Special to the FAC: Best Actress

SPECIAL TO THE FILM AWARDS CLEARINGHOUSE: BEST ACTRESS 17 DAYS OUT

The FAC takes a snapshot look at individual categories using the predictive resources of:

Awards Daily (Sasha Stone)

Incontention.com (Kristopher Tapley at HitFix)

The Hollywood Reporter (Scott Feinberg)

Entertainment Weekly (Dave Karger)

Hollywood Elsewhere (Jeffrey Wells)

Thompson on Hollywood (Anne Thompson)

Film Misery

Film Experience

Awards Circuit

IS THE RACE FOR THE FIVE NOMINATIONS ALREADY OVER?

Crunching the Best Actress numbers in the last two days and you find that the five women listed below in the top five spots are pretty overwhelmingly out in front of the rest of the “contender” pack.  As a matter of fact, Anne Thompson at Thompson on Hollywood (Indiewire) lists these five and no one else even as being a possible contender.  That’s bold, but gives you an idea that a good portion of the Oscar punditry thinks that the top five are already locked in.

Here they are with Telluride #38 actresses in bold.

1) Viola Davis/The Help

2) Meryl Streep/The Iron Lady

3) Michele Williams/My Week with Marilyn

4) Glenn Close/Albert Nobbs

5) Tilda Swinton/We Need to Talk About Kevin

The rest of the prospective field:

6) Charlize Theron/Young Adult

7) Rooney Mara/Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

8) Elizabeth Olsen/Martha Marcy Mae Marlene

9) Felicity Jones/Like Crazy

10) Kristen Wiig/Bridesmaids

Also receiving votes: Olivia Colman/Tyrranosaur, Adepeno Odyue/Pariah, Keira Knightley/A Dangerous Method.

The only real movement since my last big Oscar post on Dec. 21 is the appearance of some sentiment on behalf of Kristen Wiig but, realistically, the top five are seemingly pretty solid with Mara, Theron and maybe Olsen the possible "surprise" nominee if it were to occur.  Most vulnerable?  Actually, I think it might be Glenn Close.

DGA NOMINATIONS TO BE ANNOUNCED MONDAY…Look for our Best Picture Special to the FAC on Sunday…and  Best Director analysis on Monday as a part of our regular posting schedule before the DGA announcement.

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