Friday, June 22, 2012

50 Films for Fall/Major Analysis/Coming Attractions

Good Friday All!

50 FILMS FOR THE FALL

The fine people at IndieWire posted a "wish list"/prediction piece yesterday about what they hope and expect will play as part of the fall festival lineups (i.e. Telluride, Toronto and Venice.)  It's fun to look at and drool over.

They specify Telluride in the case of these films:
"A Glimpse Inside the Mind of Charles Swan III" from Roman Coppola and...
"The Place Beyond the Pines" from Derek Cianfrance (and this becomes the second time in a week that someone has tried to connect "Pines" to T-ride...

Among the 48 other films listed that have the most Telluride "potential" (in my view):


[Trailer from "Hyde Park on Hudson"]

"Anna Karenina" (d. Joe Wright)
"Argo" (d. Ben Affleck)
"Gambit" (d. Michael Hoffman)
"Hyde Park on Hudson" (d. Roger Michell)
"Life of Pi" (d. Ang Lee)
"Love is All You Need" (d. Susanne Bier)
"The Master" (d. Paul Thomas Anderson)
"Quartet" (d. Dustin Hoffman)
"The Silver Linings Playbook" (d. David O. Russell)
"Something in the Air" (d. Olivier Assayas)
"Song for Marion" (d. Paul Andrew Williams)

I think that 3 of the above are really solid guesses...check back on Monday for my first "Ten Bets" of the season to see which 3.

Check the entire IndieWire post here:
http://www.indiewire.com/article/fall-festival-wishlist-50-films-we-hope-to-see-in-venice-toronto-and-or-telluride


MAJOR ANALYSIS

All week long I have been trying to parse the meaning of Pete Hammond's post at Deadline.com from last week in which he describes at least one :major" studio plying Telluride film programmers with their "wares" trying to entice T-ride into a programming choice.  That original Hammond post is here:

http://www.deadline.com/2012/06/la-film-festival-los-angeles-woody-allen-opens-2012-laff-telluride/

This week I have looked at Universal, Paramount, Warner Brothers, and 20th Century Fox and what films they are either producing and/or distributing that look like they're also positioned for an Oscar run.


Re-capping...
Universal is distributing has "Les Miserables" and "Zero Dark Thirty" (This with Columbia).
Paramount: "Flight"
Fox: "Life of Pi", "Won't Back Down" and "Lincoln" (with Dreamworks and Amblin, obviously)
Warners: "Argo", "Cloud Atlas", "The Great Gatsby", "Trouble with the Curve" and "Gangster Squad".

["Argo" trailer]

Going to go BOLD here...

I lean toward Warners or Fox and here's why...

Warners...If I'm the Eastwood people and I really want Clint to be in play for a Best Actor Oscar I can't ignore the recent past concerning that trophy and Telluride.

2011: Jean Dujardin/The Artist (and a near miss for George Clooney for "The Descendants")
2010: Colin Firth/The King's Speech
2009: Another near miss by Geroge Clooney for "Up in the Air"
2007: Daniel Day Lewis for "There Will Be Blood"
2006:Forest Whitaker for "The Last King of Scotland"
2005: Philip Seymour Hoffman for "Capote" (also near miss for Heath Ledger for "Brokeback Mountain").

I don't think it's a coincidence...

So if you're looking at what is likely Clint's last shot at Best Actor...don't you play in Telluride?

And there is some Eastwood/Telluride history.  He's been there before...and I always default to believing that almost everyone that comes once wouldn't mind coming back.

Fox... same logic applied to Steven Spielberg's "Lincoln" and Best Picture.  Again, look at the last few year's of BP winners from Telluride:

2011: "The Artist"
2010: "The King's Speech"
2008: "Slumdog Millionaire"
2007: No winner but "Juno" and There Will Be Blood" nominated
2006: "Babel" nominated
2005: "Brokeback" and "Capote" nominated

3 of the last 4 BPs got a huge boost from Telluride.

If you're he Spielberg people aren't you tired of the near miss status of the last few years? "War Horse", "Munich", "Saving Private Ryan".  Plus the films that didn't even get a nomination for BP.  And then there is the Marshall/Kennedy connection to Telluride.

So there you are...

As always, I could be totally, completely, 100% wrong...and probably am.

COMING ATTRACTIONS

[Darren Aronofsky via movieline.com]

Where I feature a film in production that could be a Telluride palyer in 2013 or even 2014.  Today: Darren Aronofsky's "Noah"

Aronofsky brought "Black Swan" in 2010 and ended up with multiple Oscar nominations and a win for Natalie Portman as Best Actress.  So could he bring this epic about the Great Flood to the San Juans?
Here are a variety of links concerning casting and filming of the project...we believe it's scheduled to begin rolling next month.


The Playlist:
http://blogs.indiewire.com/theplaylist/russell-crowe-liam-neeson-circle-darren-aronofskys-noah-biblical-epic

http://blogs.indiewire.com/theplaylist/darren-aronofskys-noah-greenlit-with-july-start-date-russell-crowe-locked-in-to-star

http://blogs.indiewire.com/theplaylist/douglas-booth-logan-lerman-set-sail-with-darren-aronofskys-noah-20120604

http://blogs.indiewire.com/theplaylist/emma-watson-gets-biblical-with-darren-aronofskys-noah-20120607

http://blogs.indiewire.com/theplaylist/an-evil-cloud-ray-winstone-looking-to-take-villain-role-in-darren-aronofskys-noah-20120611

http://blogs.indiewire.com/theplaylist/jennifer-connelly-officially-in-talks-for-darren-aronofskys-noah-20120618

Get the Big Picture:
http://www.getthebigpicture.net/blog/2011/12/1/darren-aronofsky-wants-michael-fassbender-for-noah.html


More later...

Follow me on Twitter @Gort2








No comments: