Thursday, January 26, 2017

Telluride Sets a Record: Oscar Nominations with a Bit of Commentary / Frantz Leads in France / Now What?

Good Thursday to you...

TELLURIDE SETS A RECORD: OSCAR NOMINATIONS WITH A BIT OF COMMENTARY

Telluride #43 film nominations are Bold.




BEST PICTURE
Arrival
Fences
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight

BEST DIRECTION
Damien Chazelle/La La Land
Mel Gibson/Hacksaw Ridge
Barry Jenkins/Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan/Manchester by the Sea
Denis Villeneuve/Arrival

BEST ACTRESS
Isabelle Huppert/Elle
Ruth Negga/Loving
Natalie Portman/Jackie
Meryl Streep/Florence Foster Jenkins
Emma Stone/La La Land

BEST ACTOR
Casey Affleck/Manchester by the Sea
Andrew Garfield/Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling/La La Land
Viggo Mortensen/Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington/Fences

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Viola Davis/Fences
Naomie Harris/Moonlight
Nicole Kidman/Lion
Octavia Spencer/Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams/Manchester by the Sea

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Mahershala Ali/Moonlight
Jeff Bridges/Hell or High Water
Lucas Hedges/Manchester by the Sea
Dev Patel/Lion
Michael Shannon/Nocturnal Animals



ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Arrival
Fences
Hidden Figures
Lion
Moonlight

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
20th Century Women
Hell or High Water
La La Land
The Lobster
Manchester by the Sea

FILM EDITING
Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
La La Land
Moonlight

CINEMATOGRAPHY
Arrival
La La Land
Lion
Moonlight
Silence

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Land of Mine
A Man Called Ove
Tanna
Toni Erdmann
The Salesman

ANIMATED FEATURE
Kubo and the Two Strings
Moana
My Life as a Zucchini
The Red Turtle
Zootopia

DOCUMENTARY
13th
Fire at Sea
I am Not Your Negro
Life, Animated
OJ: Made in America

ORIGINAL SCORE
Jackie
La La Land
Lion
Moonlight
Passengers



ORIGINAL SONG
Audition/La La Land
Can’t Stop the Feeling/Trolls
City of Stars/La La Land
How Far I’ll Go/Moana
The Empty Chair/James Foley Story

PRODUCTION DESIGN
Arrival
Fantastic Beasts
Hail, Caesar
La La Land
Passengers


COSTUMES
Allied
Fantastic Beasts
Florence Foster Jenkins
Jackie
La La Land

MAKEUP/HAIR
A Man Called Ove
Star Trek Beyond
Suicide Squad

SOUND EDITING
Arrival
Deepwater Horizon
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Sully

SOUND MIXING
13 Hours
Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Rogue One

VISUAL EFFECTS
Deepwater Horizon
Doctor Strange
The Jungle Book
Kubo and the Two Strings
Rogue One


LIVE ACTION SHORT
Silent Nights
Sing
Timecode
Ennemis Interiuers
Le Femme et le TVG



DOCUMENTARY SHORT
The White Helmets
Joe's Violin
Extremis
4.1 Miles
Watani: My Homeland

ANIMATED SHORT
Piper
Blind Vaysha
Borrowed Time
Pear and Cider Cigarettes
Pearl


Comment:

La La Land leads all films with 14  nominations
Arrival had 8
Moonlight had 8
Manchester by the Sea had 6

The total of "Telluride" nominations was 42 which makes this the most Oscar-y year for Telluride since I've been keeping track and probably since the beginning of the fest.

Oh, and it almost certainly means that on Oscar night that Best Picture will have come through Telluride once again continuing a trend that has been true every year, except for 2009. since Slumdog Millionaire in 2008.

08-Slumdog
09- The Hurt Locker
10- The King's Speech
11- The Artist
12- Argo
13- 12 Years a Slave
14- Birdman
15- Spotlight



Will/Can La La Land surpass Slumdog's haul of 8 Oscars?  It's possible.  I wrote last week that, should it hit the 14 nomination plateau (tying the all time Oscar record along with Titanic and All About Eve) that, at least at that moment, The FAC was pointing toward nine wins for the film.

Early favorites for Oscar include: Actress: Stone, Actor: Affleck, Supporting Actress: Davis, Supporting Actor: Ali

Other favorites by film:

La La Land: Picture, Direction, Film Editing, Cinematography, Score, Song, Production Design and Sound Mixing (Total -9)

Moonlight: Adapted Screenplay (Total-2)

Manchester by the Sea-Original Screenplay (2)

Toni Erdmann: Foreign Language

The White Helmets: Short Doc


For non-Telluride films:

Zootopia: Animated Feature

OJ: Made in America: Documentary

Jackie: Costumes

Florence Foster Jenkins: Makeup/Hair

Hacksaw Ridge: Sound Editing

The Jungle Book: Visual Effects

Silent Nights: Live Action Short

Piper: Animated Short



Other nominations for TFF #43 films came individually for Sully, Toni Erdmann, Fire at Sea and shorts: The White Helmets, Extremis and 4.1 Miles.

The FAC went 100 of 122 for an 82% rate of correct predictions.  It was perfect in Best Picture (9/9), Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Animated Feature and Costumes. In categories where The FAC missed one or more nominees the sixth film listed made the grade in nine categories: Original Screenplay, Film Editing, Foreign Language Film, Sound Editing, Visual Effects, Live Action Short, Animated Short, Makeup/Hair (actually that's the #4 spot) and Production Design.

The biggest surprises to me were the Amy Adams miss in Best Actress and also the miss by Inner Workings in Animated Short.  I was also surprised that Passengers popped up in Original Score and Production Design.






FRANTZ LEADS IN FRANCE




The French version of The Oscar...The Cesar nominations were announced this week and TFF #43 film Frantz led the way with 11 nominations including Best Picture.  Frantz was tied for the most nominations by Elle.  Among Elle's 11 nominations was a Best Actress nod for past Telluride tribute recipient Isabelle Huppert.  Huppert was featured at last September's fest with with a screening of Things to Come.

Kenneth Lonergan's 6 time Oscar nominated Manchester by the Sea was nominated for Best Foreign Film.  Both La La Land and Moonlight weren't eligible for that category as they didn't or won't open in France until after the first of the year.  Other TFF # films nominated for Foreign Language Film were Graduation and Toni Erdmann.  Fire at Sea was nominated for Best Documentary.

Complete Cesar coverage is here from Awards Watch.


NOW WHAT?




Well...the Oscar nominations are in and as you can see above, it was a very successful year for Telluride in that context.  Since the fest closed on Labor Day, thus space has been largely focused on the release of the films that played the fest and the Oscar prospects for them.  Now we are on to the Oscar #89 end game over the next month the culminates with the ceremony itself on Feb. 26th.  As I have done in the past, The FAC will continue to handicap the field right up until then.  

But it's also time to begin looking forward.  

The Sundance fest has moved past its half way mark and the presence at TFF this last year of Manchester by the Sea and The Eagle Huntress, which both played at Sundance last year, makes me wonder if that situation, which admittedly has been very rare in the past, might be a little less rare going forward.  This would mean that we might have to pay a little more attention to the films that make waves in Utah.

When the Oscars conclude, there will be a slew of Oscar #90 speculative pieces.  We'll need to examine those.  The Berlin Fest looms next month.  That is often a source of a few films that make their way to T-ride and Cannes speculation will begin to ramp up ahead of its May date.  We'll need to pay attention to the critical response and awards as a way of sniffing out potential Telluride choices.

Once Cannes is completed, we get into serious Telluride speculation and prediction and look for clues, rumors and signs from the media as well as what we can discern from what's known or suspected about Toronto, Venice and New York's Fests.

That's where we'll be going right up to Labor Day weekend.  Join the ride!


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