TFF #43 Ten Bets #4 / Euro Producers Part Two: The French-StudioCanal / The Rules Don't Apply for The Rules Don't Apply

It's FRIDAY!

TFF #43 TEN BETS

We're a couple of weeks away from the dual announcements of the first wave of Toronto films and the majority of films that will play the Venice fest and both of those lists will begin to give us our first real opportunity to do some inductive reasoning and a good idea of some of the Telluride lineup. Until then, you're stuck with my best guesses.

Last week's Ten Bets:

10) La La Land (Chazelle, Lionsgate, 12/2)

9) Things to Come (Hansen-Love, Sundance/IFC, TBA)

8) The Unknown Girl (Dardenne Brothers, TBA)

7) The Red Turtle, Dudok de Wit, SPC, TBA)

6) American Honey (Arnold, A24, 9/30)

5) Fire at Sea (Rosi, Kino Lorber, Y+TBA)

4) Moonlight (Jenkins, A24, 10/21)

3) Wilson (Johnson, Fox Searchlight, TBA)

2) The Salesman (Farhadi, Amazon/Cohen Media, 12/9)

1) Toni Erdmann (Ade, SPC, TBA)

This week's Ten Bets:

10) The Unknown Girl (Dardennes, Sundance Selects, TBA)
9) Things to Come (Hansen-Love, Sundance Selects, TBA)
8)  Wilson (Johnson, Fox Searchlight, TBA)

7) La La Land (Chazelle, Lionsgate, 12/2)

6) American Honey (Arnold, A24, 9/30)

5) Moonlight (Jenkins, A24, 10/21)

4) The Red Turtle (Dudok de Wit, SPC, TBA)

3) Toni Erdmann (Ade, SPC, 12/25)

2) Fire at Sea (Rosi, Kino Lorber, TBA)

1) The Salesman (Farhadi, Amazon/Cohen, 12/9)

Close: Lion, American Pastoral, Salt and Fire, A United Kingdom, Aquarius, Journey Through French Cinema, A Monster Calls, 20th Century Women, How to Talk to Girls at Parties, Paterson, Bleed for This, Arrival.

EURO PRODUCERS PART TWO: THE FRENCH- STUDIOCANAL

Over the past 13 years, these films have played Telluride while having some production assistance from StudioCanal:

2003: Young Adam, Love Me If You Dare

2005: Cache

2006: Indigines, Catch a Fire

2010: The Princess of Montpensier

2012: Love, Marilyn

2013: Inside Llewyn Davis

2015: He Named Me Malala

In the hopper:  The Lost City of Z, Gold, From the Land of the Moon.  We could see any, all or none of these.

THE RULES DON'T APPLY FOR THE RULES DON'T APPLY

Warren Beatty's new film...he says won't be in a fall film fest.  Warren Beatty is a trickster.  He's probably not spoofing us...but he might be.

And if he is?  

Honestly, the most likely spots would be AFI and New York.  Venice and then Toronto.  Telluride would be probably the last possibility...which makes it possible if Beatty is playing a game.  Do I think it's coming?  Nope.  But what if it did?

Anyway...the folks at 20th Century Fox released a trailer for the film early yesterday morning.  Here it is from YouTube:

It looks fairly humorous...

Coverage of the trailer drop is here:

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/rules-dont-apply-trailer-warren-911007

http://www.awardsdaily.com/2016/07/14/trailer-warren-beattys-rules-dont-apply/

http://theplaylist.net/first-trailer-warren-beattys-big-screen-return-rules-dont-apply-lily-collins-alden-ehrenreich-20160714/

http://www.firstshowing.net/2016/watch-first-trailer-for-rules-dont-apply-directed-by-warren-beatty/

http://www.thewrap.com/warren-beatty-lily-collins-rules-dont-apply-trailer-howard-hughes/

http://www.awardscircuit.com/2016/07/14/watch-first-trailer-warren-beattys-rules-dont-apply-w-alden-ehrenreich-lily-collins/

http://www.showbiz411.com/2016/07/14/first-trailer-for-warren-beattys-rules-dont-apply-looks-like-a-hit


That's all for this Friday.  Have a great weekend everyone.

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European Producers: Le French Part Un/"Steve Jobs" Gets Reactions/"Joy" Erupts with Trailer/"Demolition Departs for April

It's Thursday people!

EUROPEAN PRODUCERS: LE FRENCH PART UN

After the dearth of British production houses involved with Telluride possible films that we explored in yesterday's post, it's good to see that several of the French houses have a stronger hand.  We'll look at a couple of them today beginning with Canal+.

Here's their profile for the past dozen years or so at Telluride:

2003: The Barbarian Invasions, Dogville, Love Me If You Dare, The Tripletts of Belleville
2004: The Weeping Meadow
2005: The Child, Cache, Lemming, Live and Become
2006: Volver, Indigenes, The Page Turner
2007: The Diving Bell and The Butterfly, Terror's Advocate, Jellyfish
2008: With a Little Help From Myself, I've Loved You So Long
2009: Farewell, Coco Before Chanel, A Prophet, The White Ribbon
2010: The Illusionist, Carlos, Of Gods and Men, The Princess of Montpensier
2011: Crazy Horse, Albert Nobbs, Goodbye First Love, The Kid with a Bike, The Artist, Le Havre
2012: Rust and Bone, Superstar, The Attack
2013: Blue is the Warmest Color", Le Maison de la Radio", "The Past"
2014: Two Days One Night, The Price of Fame

And what might be a T-ride play for Canal+ this year?

"Youth"
"Amnesia"
"The Measure of a Man"
"The Lobster"
 are the most likely Canal+ supported titles.

Additionally, another French production house to pay attention to is StudioCanal.  Here's their recent track record at TFF:

2003: Young Adam, Love Me If You Dare
2005: Cache
2006: Indigines, Catch a Fire
2010: The Princess of Montpensier
2012: Love, Marilyn
2013: Inside Llewyn Davis

No StudioCanal film played Telluride in 2014 and as you can see, their presence is sporadic but there are three films with them aiding in production that could make the TFF #42 lineup:

"A Bigger Splash"
"The Program"
"Mon Roi"

Tomorrow,  a look at more French production firms.

"STEVE JOBS" GETS REACTIONS

Michael Fassbender as "Steve Jobs"

Various and sundry of the folks I follow on Twitter revealed that test audiences have seen Danny Boyle's "Steve Jobs" over the past few days.  From all accounts, reactions have been good.  Jeff Wells/Hollywood Elsewhere posted this story about the screening last night:

http://www.hollywood-elsewhere.com/2015/07/steve-jobs-west-42nd-street/

I have been wary of the film's Telluride possibilities as it is in the hands of Universal which has had a negligible presence at TFF.  Still, the fact that its a Danny Boyle film makes you think that it should SHOW and the Wells piece reminded me that Scott Rudin is producing the film and he also has a significant film track record at Telluride.  Of course, Rudin produces a ton of films but still, here's his T-ride connection over the past few years:

2006: "Venus"
2007: "There Will Be Blood" (clip), "Margot at the Wedding"
2010: "The Way Back"
2012: "Frances Ha"
2013: "Inside Llewyn Davis"
2014: "Rosewater"

So, perhaps Rudin's involvement tips Steve Jobs" a bit more in Telluride's direction.

"JOY" ERUPTS WITH TRAILER

"Joy" trailer via YouTube

It was hard to miss on the internet yesterday...the above trailer for David O. Russell's "Joy" starring Jennifer Lawrence as the inventor of the Miracle Mop.  The film is set to open on Dec. 25 and is being distributed by 20th Century Fox arm, Fox 2000.

Now, David O. Russell has never been to Telluride and Fox 2000 hasn't either (the 20th Century Fox branch that does do T-ride is Fox Searchlight so the chances of this being in the San Juans on Labor Day weekend are pretty small but never say never.  

The film is produced, in part, by Annapurna Pictures/Megan Ellison, who brought a film to Telluride for the first time last year ("Foxcatcher"). There's your tiny glimmer of hope.

The reality is that the film will likely do what Russell's "The Fighter" and "American Hustle" did and not play any fest at all.

If it is scheduled for a fest appearance, I'd think that Toronto, New York or AFI would all have a better shot before Telluride (Russell has played Toronto twice with "I Heart Huckabees" and "Silver Linings Playbook").

Still, the trailer looks interesting.

Here are a number of links to stories that covered the drop of the trailer yesterday:

http://blogs.indiewire.com/theplaylist/watch-jennifer-lawrence-invents-miracle-mop-in-first-trailer-for-david-o-russells-joy-20150715

http://www.awardsdaily.com/blog/2015/07/trailer-jennifer-lawrence-in-joy/

http://www.thewrap.com/jennifer-lawrence-bradley-cooper-grows-up-in-first-trailer-for-david-o-russells-joy-video/

https://variety.com/2015/film/news/jennifer-lawrence-bradley-cooper-joy-trailer-miracle-mop-1201540711/

http://www.indiewire.com/watch-dazzling-joy-teaser-puts-jennifer-lawrence-and-david-o-russell-back-in-the-oscar-race

http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/watch-jennifer-lawrence-stars-in-first-joy-movie-trailer/

http://www.firstshowing.net/2015/teaser-trailer-for-david-o-russells-joy-starring-jennifer-lawrence/

"DEMOLITION" DEPARTS FOR APRIL

Jake Gyllenhaal in "Demolition"

Late word yesterday that Fox Searchlight has pushed Jean-Marc Vallee's "Demolition" to an April, 2016 release date.  That moves the film out of awards season 2015 and probably means no fest exposure whatsoever for the Jake Gyllenhaal starrer.

Fox Searchlight is probably down to three possible films for Telluride: "Youth", "He Names Me Malala" and "A Bigger Splash".  "Demolition's" move likely means that the "Malala" documentary is a bit more likely to make the Telluride lineup.

  

Here are reports regarding "Demolition's " move:

http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/demolition-avoids-oscar-season-gyllenhaals-southpaw-performance-gets-a-boost/

http://blogs.indiewire.com/theplaylist/strike-it-from-oscar-season-demolition-with-jake-gyllenhaal-naomi-watts-opens-april-2016-20150715

That's all for Thursday...more tomorrow including a brand new "Ten Bets" list.

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Le French Part One/Pics from"Furnace"

Good Wednesday to All.

LE FRENCH PART ONE

Time to take a look at some of the more often Telluride represented French production houses in terms of their past with the festival and what those companies might have in store that have the potential to play over the Labor Day weekend.  We begin with:

CANAL +

Look at the history of Canal+ as a producer of films that played at Telluride over the last decade:

2003: The Barbarian Invasions, Dogville, Love Me If You Dare, The Tripletts of Belleville
2004: The Weeping Meadow
2005: The Child, Cache, Lemming, Live and Become
2006: Volver, Indigenes, The Page Turner
2007: The Diving Bell and The Butterfly, Terror's Advocate, Jellyfish
2008: With a Little Help From Myself, I've Loved You So Long
2009: Farewell, Coco Before Chanel, A Prophet, The White Ribbon
2010: The Illusionist, Carlos, Of Gods and Men, The Princess of Montpensier
2011: Crazy Horse, Albert Nobbs, Goodbye First Love, The Kid with a Bike, The Artist, Le Havre
2012: Rust and Bone, Superstar, The Attack

Canal+ averages 3 films each year at Telluride.  What do they have that might play this year?

"Blue is the Warmest Color", "Bastards (Les Saluds)", "The Great Beauty", "The Past", "A Castle in Italy", "Mood Indigo", "Camille Claudell: 1915". "The Past" and "Blue is the Warmest Color" have the greatest chance to be on Telluride's 2013 bill of fare.

These seem to be the most likely to me but Canal+ has their finger in a lot of pots, so there could be many others that play.  Check Canal+'s full lineup via IMDb here:
http://www.imdb.com/company/co0028557/?ref_=fn_co_co_1

STUDIOCANAL

Another French production outfit that sometimes plays at Telluride is StudioCanal.  Look at their ten year Telluride track record:

2003: Young Adam, Love Me If You Dare
2004:
2005: Cache
2006: Indigines, Catch a Fire
2007:
2008:
2009:
2010: The Princess of Montpensier
2011:
2012: Love, Marilyn

As you can see, StudioCanal's T-ride participation is hit and miss.  Of the films that StudioCanal has had a hand in, there are two that have some Telluride potential but it's low level potential:

The Coen Brothers' "Inside Llewyn Davis" and Michel Gondry's "Mood Indigo".  I'd put both films chances at 20%.

More French information coming tomorrow.

PICS FROM FURNACE

We began seeing some stills from Scott Cooper's "Out of the Furnace" yesterday.  The pics were originally posted via USA Today.  I've linked to three stories from Rope of Silicon:
http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/first-out-of-the-furnace-pictures-featuring-christian-bale-and-woody-harrelson/

FirstShowing.net:
http://www.firstshowing.net/2013/first-look-christian-bale-woody-harrelson-in-out-of-the-furnace/

The Playlist:
http://blogs.indiewire.com/theplaylist/first-images-of-christian-bale-woody-harrelson-in-out-of-the-furnace-20130708

"Out of the Furnace" opens Dec. 6th.

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More tomorrow...