BAFTA/Feinberg Forecast Update/Oscar Effects Categories

BRITS NOMINATE

The British Academy of Film and Television Arts announced their nominees early Monday morning (Central Daylight Time).  Here they are with Telluride highlighted as usual (thanks to Dave Karger and entertainment Weekly).

Best Film
The Artist
The Descendants
Drive
The Help
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy

Film Not in the English Language
Incendies (tff 37)
Pina
Potiche
A Separation
The Skin I Live In

Outstanding British Film
My Week with Marilyn
Senna
Shame
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
We Need to Talk About Kevin

Director
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Nicolas Winding Refn, Drive
Martin Scorsese, Hugo
Tomas Alfredson, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Lynne Ramsay, We Need to Talk About Kevin

Leading Actor
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
George Clooney, The Descendants
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Michael Fassbender, Shame

Leading Actress
Bérénice Bejo, The Artist
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Michelle Williams, My Week with Marilyn
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
Viola Davis, The Help

Supporting Actor
Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Jim Broadbent, The Iron Lady
Jonah Hill, Moneyball
Kenneth Branagh, My Week with Marilyn
Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Ides of March

Supporting Actress 
Carey Mulligan, Drive
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Judi Dench, My Week with Marilyn
Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids
Octavia Spencer, The Help

Original Screenplay
The Artist
Bridesmaids
The Guard
The Iron Lady
Midnight in Paris

Adapted Screenplay
The Descendants
The Help
The Ides of March
Moneyball
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy

Cinematography
The Artist
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
War Horse

Editing
The Artist
Drive
Hugo
Senna
Tinker Tailor Solider Spy

Production Design
The Artist
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 2
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
War Horse

Make Up & Hair
The Artist
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 2
Hugo
The Iron Lady
My Week with Marilyn

Costume Design
The Artist
Hugo
Jane Eyre
My Week with Marilyn
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy

Special Visual Effects
The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 2
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
War Horse

Documentary
George Harrison: Living in the Material World
Project Nim
Senna

Sound
The Artist
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 2
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
War Horse

Original Music
The Artist
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
War Horse

Animated Film
The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn
Arthur Christmas
Rango

Outstanding British Debut by a Director or Producer
Joe Cornish, Attack the Block
Will Sharpe, Tom Kingsley, Sarah Brocklehurst, Black Pond
Ralph Fiennes, Coriolanus
Richard Ayouade, Submarine
Paddy Considine & Diarmid Scrimshaw, Tyrannosaur

Comment:  BAFTA ends up citing Telluride-centric films 24 times:

The Artist- 12

The Descendants- 3

We Need to Talk About Kevin- 3

Shame- 2

George Harrison, Incendies, Pina and A Separation – 1 each

BAFTA is interesting from Oscar’s perspective because there is a modestly significant overlap of membership between it and The Academy.

FEINBERG’S NEW FORECAST

Scott Feinberg at The Hollywood Reporter has his latest assessment of Oscar prospects up and it reflects his view in a post Golden Globes environment.  Biggest change…he has Ben Kingsley solidly in the Best Supporting Actor category for Hugo.  Check it here:

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/race/golden-globes-oscar-nominees-scott-feinberg-awards-season-279829

THE FAC AND SOUND AND VISUAL EFFECTS

Three very technical categories and where they stand according to a compilation of data from: Awards Daily, Incontention, The Hollywood Reporter, Film Misery, Film Experience,

Awards Circuit, and Rope of Silicon…

VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Rise of the Planet of the Apes

2) Harry Potter/Deathly Hallows

3) Hugo

4) The Tree of Life

5) Transformers

Also in play:

6) Pirates 4

7) Captain America

8) X-Men First Class

9) Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol

10) Super 8

Others: Real Steal, Thor, Cowboys and Aliens

SOUND EDITING

1) War Horse

2) Rise of the Planet of the Apes

3) Tintin

4) Transformers

5) Hugo

Also in play:

6) Super 8

7) Rango

8) Harry Potter/Deathly Hallows

9)  Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

10) Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol

SOUND MIXING

1) War Horse

2) Transformers

3) Tintin

4) Super 8

5) Rise of the Planet of the Apes

Also in play:

6) Hugo

7) Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol

8) Rango

9) Harry Potter/Deathly Hallows

10) Captain America 

Check back tomorrow.

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