave (9.25) 2013 Tie (Won Best Picture)
1) Argo (9.25) 2012 Tie (Won Best Picture)
3) Roma (9.20) 2018 (Won Best Foreign Language Film)
4) Moonlight (9.19) 2016 (Won Best Picture)
5) Birdman (9.18) 2014 (Won Best Picture)
6) Parasite (9.11) 2019 (Won Best Picture)
7) Stories We Tell (9.10) 2012
8) Tim's Vermeer (8.97) 2013
9) The Two Popes (8.93) 2019
10) La La Land (8.91) 2016 (Won Best Director)
Soooo...Here are your results of The Composite Telluride for 2022. Ten films made both The Peoples Telluride list and The Professionals Telluride list. The respective rankings for each film are included to the right in [brackets] with the Pro's rating on the left and the People's on the right:
1) TAR 8.13 [1-2]
2) Women Talking 8.09 [2-1]
3) The Wonder 7.52 [5-4]
4) One Fine Morning 7.50 [6-4]
5) Armageddon Time 7.35 [3-9]
6) Aftersun 7.26 [7-8]
7) Bones and All 7.25 [8-6]
8) Empire of Light 7.11 [4-12]
9) Lady Chatterley's Lover 6.77 [9-13]
10) Living 6.75 [10-7]
Big disconnects between the Pros and the People were Armageddon Time and Empire of Light which were significantly favored by the Pros over where the People rated them and Lady Chatterley's Lover and Living which had an substantial lead in the People's poll compared to where the Pros had them.
If you're talking the Best Picture Oscar, ending up in the top spot for The Composite Telluride is a good place to be. Since I started it, The Composite Telluride has pointed to the Best Picture winners in seven out of nine years missing for 2019 because Green Book won and last year in which CODA won.
That said, I find it unlikely that TAR wins Best Picture this year. To my mind, the TFF #49 film with the most potential for winning BP is Sarah Polley's Women Talking and even that seems, at this point, a long shot. I'll have my first stab at making Oscar predictions for Picture, Directing and Acting categories up on MTFB in Monday's post.
After TFF #49 The Composite All Time Top Ten did not change and remains as follows:
1) 12 Years a Slave (9.25) 2013 Tie (Won Best Picture)
1) Argo (9.25) 2012 Tie (Won Best Picture)
3) Roma (9.20) 2018 (Won Best Foreign Language Film)
4) Moonlight (9.19) 2016 (Won Best Picture)
5) Birdman (9.18) 2014 (Won Best Picture)
6) Parasite (9.11) 2019 (Won Best Picture)
7) Stories We Tell (9.10) 2012
8) Tim's Vermeer (8.97) 2013
9) The Power of the Dog (8.95) 2021 (Nominated Best Picture)
10) The Two Popes (8.93) 2019
INDIEWIRE'S BEST OF THE FESTS
The crew at Indiewire put together a list of what they evaluate as the best films to have played the triumvirate of film fests just concluded (Telluride, Venice and Toronto). It was posted last Monday. TFF #49 films that made the list of 15 included
Variety also posted a list of the 17 films that their staff have chosen as the best of the three fests. The list includes three films that played at Telluride: TAR, All the Beauty and the Bloodshed and Women Talking.
Similar to the above post from Indiewire, Metacritic posted an article on Sunday that included their collective critical rating for many films that have played Telluride, Venice and/or Toronto. I took the liberty of adding to their list three films that played in Cannes in May that were also programmed by Telluride a few weeks back.
Here's where the TFF #49 films landed according to Metacrtic:
TAR-92
Aftersun-91
Icarus: The Aftermath-89
All the Beauty and the Bloodhsed-88
Close-83
Women Talking-80
Squaring the Circle-77
Bones and All-76
A Compassionate Spy-75
Armageddon Time-74
The Wonder-72
Lady Chatterley's Lover 67
Theater of Thought-64
Good Night Oppy-63
Empire of Light-59
Bardo-51
TAR leads all films listed with its 92. See the rest of what Metacritic has included from the other two fests that did not play at TFF #49 including The Fabelmans, The Son, The Whale and Blonde linked here.
THEATER OF THOUGHT TRAILER
We found out earlier this week that a trailer has been released for Werner Herzog's latest documentary. The film is described at IMDB as follows:
"Werner Herzog sets his sights on yet another mysterious landscape - the human brain - for clues as to why a hunk of tissue can produce profound thoughts and feelings while considering the philosophical, ethical, and social implications of fast-advancing neural technology."
