Sunday, January 7, 2018

SUNDAY SPECIAL: GOLDEN GLOBE PREDICTIONS FROM THE EXPERTS

SUNDAY SPECIAL: GOLDEN GLOBE PREDICTIONS FROM THE EXPERTS




Welcome to a special additional post to MTFB.  I've put together a set of predictions today for tonight's Golden Globes ceremony from a bunch of the best people in the film awards business.  We'll see how this all pans out tonight.  TFF #44 films are Bold.

Kristopher Tapley/Variety/InContention

Best Picture-Drama-The Shape of Water
Best Picture-Musical or Comedy-Lady Bird
Best Direction-Guillermo Del Toro/The Shape of Water
Best Actress-Drama-Frances McDormand/Three Billboards
Best Actress-Musical or Comedy-Margot Robbie/I, Tonya
Best Actor-Drama-Timothee Chalamet/Call Me By Your Name
Best Actor-Musical or Comedy-James Franco/The Disaster Artist
Best Supporting Actress-Laurie Metcalf/Lady Bird
Best Supporting Actor-Sam Rockwell/Three Billboards
Best Screenplay-Three Billboards
Best Animated Feature-Coco
Best Foreign Language Film-First They Killed My Father
Best Original Score-Dunkirk
Best Song-Mighty River/Mudbound

Tapley's complete article is here.

Sasha Stone/Awards Daily (and AD's Oscar Squad)

Best Picture-Drama-The Shape of Water
Best Picture-Musical or Comedy-Get Out
Best Direction-Guillermo Del Toro/The Shape of Water
Best Actress-Drama-Sally Hawkins/The Shape of Water
Best Actress-Musical or Comedy-Saoirse Ronan/Lady Bird
Best Actor-Drama-Gary Oldman/Darkest Hour
Best Actor-Musical or Comedy-James Franco/The Disaster Artist
Best Supporting Actress-Allison Janney/I, Tonya
Best Supporting Actor-Christopher Plummer/All the Money in the World
Best Screenplay-Lady Bird
Best Animated Feature-Coco
Best Foreign Language Film-First They Killed My Father
Best Original Score-The Shape of Water
Best Song-Mighty River/Mudbound

Stone's complete article is here.

Scott Feinberg/The Hollywood Reporter

Best Picture-Drama- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Best Picture-Musical or Comedy-Lady Bird
Best Direction-Guillermo Del Toro/The Shape of Water
Best Actress-Drama-Frances McDormand/Three Billboards
Best Actress-Musical or Comedy-Judi Dench/Victoria and Abdul
Best Actor-Drama-Timothee Chalamet/Call Me By Your Name
Best Actor-Musical or Comedy-James Franco/The Disaster Artist
Best Supporting Actress-Allison Janney/I, Tonya
Best Supporting Actor-Sam Rockwell/Three Billboards
Best Screenplay-Three Billboards
Best Animated Feature-Coco
Best Foreign Language Film-First They Killed My Father
Best Original Score-Dunkirk
Best Song-This Is Me/The Greatest Showman

Feinberg's complete article is here.

Anne Thompson/Indiewire

Best Picture-Drama-The Shape of Water
Best Picture-Musical or Comedy-Lady Bird
Best Direction-Guillermo Del Toro/The Shape of Water
Best Actress-Drama-Frances McDormand/Three Billboards
Best Actress-Musical or Comedy-Saoirse Ronan/Lady Bird
Best Actor-Drama-Gary Oldman/Darkest Hour
Best Actor-Musical or Comedy-James Franco/The Disaster Artist
Best Supporting Actress-Allison Janney/I, Tonya
Best Supporting Actor-Willem Dafoe/The Florida Project
Best Screenplay-Lady Bird
Best Animated Feature-Coco
Best Foreign Language Film-First They Killed My Father
Best Original Score-The Shape of Water
Best Song-Remember Me/Coco

Thompson's complete article is here.

Erik Anderson/Awards Watch

Best Picture-Drama-The Shape of Water
Best Picture-Musical or Comedy-Lady Bird
Best Direction-Guillermo Del Toro/The Shape of Water
Best Actress-Drama-Sally Hawkins/The Shape of Water
Best Actress-Musical or Comedy-Saoirse Ronan/Lady Bird
Best Actor-Drama-Timothee Chalamet/Call Me By Your Name
Best Actor-Musical or Comedy-James Franco/The Disaster Artist
Best Supporting Actress-Allison Janney/I, Tonya
Best Supporting Actor-Christopher Plummer/All the Money in the World
Best Screenplay-Three Billboards
Best Animated Feature-Coco
Best Foreign Language Film-The Square
Best Original Score-The Shape of Water
Best Song-Remember Me Coco

Anderson's complete article is here.

Steve Pond/The Wrap

Best Picture-Drama-The Shape of Water
Best Picture-Musical or Comedy-Get Out
Best Direction-Guillermo Del Toro/The Shape of Water
Best Actress-Drama-Frances McDormand/Three Billboards
Best Actress-Musical or Comedy-Saoirse Ronan/Lady Bird
Best Actor-Drama-Gary Oldman/Darkest Hour
Best Actor-Musical or Comedy-James Franco/The Disaster Artist
Best Supporting Actress-Laurie Metcalf/Lady Bird
Best Supporting Actor-Willem Dafoe/The Florida Project
Best Screenplay-Lady Bird
Best Animated Feature-Coco
Best Foreign Language Film-The Square
Best Original Score-The Shape of Water
Best Song-This Is Me/The Greatest Showman

Pond's complete article is here.


Greg Ellwood/Awards Campaign/The Playlist

Best Picture-Drama-Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Best Picture-Musical or Comedy-Lady Bird
Best Direction-Guillermo Del Toro/The Shape of Water
Best Actress-Drama-Frances McDormand/Three Billboards
Best Actress-Musical or Comedy-Saoirse Ronan/Lady Bird
Best Actor-Drama-Gary Oldman/Darkest Hour
Best Actor-Musical or Comedy-James Franco/The Disaster Artist
Best Supporting Actress-Laurie Metcalf/Lady Bird
Best Supporting Actor-Christopher Plummer/All the Money in the World
Best Screenplay-Lady Bird
Best Animated Feature-Coco
Best Foreign Language Film-A Fantastic Woman
Best Original Score-Dunkirk
Best Song-This Is Me/The Greatest Showman

Ellwood's complete article is here.

Clayton Davis/Awards Circuit

Best Picture-Drama-The Shape of Water
Best Picture-Musical or Comedy-Lady Bird
Best Direction-Guillermo Del Toro/The Shape of Water
Best Actress-Drama-Sally Hawkins/The Shape of Water
Best Actress-Musical or Comedy-Margot Robbie/I, Tonya
Best Actor-Drama-Daniel Day Lewis/Phantom Thread
Best Actor-Musical or Comedy-James Franco/The Disaster Artist
Best Supporting Actress-Laurie Metcalf/Lady Bird
Best Supporting Actor-Sam Rockwell/Three Billboards
Best Screenplay-Lady Bird
Best Animated Feature-Coco
Best Foreign Language Film-A Fantastic Woman
Best Original Score-Phantom Thread
Best Song-This Is Me/The Greatest Showman

Davis' complete article is here.

Here's the consensus of these eight experts with the number predicting each winner in parentheses:

Best Picture-Drama: The Shape of Water (6), Three Billboards (2)
Best Picture-Musical or Comedy: Lady Bird (6), Get Out (2)
Best Direction: Guillermo Del Toro/The Shape of Water (8)
Best Actress-Drama: Frances McDormand/Three Billboards (5), Sally Hawkins/The Shape of Water (3)
Best Actress-Musical or Comedy: Saoirse Ronan/Lady Bird (5), Margot Robbie/I, Tonya (2), Judi Dench/Victoria and Abdul (1)
Best Actor-Drama: Gary Oldman/Darkest Hour (4), Timothee Chalamet/Call Me By Your Name (3), Daniel Day Lewis/Phantom Thread (1)
Best Actor-Musical or Comedy: James Franco/The Disaster Artist (8)
Best Supporting Actress: Allison Janney/I, Tonya (4), Laurie Metcalf/Lady Bird (4)
Best Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer/All the Money in the World (3), Sam Rockwell/Three Billboards (3), Willem Dafoe/The Florida Project (2)
Best Screenplay: Lady Bird (5), Three Billboards (3)
Best Animated Feature: Coco (8)
Best Foreign Language Film: First They Killed My Father (4), A Fantastic Woman (2), The Square (2)
Best Original Score: The Shape of Water (4), Dunkirk (3), Phantom Thread (1)
Best Song: This is Me/The Greatest Showman (4), Remember Me/Coco (2), Mighty River/Mudbound (2)

The experts predict Telluride 2017 films to win anywhere between 3 (Feinberg) to 8 (Stone) Globes.  It is possible for TFF #44 films to win in every category except Original Song.

I'll be tweeting (or re-tweeting) results tonight during the Globe broadcast (on Twitter @Gort2).  I'll also have a full rundown of the Globe results tomorrow morning.


EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com OR michael_speech@hotmail.com

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